Technical analysis by teconlab about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (6/3/2025)

### Key Technical Levels & Patterns 1. Resistance Zones: - $3,365–$3,392: Critical resistance levels. Breaking $3,365 with high volume could signal a bullish breakout, targeting $3,392 and beyond. - $3,387–$3,357: A broader resistance zone identified by inverse head and shoulders and descending broadening wedge patterns. A break here may confirm an impulsive wave (per Elliott Wave theory). 2. Support Levels: - $3,328–$3,342: Key support areas. A failure to hold these could trigger a short-term correction. - $3,304.749: A strong support zone (green zone) that could act as a bearish target if the price breaks below it. 3. Demand Zones: - $3,356.50: A defined demand zone with confirmed bullish reactions (e.g., wick rejections). Entry suggested just above this level with a stop-loss below $3,344.50. ### Fundamental Drivers 1. Geopolitical Tensions: - Ukraine-Russia conflict: Escalating tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for gold. - Middle East instability: Recent escalations are adding pressure on gold as investors seek refuge. 2. U.S.-China Trade Tensions: - Trump’s threat to double tariffs on steel/aluminum has heightened market uncertainty, pushing investors toward gold. 3. U.S. Dollar Weakness: - A weaker dollar (e.g., USD index near monthly lows) supports gold prices, as gold is priced in USD. 4. Federal Reserve Policy: - Market expectations of a September rate cut and potential December cuts are bullish for gold. Powell’s speech could trigger volatility. ### Trading Strategies 1. Bullish Breakout Setup: - Entry: Above $3,365–$3,372 with tight stop-loss (e.g., $3,360). - Targets: $3,392 (short-term) and $3,400–$3,450 (mid-term). - Risk Management: Strict stop-loss below $3,325 to protect against false breakouts. 2. Scalping Opportunities: - Key Scalp Zones: $3,332–$3,352 (intraday pullbacks). - Strategy: Buy on dips near $3,328–$3,342 if the price stabilizes. ### Key Watchpoints - $3,365: A critical level for confirming bullish momentum. - $3,325: A psychological support level that could act as a short trigger if broken. - Fed Chair Powell’s Speech: Potential for emotional moves or reversals. - Volume Confirmation: High volume on breakout levels (e.g., $3,365) is essential for validity. ### Risk Management & Recommendations 1. Stop-Loss Discipline: - Always place stops below key support levels (e.g., $3,325) to limit losses. - Avoid holding positions without a clear plan. 2. Position Sizing: - Use smaller positions in volatile environments to manage risk. 3. Monitor Volatility: - Gold may experience sharp swings due to geopolitical and macroeconomic factors. Stay alert. 4. Follow Trends: - Short-term: Focus on $3,325–$3,392 range. - Mid-term: Watch for a breakout above $3,400, targeting $3,450–$3,480. ### Conclusion Gold is in a bullish phase, driven by geopolitical risks, weak USD, and Fed policy expectations. Key levels like $3,365 and $3,392 are critical for confirming momentum. Traders should focus on breakout strategies, scalping in pullbacks, and strict risk management. However, always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making trades. Final Note: The market is volatile, and news events (e.g., Powell’s speech) could cause rapid reversals. Stay informed and flexible! 🚀Still we are on the plan and up trend has just started: TP1: 3373TP2: 3386TP3: 3399SL: 3319.37TP1 and TP2 hit. TP3 should adjust to 3392 (however there is a possibility to rise to 3405)