التحليل الفني Strateg_ تحليل حول رمز ETH: شراء (20‏/11‏/2025) مُقتَرَح

Today we have reached a new major bifurcation point in the middle of the quarter, which I have focused on. For individual coins, starting in the middle of this week, the probability of a bullish quarterly candle reversal with large growth waves will increase, similar to RESOLV and TNSR. Such reversals will be facilitated by a slowdown in the fall of ETH with attempts to change the trend before the end of the year. So far, the bearish influence has prevailed in the market, with the opening of most major periods below key resistances and stable sales until the middle of the quarter to consolidate below 3,500, which I will indicate in the latest review. The ultimate goal of the bears in this quarter is to test the range of 2500-2750, with an attempt to close the annual candle in it under a negative scenario, and against the background of consolidation below 3500, this goal is still relevant. By the end of the month, we may still see new sales impulses to break through 2750, but with increasing buying activity at the end of each week, against which individual coins will try to grow. The second half of the quarter for ETH opened below 3,250, which gives a signal for sales below 3,000 up to 2,500, but an opening above 3,100 is a technical signal for growth up to 3,500-4,100. The attempt to reverse the quarterly candle is also facilitated by its opening above 4,100. And so, under an optimistic scenario and a stable transition to a reversal of the quarterly candle in the second half of the week, purchases can be expected until the end of the week, with the aim of opening a new week above 3250, which will ensure continued growth until the end of the month and the possibility of opening a new month with a growth signal before the end of the year. With less volatility, there is a chance of opening a new week below 3,100, which could lead to a reversal next week. As I wrote in a review at the beginning of October, BTC opened the quarter negatively, with a pullback signal down to 90-100 k, which the bears successfully worked out. There is a large medium-term support in the 85-90k zone, from which a pullback is likely. In addition to the growth of the altcoin index and the growth of ETH/BTC, which I expect at the turn of the quarter, the slowdown in the decline of BTC will also cease to put pressure on the market and allow individual coins to show major reversals. Brent may once again have quite a big impact on the markets. If today and tomorrow the price fixes above $ 64 and, moreover, above $ 65, then the probability of growth of the crypt will prevail until the close of the week. In the event of US manipulation and a sudden new wave of brent sales below $62.5 today or tomorrow, there will be a chance for an ETH reversal before the weekend. Given the released data on stocks in the United States, the probability of a positive scenario prevails. All markets are connected, and no matter how absurd it may seem at first glance, it was the background manipulation of the commodity price that allowed the bears to break through key supports on ETH more than once, both on October 10 at 4,100, and at the subsequent 3,500, 3,250 and 3,100. By superimposing the dynamics of brent in the second half of the week on the dynamics of ETH by the weekend, you can see a chain reaction. That is why by the second half of October, I predicted a drop down to 3,500 by the end of the week, in the event of a drawdown of brent to $ 60. Against the background of a slowdown in the fall of ETH and attempts to reverse the quarter, it is possible to make regular toppings for individual coins. First of all, it is worth paying attention to TURTLE and MITO, which have strong technical signals for growth up to 0.21-25 in the medium term. So the potential is the ground for dynamics similar to RESOLV. VIC BMT HOOK CHESS also has slightly weaker technical signals for growth, which I am also considering working with in the first place. On an attempt to reverse the quarter, there is a high probability of their growth to 50-70%, at least with the aim of breaking the last monthly candle. In the case of a stable ETH reversal, growth impulses of up to 200%+ can be expected. Similarly, growth waves of up to 40-50% may show weaker instruments that do not have obvious signals, but are in an extremely oversold zone, such as QUICK COS FIO DATA. In my opinion, these tools are candidates for the assignment of the monitoring tag, given the dynamics, and therefore I recommend using a small position when working with them. In addition to the positive note towards the end of the year that has appeared at the moment, I would like to focus on the overall negative dynamics of the market, which may continue at the beginning of the year. The current likely pullback on the quarterly and annual candles is still a temporary phenomenon and gives opportunities to coins that have technical growth signals left earlier. Most of the market, after attempts to roll back the tops at the turn of the year, is likely to continue falling until the second quarter. That is, coins without obvious growth signals, especially those with large capitalization, may remain flat until January or February without significant purchases followed by a major break.