tweak896

Defining cycle by 5 parts: 1. Bottom: price hits lowest before crossover 2. EMA cross up: ema 22 goes above ema 55 on daily timeframe 3. Peak: price peaks in between the ema cross up and downthis period, 4. EMA cross down: ema 22 goes below ema 55 on daily timeframe 5. Bottom: price hits its lowest bottom after the cross Cycle A Bottom A- (Mar 13th 2020) price bottomed $0.0017 EMA cross up A- >68 days later (May 20th 2020) EMA 22 went above the EMA 55 Peak A- >105 days later -(Sep 2nd 2020) price peaked @ $0.0566 >173 days bottom to peak EMA cross down A- > 46 days later -(Oct 18th 2020) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom B- >17 days later -(Nov 4th 2020) price bottomed at 1.262c. (-77% from previous peak $0.0566.) >63 days from Peak A to Bottom B. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle A: 236 days >236 days from Bottom A to Bottom B (entire Cycle A) Time of Bottom A to Peak A: 173 days >173 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak A to Bottom B: 63 days >63 days Peak A to Bottom B (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle A most profit: > $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cycle B Bottom B- -(Nov 4th 2020) price bottomed at $0.01262. EMA cross up B- >66 days later -(Jan 9th 2021) the EMA 22 went above the EMA 55. Peak B- >121 days later -(10th May 2021) price peaked $0.9588. > 187 days from bottom b to peak b >If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 7597.46% gain. (76x) EMA cross down B- >15 days later -(25th May 2021) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom C- >56 days later -(July 20th 2021) 56 days later $0.1534 found a bottom (-84% from previous peak $0.01262) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle B: 258 days >236 days from Bottom B to Bottom C (entire Cycle B) Time of Bottom B to Peak B: 187 days >187 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak B to Bottom C: 71 days >71 days Peak B to Bottom C (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle B most profit: > $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%) Cycle A + B most profit: > $0.0017 to $0.9588 564x (56400.00%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cycle C Bottom C- -(July 20th 2021) 56 days later $0.1534 found a bottom (-84%) EMA cross up B- >56 days later -(Aug 14th 2021) the EMA 22 went above the EMA 55. Peak C- >76 days later -(28th Oct 2021) price peaked $3.457. > 100 days from bottom c to peak c >If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 2271.44% gain. (22.7x) EMA cross down C- >37 days later -(4th Dec 2021) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom D- >100 days later -(Mar 14th 2022) 100 days later $1.0343 found a bottom (-70%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle C: 289 days >237 days from Bottom C to Bottom D (entire Cycle C) Time of Bottom C to Peak C: 100 days >100 days Bottom C to Peak C (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak C to Bottom D: >137 days Peak C to Bottom D (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle C most profit: > $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%) Cycle A + B + C most profit: > $0.0017 to $3.457 2033.5x (203300.52%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bear Market Bottom Bear- -(Nov 22nd 2022) 359 days later $0.1627 found a bottom (-95.31%) -Ended April 29th 2023 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle D: 532 days >532 days from Bottom C to Bottom of Bear (Entire Bear Market) Oct 19th 2023 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Guessing A2 Length of cycle. A 236 B 258 C 289 days Avg sum/3 = 261 days (July 4th 2024) B-A = 22 C-B = 31 ...31-22= +9 >> 289+9 = 298 days (August 11th 2024) Guessing % gained A $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%) B $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%) C $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%) A+B+C / 3 = 4,366%. B-A= 4268.05 A-C= 1157.12 4268.05 - 1157.12 = 3110.93% instead got the ratio of A/B = 0.4382 x C = 951% Percent gain 0.1707 up 951% = 0.1707 + (0.1707 x 9.5) = $1.7956 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cycle A2 Bottom A2- (Oct 19th 2023) price bottomed $0.1707 EMA cross up A2- >8 days later (Oct 27th 2023) EMA 22 went above the EMA 55 Peak A2- > 147 days later -(March 22th 2024) price peaked @ $1.2295 > 155 days from bottom a2 to peak a2 >If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 620.02% gain. (6.2x) EMA cross down A2- > 37 days later -(April 28th 2024) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom B2- >68 days later -(July 5th 2024) price bottomed at 0.03788c. (-69.16% from previous peak $1.2295.) >105 days from Peak A2 to Bottom B2. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle A2: 260 days >260 days from Bottom A2 to Bottom B2 (entire Cycle A2) Time of Bottom A2 to Peak A2: 155 days >155 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak A2 to Bottom B2: 105 days >105 days Peak A2 to Bottom B2 (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle A2 most profit: > $0.1707 to $1.2295 6.2x (620.02%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Guessing B2 Length of cycle. A:236 B:258 C:289 days A2:262 days Avg sum/4 = 262 days (March 23rd 2025) B-A = 22 C-B = 31 A2-C = -27 ...31-22+27= +36 >> 269+36 = 298 days (April 30th 2025) Guessing % gained A $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%) B $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%) C $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%) A2 $0.1707 to $1.2295 6.2x (620.02%) A+B+C+A2 / 4 = 3,429.79%. B-A = 4268.05% A-C = 1157.12% C-A2= 1552.27% 4268.05 - 1157.12 - 1552.27 = 1558.66% instead got the ratio of A (3329.41%)/ B (7597.46%) = 0.4382 x C (2172.29%) = 951% instead got the ratio of B (7597.46%)/ C (2172.29%) = 3.49744 x A2 (620.02%) = 2168.48% made more sense to compare AB to A2B2 therefore went with this > instead got the ratio of B (7597.46%)/ A (3329.41%) = 2.28192 x A2 (620.02%) = 1414.838% alternative average ratio AB + CA2 / 2 = 1559.74% Percent gain $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (1+ (1414.838/100) ) = $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (1+ 14.1483) = $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (15.1483) = $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (15.1483) = $5.73366 B2 predicted price = $5.73366 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If I go by how much I was wrong for A² prediction, then adjust $1.2295 actual A² / $1.7956 A² predicted = 0.68367 X adjusted B² / $5.7336 B² predicted = 0.68367 X adjusted B² = 0.68367*$5.7336 B² predicted X adjusted B² = $3.82564 Adjusted prediction is $3.83 for B2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Defining cycle by 5 parts: 1. Bottom: price hits lowest before crossover 2. EMA cross up: ema 22 goes above ema 55 on daily timeframe 3. Peak: price peaks in between the ema cross up and downthis period, 4. EMA cross down: ema 22 goes below ema 55 on daily timeframe 5. Bottom: price hits its lowest bottom after the cross Cycle A Bottom A- (Mar 13th 2020) price bottomed $0.0017 EMA cross up A- >68 days later (May 20th 2020) EMA 22 went above the EMA 55 Peak A- >105 days later -(Sep 2nd 2020) price peaked @ $0.0566 >173 days bottom to peak EMA cross down A- > 46 days later -(Oct 18th 2020) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom B- >17 days later -(Nov 4th 2020) price bottomed at 1.262c. (-77% from previous peak $0.0566.) >63 days from Peak A to Bottom B. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle A: 236 days >236 days from Bottom A to Bottom B (entire Cycle A) Time of Bottom A to Peak A: 173 days >173 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak A to Bottom B: 63 days >63 days Peak A to Bottom B (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle A most profit: > $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cycle B Bottom B- -(Nov 4th 2020) price bottomed at $0.01262. EMA cross up B- >66 days later -(Jan 9th 2021) the EMA 22 went above the EMA 55. Peak B- >121 days later -(10th May 2021) price peaked $0.9588. > 187 days from bottom b to peak b >If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 7597.46% gain. (76x) EMA cross down B- >15 days later -(25th May 2021) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom C- >56 days later -(July 20th 2021) 56 days later $0.1534 found a bottom (-84% from previous peak $0.01262) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle B: 258 days >236 days from Bottom B to Bottom C (entire Cycle B) Time of Bottom B to Peak B: 187 days >187 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak B to Bottom C: 71 days >71 days Peak B to Bottom C (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle B most profit: > $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%) Cycle A + B most profit: > $0.0017 to $0.9588 564x (56400.00%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cycle C Bottom C- -(July 20th 2021) 56 days later $0.1534 found a bottom (-84%) EMA cross up B- >56 days later -(Aug 14th 2021) the EMA 22 went above the EMA 55. Peak C- >76 days later -(28th Oct 2021) price peaked $3.457. > 100 days from bottom c to peak c >If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 2271.44% gain. (22.7x) EMA cross down C- >37 days later -(4th Dec 2021) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom D- >100 days later -(Mar 14th 2022) 100 days later $1.0343 found a bottom (-70%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle C: 289 days >237 days from Bottom C to Bottom D (entire Cycle C) Time of Bottom C to Peak C: 100 days >100 days Bottom C to Peak C (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak C to Bottom D: >137 days Peak C to Bottom D (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle C most profit: > $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%) Cycle A + B + C most profit: > $0.0017 to $3.457 2033.5x (203300.52%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bear Market Bottom Bear- -(Nov 22nd 2022) 359 days later $0.1627 found a bottom (-95.31%) -Ended April 29th 2023 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle D: 532 days >532 days from Bottom C to Bottom of Bear (Entire Bear Market) Oct 19th 2023 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Guessing A2 Length of cycle. A 236 B 258 C 289 days Avg sum/3 = 261 days (July 4th 2024) B-A = 22 C-B = 31 ...31-22= +9 >> 289+9 = 298 days (August 11th 2024) Guessing % gained A $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%) B $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%) C $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%) A+B+C / 3 = 4,366%. B-A= 4268.05 A-C= 1157.12 4268.05 - 1157.12 = 3110.93% instead got the ratio of A/B = 0.4382 x C = 951% Percent gain 0.1707 up 951% = 0.1707 + (0.1707 x 9.5) = $1.7956 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cycle A2 Bottom A2- (Oct 19th 2023) price bottomed $0.1707 EMA cross up A2- >8 days later (Oct 27th 2023) EMA 22 went above the EMA 55 Peak A2- > 147 days later -(March 22th 2024) price peaked @ $1.2295 > 155 days from bottom a2 to peak a2 >If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 620.02% gain. (6.2x) EMA cross down A2- > 37 days later -(April 28th 2024) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55. Bottom B2- >68 days later -(July 5th 2024) price bottomed at 0.03788c. (-69.16% from previous peak $1.2295.) >105 days from Peak A2 to Bottom B2. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of Cycle A2: 260 days >260 days from Bottom A2 to Bottom B2 (entire Cycle A2) Time of Bottom A2 to Peak A2: 155 days >155 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell) Time of Peak A2 to Bottom B2: 105 days >105 days Peak A2 to Bottom B2 (best buy after peak the best sell) Cycle A2 most profit: > $0.1707 to $1.2295 6.2x (620.02%) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Guessing B2 Length of cycle. A:236 B:258 C:289 days A2:262 days Avg sum/4 = 262 days (March 23rd 2025) B-A = 22 C-B = 31 A2-C = -27 ...31-22+27= +36 >> 269+36 = 298 days (April 30th 2025) Guessing % gained A $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%) B $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%) C $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%) A2 $0.1707 to $1.2295 6.2x (620.02%) A+B+C+A2 / 4 = 3,429.79%. B-A = 4268.05% A-C = 1157.12% C-A2= 1552.27% 4268.05 - 1157.12 - 1552.27 = 1558.66% instead got the ratio of A (3329.41%)/ B (7597.46%) = 0.4382 x C (2172.29%) = 951% instead got the ratio of B (7597.46%)/ C (2172.29%) = 3.49744 x A2 (620.02%) = 2168.48% made more sense to compare AB to A2B2 therefore went with this > instead got the ratio of B (7597.46%)/ A (3329.41%) = 2.28192 x A2 (620.02%) = 1414.838% alternative average ratio AB + CA2 / 2 = 1559.74% Percent gain $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (1+ (1414.838/100) ) = $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (1+ 14.1483) = $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (15.1483) = $0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (15.1483) = $5.73366 B2 predicted price = $5.73366 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If I go by how much I was wrong for A² prediction, then adjust $1.2295 actual A² / $1.7956 A² predicted = 0.68367 X adjusted B² / $5.7336 B² predicted = 0.68367 X adjusted B² = 0.68367*$5.7336 B² predicted X adjusted B² = $3.82564 Adjusted prediction is $3.83 for B2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Döngüyü 5 parçaya göre tanımlama: 1. Dip: Geçiş öncesinde fiyat en düşük seviyeye ulaştı 2. EMA çapraz yükselişi: günlük zaman diliminde ema 22, ema 55'in üzerine çıkıyor 3. Zirve: Bu dönemde EMA çaprazının yukarı ve aşağı hareketleri arasındaki fiyat zirveleri, 4. EMA çapraz aşağı: günlük zaman diliminde ema 22, ema 55'in altına iner 5. Dip: Fiyat çaprazdan sonra en düşük dip noktasına ulaşıyor Döngü A Alt A- (13 Mart 2020) fiyat 0,0017 doların altına düştü EMA çapraz A- >68 gün sonra (20 Mayıs 2020) EMA 22, EMA 55'in üzerine çıktı Tepe A- >105 gün sonra -(2 Eylül 2020) fiyat 0,0566 $'a yükseldi >Dipten zirveye 173 gün EMA çapraz aşağı A- > 46 gün sonra -(18 Ekim 2020) EMA 22, EMA 55'in altında kapandı. Alt B- >17 gün sonra -(4 Kasım 2020) fiyat 1,262c'de dip yaptı. (Önceki zirve olan 0,0566 dolardan %-77.) > A Zirvesinden B Tabanına 63 gün. -------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- A Döngüsü Süresi: 236 gün >Alt A'dan Alt B'ye 236 gün (A Döngüsünün tamamı) Alt A'dan Zirve A'ya kadar geçen süre: 173 gün >173 gün Alt A'dan Zirve A'ya (en iyi alıştan en iyi satışa) Zirve A'dan Dip B'ye Zaman: 63 gün >63 gün Zirve A'dan Dip B'ye (zirveden sonra en iyi alış, en iyi satış) A Döngüsü en fazla kâr: > 0,0017 ABD Doları - 0,0566 ABD Doları 33,29x (%3329,41) -------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- Döngü B Alt B- -(4 Kasım 2020) fiyat 0,01262 dolara düştü. EMA çaprazlama B- >66 gün sonra -(9 Ocak 2021) EMA 22, EMA 55'in üzerine çıktı. Tepe B- >121 gün sonra -(10 Mayıs 2021) fiyatı 0,9588$'a ulaştı. > En düşük b'den en yüksek b'ye kadar 187 gün >Çöküşü alıp zirveyi satarsanız %7597,46 kazanç elde edersiniz. (76x) EMA çapraz aşağı B- >15 gün sonra -(25 Mayıs 2021) EMA 22, EMA 55'in altında kapandı. Alt C- >56 gün sonra -(20 Temmuz 2021) 56 gün sonra 0,1534$ bir dip buldu (önceki zirve olan 0,01262$'dan %-84) -------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- B Döngüsü Süresi: 229 gün > Alt B'den Alt C'ye 236 gün (B Döngüsünün tamamı) Dip B'den Zirve B'ye ulaşma süresi: 187 gün >187 gün Alt A'dan Zirve A'ya (en iyi alıştan en iyi satışa) Zirve B'den Dip C'ye kadar geçen süre: 71 gün >71 gün Zirve B'den Dip C'ye (zirveden sonra en iyi alım, en iyi satış) B Döngüsü en fazla kâr: > 0,01262 ABD Doları - 0,9588 ABD Doları 75,97x (%7597,46) A + B döngüsünde en fazla kâr: > 0,0017 ABD Doları - 0,9588 ABD Doları 564x (%56400,00) -------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- Döngü C Alt C- -(20 Temmuz 2021) 56 gün sonra 0,1534 dolar dip buldu (-84%) EMA çaprazlama B- >56 gün sonra -(14 Ağustos 2021) EMA 22, EMA 55'in üzerine çıktı. Zirve C- >121 gün sonra -(10 Mayıs 2021) fiyatı 0,9588$'a ulaştı. > En düşük b'den en yüksek b'ye kadar 187 gün >Çöküşü alıp zirveyi satarsanız %7597,46 kazanç elde edersiniz. (76x) EMA çapraz aşağı C- >17 gün sonra -(25 Mayıs 2021) EMA 22, EMA 55'in altında kapandı. Alt D- >56 gün sonra -(20 Temmuz 2021) 56 gün sonra 0,1534 dolar dip buldu (-84%) -------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- Döngü Zamanı C: ??? günler >??? Alt C'den Alt D'ye kadar günler (C Döngüsünün tamamı) Dip C'den Zirve C'ye ulaşma süresi: 187 gün >?? Günler Alt C'den Zirve C'ye (en iyi satın alandan en iyi satana) Zirve C'den Dip D'ye Zaman: >?? günler Zirve C'den Dip D'ye (zirveden sonra en iyi alım, en iyi satış) C döngüsünde en fazla kâr: > 0,1534 $'dan $'a mı? ??X (??.??%) -------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------- >>39689909 >>39690048 >>39691413 >>39691773 Temelde 5 parça vererek bir döngünün tanımını yaptım.​ 1. Dip: Geçiş öncesinde fiyat en düşük seviyeye ulaştı 2. EMA geçişi: günlük zaman diliminde ma 22, ema 55'in üzerine çıkıyor 3. Zirve: Bu dönemde EMA çaprazının yukarı ve aşağı hareketleri arasındaki fiyat zirveleri, 4. EMA çapraz aşağı: günlük zaman diliminde ema 22, ema 55'in altına iner 5. Dip: Fiyat çaprazdan sonra en düşük dip noktasına ulaşıyor daha sonra oradan 3. döngüde olduğumuzu ve 15c'nin en alttaki olduğunu varsayarak bunu 3 döngüye bölebilirim. daha sonra data parçasını A döngüsünden B döngüsüne kadar bir araya getirdim, böylece aynı mantığı B döngüsünden C döngüsüne uygulayabildim. fibonacci grafikleri de aynı mantıkla yapıldı. ilginç data, C döngüsünün Kasım 2021 ile Mart 2022 arasında herhangi bir yerde bitebileceğini gösteriyor. A Döngüsünün toplam süresi: 236 gün B Döngüsünün toplam süresi: 229 gün Dip A'dan Zirve A'ya kadar geçen süre: 173 gün (en düşük fiyattan yükseğe) Dip B'den Zirve B'ye Zaman: 187 gün (en düşük fiyattan en yükseğe) C döngüsü 20 Temmuz 2021'de 15c'nin en düşük seviyesiyle başladı. (bu da satış zamanının ocak başı civarında olması gerektiği anlamına gelir)

Bu sadece aynı ABC çizelgesinin B döngüsünün tekrarı için bir fib çizelgesidir