Technical analysis by GoldFxMinds about Symbol PAXG on 5/10/2025

Short-Term Bias: Bullish retracement toward premium zonesStructure: CHoCH confirmed at 3284 → forming potential bullish leg inside retracement🔍 Recent Price Action (H4 Insight):Clear CHoCH on H4 above 3292 → short-term structure flipped bullish.Last impulsive leg pushed price into the 3330–3345 zone before rejecting slightly — signs of near-term resistance.EMA5 and EMA21 are crossing upward, with price trying to retest EMA21 for a bounce.Next H4 candle closure is critical — either holds 3290 for continuation or re-tests deeper zone.📌 Key H4 ZonesZone / LevelDescription3380–3395🔺 H4 FVG + OB zone – major near-term premium resistance (also Daily level)3340–3345🔁 H4 internal resistance – Friday top, low-volume gap area3314–3318🔁 Micro H4 imbalance – intraday fill zone3284–3292✅ H4 CHoCH + OB – current bullish base, critical to hold3250–3265🔵 Deep demand – final intraday bounce zone before HTF demandThese levels will be your H4 battle zones — where price is likely to bounce, reverse, or accelerate depending on confirmation.🔁 Potential Flow on Monday:Bullish scenario:If price holds 3284–3292 → intraday targets = 3318 → 3340 → 3380.Clean structure = higher low + EMA support confluence.Bearish scenario:If price loses 3284 → could test 3250–3265. Only below this would invalidate current H4 bullish flow.⚠️ Confluence Check:EMAs: EMA5 crossing up through EMA21 → short-term bullish momentum buildingLiquidity: Buy-side above 3345 → price may attempt sweep if supportedFVGs: Still unfilled gaps between 3314 and 3380 → magnet zones for bullish flowCHoCH: Valid on 3284 → first HL attempt happening now🧠 H4 Summary (for May 12):TypeZoneReaction PotentialResistance3380–3395Strong rejection possible3340–3345May slow price if volume weakSupport3284–3292Critical bullish structure zone3250–3265Breaker block zone (last bounce before HTF demand)💬 Final Word to the Community:Gold may have paused its moon mission at 3500, but the engines are refueling. Monday’s battle will be all about 3284 — hold it, and bulls might just take flight toward 3380. Lose it, and we buckle in for a deeper dip.🟡 Whether you’re team buy-the-dip or wait-for-the-fade… stay sharp, stay patient, and always follow structure.Like what you see? Drop a comment, tag a gold friend, and follow GoldFxMinds to never miss the real flow. 🧠⚡🔁 H4 Outlook Update – May 12 (Post-London / NY Session)Short-Term Bias: Still bullish, but in retracement phaseH4 Flow: Higher low (HL) formation likely — key demand is reacting🔄 STRUCTURE UPDATE (vs. Saturday's plan)✅ 3284–3292 → Tested and held cleanly. Price reacted bullish as expected.🔁 3314–3318 → Nearly filled, but no continuation — price rejected intraday.🔻 H4 CHoCH at 3284 is still valid.⚠️ Price is now hovering around key demand + EMA200 (3224–3228).🔍 Updated Key H4 Zones (Valid for May 12–13)TypeZoneStatus / What to Watch🔺 Resistance3380–3395Major FVG + OB zone — untouched🔁 Resistance3340–3345Friday top + low-volume rejection zone⚠️ Imbalance3314–3318Still a magnet — if bullish flow resumes✅ Demand3284–3292Confirmed as bullish base (HL)🔵 Demand3220–3228Active now — valid reentry zone w/ M5 CHoCH🔵 Final Demand3193–3205Last line of defense — under = bias shift🎯 Tactical SetupIf you’re already long from 3215–3220 → Hold for TP zones: 3240 → 3284If you’re not in yet:🟦 Entry #1: Look for confirmation inside 3220–3228 (M5 CHoCH or engulf)🔄 Entry #2: If price breaks 3248 and forms HL → possible aggressive breakout entry🧠 SummaryBias: Bullish as long as 3220–3228 holdsInvalidation: Break below 3205 = failed HL → neutral/bearish risk📌 Stick to your structure. Reentries are valid only from refined zones — not late on top. We trade reaction, not emotion.🔻 XAUUSD Market Update – May 14, 2025📉 Short-Term Bias: Bearish📍 Session Focus: NY + NYSE Open🧠 Market Context:Bearish continuation confirmed after BOS on both H1 and H4Price broke below 3220 with momentum, now reacting from a key discount areaRetracement likely before further continuationEMA 200 on H4 just gave way — confirms pressure remains to the downside🧱 Key Structural Zones to WatchTypePrice RangeConfluenceSell Zone 13220–3228H1/H4 OB + recent FVG + EQ reactionSell Zone 23240–3248Imbalance + bearish OBSell Zone 33265–3272Last mitigation zone before major dropBuy Zone 13190–3195M15 FVG + micro CHoCH formingBuy Zone 23175–3182H4 FVG + strong lowBuy Zone 33150–3157Final unmitigated demand zone in structure⚙️ What to WatchPossible short-term reaction at 3190s → look for CHoCH confirmation on LTFRetracement back toward 3220–3240 zones could provide next bearish opportunityIf price breaks below 3175 → watch 3150 zone as next defensive levelNo guessing. No rushing. Just structure, logic, and clean execution.— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX) 💡🔥 Drop a comment if these levels helped clarify your bias!