Technical analysis by JosephChristian about Symbol PAXG on 3/31/2025
JosephChristian

Gold is bound to reach 3100. Last week, after several days of shocks, gold broke through the high and rose sharply. On Friday, it reached 3087, and the daily line closed with a big positive for two consecutive days. There is only a dozen dollars left to reach 3100, and there is no doubt that it will be won next week.On Friday, the high level fluctuated sideways, and it tested the high point of 3086 many times from the US market to the early morning. The more it tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Finally, it closed near the high point of 3085.If this kind of strong market closes strongly at a high level, then there is a high probability that the market will directly rise and break the high at the opening on Monday morning, or will go straight to around 3100. Even if there is a retracement, the amplitude will not be too large. Pay attention to the support line of 3073-3067.How much room is there above 3100?This wave of strong breakout and rise is somewhat affected by the tariff policy. The rise in risk aversion has helped push gold to a new high. After a large increase in bullish volume, it may slow down. It mainly depends on the expectation of tariff policy, buy expectations and sell facts. The previous rise has fully digested the impact of the news. Facts have proved that if it continues to rise, it is expected to slow down or even fall in stages.The retracement range of the previous high of 3057-3000 is only 57 US dollars, which can only be regarded as a small correction. Under the influence of the news, it will break the high again. It is possible to see more above 3100, but it is really not recommended to chase more.Because after the New York futures gold broke through 3100 US dollars on March 28, the number of contracts delivered on the first fixed position day of the April contract was as high as 34,865, with a total of 3.49 million ounces, that is, 108 tons, a historical record. In the case of gold continuing to rise and break high, this huge delivery will make it highly likely that there will be a large-scale run on gold in April.In the previous round, the price of gold bulls went from 2286 to 2790, which was 504 US dollars. If calculated from 2277 to 2790, it is 513 US dollars. It peaked at 2790 and fell to 2536, which was 254 US dollars.In this round of bull market, the price went from 2583 to 3100, which was 517 US dollars. If calculated from 2596 to 3100, it was also 504 US dollars.According to the same rise and fall in the previous round, there is a possibility of a sharp decline above 3100. Be careful of risks if you are bullish but don't chase the long position. If the price drops by 254 US dollars from 3100, it is 2846, which is also near the starting point of the second rise, which is consistent with the technical aspect.Gold operation suggestions: Go long at around 3122-3125, stop loss at 3115, target first at 3155. If you are hurt in the market, click the link. I have the confidence to help you get back on track.