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protontrader0

The term "Judas Swing" is a trading concept coined by ICT (Inner Circle Trader) that refers to a price movement that traps traders in a false breakout before reversing direction. The name is derived from the biblical figure Judas Iscariot, who betrayed Jesus with a kiss. In the context of trading, a Judas Swing occurs when price briefly breaks out of a key support or resistance level, triggering stop-loss orders and attracting traders who anticipate a continuation of the breakout. However, instead of continuing in the breakout direction, the price swiftly reverses and moves in the opposite direction, causing losses for those who entered positions based on the false breakout signal. The purpose of the Judas Swing is to "shake out" weak traders or those with incorrect market bias before resuming the original trend. It is a common occurrence in the markets and can be frustrating for traders who fall victim to it. To navigate the Judas Swing, traders can take several precautions: Identifying a Judas Swing requires careful observation and analysis of price action. Here are some steps to help you identify a potential Judas Swing: 1. Monitor Price Approaching a Level: Pay close attention to how price behaves as it approaches a key support or resistance level. Look for signs of anticipation or excitement among traders, as this can indicate the potential for a false breakout. 2. Look for a Breakout: Watch for a breakout where the price moves convincingly above or below the support or resistance level. This breakout typically attracts traders who believe the price will continue in the breakout direction. 3. Observe the Speed and Volume of the Move: Take note of the speed and volume of the breakout. If the price quickly and forcefully moves beyond the level, it could be a sign of a potential Judas Swing. A strong breakout followed by a sudden reversal can trap traders who entered positions based on the breakout. 4. Analyze Candlestick Patterns: Pay attention to the candlestick patterns that form during and after the breakout. Look for bearish engulfing patterns (a larger bearish candle engulfing the prior bullish candle) or bullish engulfing patterns (a larger bullish candle engulfing the prior bearish candle) as potential indications of a reversal. 5. Confirm the Reversal: To confirm the potential Judas Swing, look for additional signs of reversal. This can include a strong rejection of the breakout level, a rapid change in momentum indicated by a shift in volume, or a divergence in an oscillator indicator such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI). 6. Consider Confirmation from Other Indicators: Use additional technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm the potential Judas Swing. This can include trendlines, moving averages, or other support and resistance levels. Look for confluence or alignment of signals to increase the reliability of the setup. 7. Exercise Patience and Wait for Confirmation: Avoid rushing into a trade based solely on the potential Judas Swing. Wait for confirmation of the reversal before entering a position. This helps minimize the risk of mistaking a false breakout for a genuine one. Utilizing the concept of a Judas Swing in trading involves recognizing and capitalizing on false breakouts. Now let's take a look at some steps to effectively use the Judas Swing concept: 1. Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels: Determine the significant support and resistance levels on the price chart. These levels can be identified using previous swing highs and lows, trendlines, or chart patterns such as channels or rectangles. 2. Wait for a Breakout: Monitor the price as it approaches a key support or resistance level. Wait for a breakout where the price moves convincingly above or below the level. 3. Look for Signs of a Judas Swing: Observe the behavior of the price following the breakout. If the breakout is a Judas Swing, the price will quickly reverse back into the previous range or opposite direction, trapping traders who entered positions based on the breakout. 4. Confirm the Reversal: To confirm the Judas Swing, look for signs such as a sharp reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., a bearish or bullish engulfing pattern), a strong rejection of the breakout level, or a rapid change in momentum indicated by a shift in volume or a momentum oscillator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI). 5. Enter a Trade: Once the Judas Swing is confirmed, consider entering a trade in the direction opposite to the initial breakout. This means taking a position against the majority of traders who fell for the false breakout. However, ensure you have a solid trading plan and risk management strategy in place. 6. Set Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels: Place a stop-loss order above the recent swing high (for short trades) or below the recent swing low (for long trades) to manage risk. Set a take-profit level based on your profit target or technical indicators such as support and resistance levels or Fibonacci retracement levels. 7. Monitor Price Action: Continuously monitor the price action following the entry. Adjust the stop-loss level if necessary to protect profits or minimize losses. Consider trailing the stop-loss to lock in gains as the price moves in your favor. 8. Exit the Trade: Exit the trade when the price reaches your predetermined take-profit level or if the market conditions change, invalidating your trade setup. So what did your understand? Judas swing is the false breakout. For some traders it's a disaster as it will take them out of the trade. But actually it is an opportunity to take advantage of. In SMC people call it taking out of liquidity, what ever the name is , everything is same. The simplest way you can make use of the Judas or False break out is by waiting for it happen. After the breakout wait for the price to come to our support or resistance zone and clear it's low or high. Next thing to do is entering the trade on the retracement that it will make and keeping the SL above or below the Judas swing or False Breakout. Simple as that. Money is made by waiting so keep calm and wait for it to happen, don't rush and take your entries. Instead of making the post small, i have elaborated it a bit above for you guys to understand. Remember, false breakouts can occur, but not every breakout will result in a Judas Swing. Proper risk management, thorough analysis, and confirmation from other technical indicators or patterns can increase the likelihood of successfully identifying and trading Judas Swings. Practice and experience are key to mastering this trading concept.
protontrader0

Introduction When analyzing financial charts, traders and investors often encounter resistance and support levels. These levels represent price points at which a financial instrument has historically faced obstacles in moving higher (resistance) or lower (support). Understanding the formation of these levels can provide valuable insights into market dynamics and aid in making informed trading decisions. In this article, we will explore why resistance and support levels form in charts and their significance in technical analysis. Resistance Levels: The Ceilings of Price Movements Resistance levels act as barriers that impede the upward movement of prices. Here are three primary reasons why resistance levels form: 1. Psychological Factors: Investor sentiment and market psychology play a crucial role in resistance level formation. When a financial instrument approaches a previous all-time high, many investors may decide to sell their holdings, fearing a potential price reversal. This collective behavior creates selling pressure, preventing the price from surpassing the resistance level. 2. Profit-Taking: Traders who purchased a financial instrument at lower prices often aim to take profits when prices rise. When a significant number of traders decide to sell near a specific price level, it generates selling activity that impedes further price increases and establishes resistance. 3. Supply and Demand Imbalance: Resistance levels can emerge due to an imbalance between the supply and demand for a financial instrument. If there is an abundance of sellers at a particular price level, the market becomes saturated with supply. As a result, buyers find it challenging to absorb the selling pressure, leading to resistance. Support Levels: The Floors of Price Movements Support levels act as price floors, preventing prices from declining further. Here are three key reasons why support levels form: 1. Bargain Hunting: When prices decline and reach a certain level, investors often perceive it as an opportunity to buy at a discounted price. The belief that the asset is undervalued attracts buyers, creating demand and establishing support at that level. 2. Value Perception: Support levels can emerge when investors believe that the price of a financial instrument has fallen to a level that represents good value for money. This perception encourages buyers to enter the market and support the price. 3. Stop Loss Orders: Traders commonly employ stop loss orders to limit potential losses. These orders are often placed just below support levels. When the price reaches the support level, the stop loss orders are triggered, resulting in an influx of buying activity. This increased demand helps create a support level. Utilizing Resistance and Support Levels in Trading It's important to note that resistance and support levels are not infallible predictors of future price movements. However, they offer valuable insights into market sentiment and can be used in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools. Here are a few ways traders and investors utilize resistance and support levels: 1. Identifying Breakout and Reversal Points: Traders monitor resistance levels to identify potential breakout points, where prices may surpass the resistance and continue their upward trajectory. Similarly, support levels are observed to identify potential reversal points, where prices may bounce off the support and resume an upward movement. 2. Determining Entry and Exit Points: Resistance and support levels assist traders in determining optimal entry and exit points for their trades. Traders may consider selling or taking profits near resistance levels and buying or adding to positions near support levels. 3. Risk Management: By analyzing resistance and support levels, traders can establish appropriate stop loss levels to manage their risk. Placing stop loss orders just below support levels or above resistance levels can help limit potential losses in case of price reversals. Conclusion Resistance and support levels in financial charts provide valuable insights into market dynamics and historical price behavior. They are formed due to various factors, including psychological influences, supply and demand imbalances, profit-taking, and bargain hunting
protontrader0

BTC/USD Sell trade, add more position at this level. Hey fellow traders This a trade set-up that i am looking in BTCUSD. We are already in a short position in this pair which is running profitability after hitting our second target. Check that out in my profile. Now in this trade we are looking for a place to place a few more position. I have marked out how i think the price is going to go. We will only take once the price breaks our change of character (Coc) level and we will wait for the pull back to enter. You may then place your SLnas i have marked. Only enter the trade if CoC broken. DISCLAIMER: This is solely my view of the price and not a financial advice . I will not be responsible for the trade you take. Manage your risks and trade wisely. All the best!!!!
protontrader0

BTC/USD Scalp Hello traders!! This is just a scalping setup that i am looking on BTCUSD. It's currently ranging between daily support and resistance marked with the rectangles. Now at a daily resistance point it could atleast retrace back or go down to the daily support before going up again.We can see some rejection of price after touching the resistance,marked with the yellow circle.I have also marked targets and SL with horizontal rays. Before entering the trade make sure that there is a CoC in the price in a smaller time frame. If price hits my SL and closes above daily resistance my bias will change to long position as it will be a CoC in the daily time frame. DISCLAIMER: This is not a financial advice. What i am sharing here is just my personal view of the price and i will not be held responsible for the trades you take. Use your money properly and wisely. Manage your risks traders.
Disclaimer
Any content and materials included in Sahmeto's website and official communication channels are a compilation of personal opinions and analyses and are not binding. They do not constitute any recommendation for buying, selling, entering or exiting the stock market and cryptocurrency market. Also, all news and analyses included in the website and channels are merely republished information from official and unofficial domestic and foreign sources, and it is obvious that users of the said content are responsible for following up and ensuring the authenticity and accuracy of the materials. Therefore, while disclaiming responsibility, it is declared that the responsibility for any decision-making, action, and potential profit and loss in the capital market and cryptocurrency market lies with the trader.