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📉➡️📈 KASPA Weekly Falling Wedge – Compression Before a Larger Move _______________________________________________________________________________ KASPA (KASUSD) – Weekly Falling Wedge Analysis Kaspa has been forming a large falling wedge on the weekly timeframe, a structure often associated with decreasing selling pressure and potential bullish reversal setups. The trendlines have held for months, and price continues to compress as it approaches the apex of the pattern. Confidence is medium at this stage: the pattern remains valid, but momentum has not yet confirmed a breakout. _______________________________________________________________________________ 📉 Structure Overview On the weekly chart, price action has been steadily narrowing between lower highs and relatively stable lows. The lower trendline has been tested multiple times, and the aggressive wick on October 6th highlighted strong buying interest at this support. Since the Kraken listing, volume has gradually declined, which is typical behavior in the later stages of a wedge. Based on the current trajectory, a breakout still appears to be several weeks away as the market continues its compression. _______________________________________________________________________________ 🐂 Bullish Scenario If Kaspa continues to respect the wedge support, the first significant move would likely be a push toward the upper boundary of the structure near $0.09. Should price break out of the wedge, the next areas of interest become: 🎯 $0.09 – First touch of upper wedge resistance 🎯 $0.10 to $0.11 – Key structural resistance zone 🎯 $0.13 – A measured-move extension and historical supply area The strong wick reaction at the lower boundary suggests that buyers are active at these levels, which supports the idea that upside continuation is a realistic scenario if structure holds. _______________________________________________________________________________ 🐻 Bearish Scenario A full weekly candle close below the wedge would invalidate the structure and would likely lead to increased bearish momentum. If this breakdown occurs, the next downside levels to watch are: 🔻 $0.032 – First major support 🔻 $0.015 – Broader structural low Although this outcome is technically possible, it currently appears less probable due to the strength of demand visible along the lower trendline. _______________________________________________________________________________ 📐 Why This Pattern Matters A falling wedge represents tightening volatility and a reduction in selling strength as the pattern matures. These conditions often create a coiled-spring effect, leading to significant movement once the structure resolves. On a weekly chart, wedge breakouts tend to result in multi-week or multi-month directional moves, which makes this current setup important to monitor. 💡 Fundamental Tailwinds Supporting Long-Term Strength Kaspa’s fundamentals continue to evolve alongside this technical setup. _______________________________________________________________________________ 🧠 VProgs (Virtual Programs) VProgs introduce customizable, programmable rules directly into transactions. This allows users to define spending conditions, automate certain behaviors, and create more complex logic without relying on a full smart contract engine. They deliver much of the flexibility associated with smart contracts while keeping execution lightweight and efficient. _______________________________________________________________________________ ⚙️ Smart-Contract-Like Capabilities via the BlockDAG Kaspa’s BlockDAG architecture, combined with VProgs, provides room for expressive, rule-based applications while maintaining extremely fast confirmation times and strong Proof-of-Work security. This positions Kaspa to serve as a high-throughput programmable network without the bloat or congestion common in legacy smart contract environments. These fundamental developments support strong long-term potential, even as price compresses in the short term. _______________________________________________________________________________ 📌 Summary and Final Outlook Kaspa is approaching the apex of a clean falling wedge on the weekly chart. Volume is tapering, structure remains intact, and both bullish and bearish scenarios are clearly defined. The next major move will likely emerge once price resolves this tightening pattern. _______________________________________________________________________________ Bullish Targets: 📈 $0.09 → $0.10–$0.11 → $0.13 Bearish Invalidations: 📉 Weekly close below the wedge → $0.032 → $0.015 Overall, Kaspa continues to show long-term promise, supported by both technical structure and evolving fundamentals. Traders should watch closely as price approaches the point of resolution within this macro wedge.

CHZ has broken out and I believe this trade setup is a high probability opportunity. I am not interested in the fundamentals of the network and am strictly focused on the technicals. RISK: 0.0387 (LOW OF CURRENT 1W CANDLE) TGT 1: 0.668 | 3:1 R/R TGT: 0.0813 | 5:1 R/R -------------------------------------------------

The next 10 years of success for the Stellar Network (XLM) are being shaped by decisions, developments, and trends happening right now (2024–2025). Here’s a breakdown of the long-term shaping factors currently in motion that will influence Stellar's trajectory through 2035: ------------ 🌍 1. Real-World Use Cases Being Built Now Stellar is not waiting for hypothetical adoption — it’s already deploying use cases that are foundational to its future success. Examples: MoneyGram Access gives real people the ability to cash in/out of crypto in over 180 countries. USDC on Stellar enables stablecoin remittances with instant settlement and low fees. Stellar Aid Assist provides governments and NGOs a working model for humanitarian digital cash aid. Long-Term Impact: Building trust and infrastructure in the real world now means exponential network effects later — especially in emerging markets where crypto utility > speculation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🛠️ 2. Soroban (Smart Contracts) Rollout Stellar is rolling out Soroban, a Rust-based smart contract platform that will transform the network into a programmable blockchain. Why Soroban is Important: Enables DeFi, lending, NFTs, on-chain identity, and DAOs. Designed for predictable gas fees, making it ideal for finance and compliance. Makes Stellar more competitive with Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, etc. Long-Term Impact: Soroban turns Stellar into a platform where real, decentralized applications can live — critical for long-term value capture and developer retention. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🌐 3. Laying Global Payment Infrastructure Stellar is quietly building global payment rails through partnerships with: Fintechs (MoneyGram, Leaf, Settle, Cowrie) Stablecoin issuers (Circle for USDC, Novatti for AUDC) Payment aggregators in Africa, Latin America, Southeast Asia Long-Term Impact: By 2030, these partnerships could evolve into a globally interconnected network of on/off ramps, anchors, and stablecoins. This gives Stellar real utility far beyond speculation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🏛️ 4. Regulatory Alignment & Compliance Tooling The Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) is heavily involved in regulatory dialogue, including: Working with the BIS Innovation Hub and IMF working groups Building on-chain compliance tools (e.g. KYC/AML anchor guidelines) Developing the Stellar Disbursement Platform, which complies with aid distribution requirements Long-Term Impact: As crypto becomes more regulated, networks that built with compliance in mind will thrive. Stellar is positioning itself as a compliant blockchain for finance, especially for governments and NGOs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸 5. Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWAs) The future of blockchain is heading toward tokenizing everything — and Stellar is already positioning itself at the front of that movement. Franklin Templeton tokenized a U.S. mutual fund on Stellar. Stablecoins like USDC and native fiat tokens are in active use. Discussions are ongoing around CBDC pilots and tokenized bonds. Long-Term Impact: The network that supports the most trusted tokenized assets — from CBDCs to real estate to securities — will gain enormous value from volume and liquidity. Stellar is in that conversation now. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧠 6. Mission-Aligned Ecosystem Funding The Stellar Development Foundation holds billions of dollars in XLM and is using it to: Fund early-stage startups building on Stellar Run accelerator programs and hackathons Expand into new regional markets (Africa, Asia, LATAM) Long-Term Impact: Unlike many ecosystems that fizzle due to lack of funding or misaligned VC interests, Stellar has long-term strategic capital to guide the network toward its mission of financial access. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🔐 7. Security, Speed, and Simplicity From day one, Stellar has prioritized: Fast block finality (~5 seconds) Very low fees (< $0.001) Energy-efficient consensus (SCP – Stellar Consensus Protocol) These strengths are especially important for high-volume, low-margin applications like: Micropayments Remittances Real-time settlements Tokenized wages and aid Long-Term Impact: As the blockchain infrastructure layer for finance matures, efficient networks will dominate. Stellar’s technical foundation makes it a sustainable long-term option. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧭 8. Stellar’s Focused, Long-Term Vision SDF’s mission isn’t to be “just another smart contract chain” — it’s to improve access to equitable financial services, especially in underbanked regions. That vision is: Clear Consistent Attractive to partners, governments, and NGOs Long-Term Impact: Clarity of mission = better talent, partners, funding, and resilience during market cycles. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stellar Lumens (XLM) is exhibiting strong bullish momentum supported by favorable technical indicators, resilient support zones, and growing investor sentiment around utility-driven altcoins. The recent rebound off the $0.24 support level marks a significant higher low on the daily chart, reinforcing the continuation of the medium-term uptrend that began in Q2 2025. This rebound occurred with increasing trading volume, signaling renewed accumulation and a potential shift in market structure from consolidation to expansion.I firmly believe the bottom is in, and the next leg up is upon us.