filatovarthur

Yesterday price failed to hold below key support. Gold has now broken out of a descending channel after reclaiming the global trendline. It’s trading above the nearest fractal and testing the MA200, with Awesome Oscillator flashing bullish momentum. #TradeIdea 🔼 Buy XAUUSD — only if we get a clear consolidation above $3340 🎯 Target 1: $3360 🎯 Target 2: $3385 (only after Target 1 is hit) ⚠️ Wait for confirmation — no premature entries.

BTCUSD is currently consolidating above the $112,000 level — a critical price zone that could mark the beginning of a new leg higher.If this consolidation holds, it signals strong buyer interest and sets the stage for a potential breakout. The next major target lies at $120,000, aligning with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, a key level often associated with explosive momentum moves.💡 This setup reflects growing confidence in the crypto space and may attract institutional inflows if confirmed.

Gold has broken below the ABCD harmonic pattern structure, a classic sign of a potential trend reversal. This bearish move is now approaching the critical support at $3385, which has acted as a structural pivot in past sessions.Adding to this bearish outlook, the Momentum oscillator has crossed decisively below the 100-line, confirming a shift in directional strength and reinforcing downside potential.🔽 TradeIdea – XAUUSD Short SetupEntry Trigger: Initiate short positions only if price closes below $3385 on strong volume.Take-Profit Target: $3360 – near the lower harmonic projection and previous demand zone.Stop-Loss Idea: Above $3412 (structure invalidation level)This setup aligns with both pattern-based analysis and momentum confirmation, increasing confidence for short-term bearish continuation.

🔵 Setup: BUY on Breakout — targeting continuation after corrective pullback📉 Market Structure:Bullish impulse completed a clear 5-wave Elliott structureCurrent pullback forming a potential Wave 2 or IVPrice sitting above the breakout zone (~3391.6 support)✅ Trade Details:Entry: Buy @ 3422 (on bullish candle close above local resistance zone)Stop Loss: 3408 (below consolidation low)Target 1: 3445Target 2: 3468RRR: ~1:2.3Confidence: HIGH — strong momentum wave + clean structure🔍 Technical Confluence:Wave (2) retracement respectedChannel breakout held (blue ascending)Minor resistance around 3420 is being retestedVolume likely to spike in NY sessionCaution: Avoid entry if price breaks below 3391.6 – would invalidate short-term structure.

Gold’s recent rebound appears corrective within a broader short-term bearish structure. Price action has stalled below the 200-period 4H SMA and key Fib resistance, signaling potential exhaustion.🔎 Technical Confluence:Rejection from descending trendline resistance61.8% retracement of the latest drop capped upside near $3,315Bearish RSI divergence on 1H and 4HWeak momentum on MACD + low ADX signals lack of trend strength📊 Macro Overlay:Market remains cautious ahead of today’s Core PCE data (expected to cool slightly YoY).Rising real yields and firm USD limit upside in gold, especially as risk-on tone returns temporarily.Positioning data shows speculative longs remain elevated—raising vulnerability to profit-taking.⚠️ Execution Note:Patience is key—wait for confirmation via bearish engulfing or failure swing near $3,315 before engaging. Lower timeframes show consolidation; a breakdown below $3,290 will likely accelerate toward the $3,274 target.

Gold is showing signs of recovery on the H1 timeframe, rebounding from the critical $3,290 support zone after a brief consolidation phase. A notable development is the 50-period moving average crossing above the 200-period MA — forming a Golden Cross, which is a classic bullish signal suggesting upward momentum may strengthen in the near term.🔍 Momentum Insights:Resistance Check: On the micro-level, XAUUSD is approaching short-term resistance — the 50-MA itself — which may offer temporary friction.MACD Confirmation: The MACD histogram has crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish divergence and signaling growing upward momentum.Structure: Price is maintaining higher lows while respecting the moving average structure — a sign of controlled bullish development.📈 #TradeIdea – Breakout StrategyWe are watching for a buy opportunity above the $3,320 breakout level, aligning with a shift in both momentum and structure.🔼 Long Setup:📍 Entry: Buy on breakout above $3,320🎯 Target 1: $3,350🎯 Target 2: $3,365🛡️ Stop-loss can be trailed below $3,290 (support turned invalidation)

Here it is - Gold has started to fall. The price formed a descending channel pattern, bounced off the upper trendline, and broke the short-term uptrend. Parabolic SAR indicates the beginning of the decline, and MACD confirms the decline. There is also Imbalance at the bottom.🔽 We consider selling #XAUUSD only on consolidation below 3305;🎯 Target: 3250.

As of today’s session, Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a sensitive consolidation phase, with short-term sentiment driven by macroeconomic releases and geopolitical developments.🔻 Support Range Focus: $3,230 – $3,225This zone holds strategic importance for the following reasons:Structural Role: $3,230–$3,225 represents a key demand zone tested multiple times during previous intraday lows—validating it as a potential base for a rebound.Buy Liquidity Zone: Order flow indicates accumulation around this range, suggesting institutional interest in defending this level.Confluence Factors:Previous resistance-turned-supportFib retracement (38.2% from last rally)H1 bullish divergence forming on RSI below 30🎯 Scenarios🟢 Bullish Rebound ScenarioIf the $3,225 support holds:Upside Targets: $3,248 (pivot), $3,267, and $3,289Watch for confirmation: bullish engulfing candle or breakout on volume from consolidation range🔴 Bearish Breakdown ScenarioIf price breaks below $3,225 with momentum:Next supports lie at $3,195 and deeper at $3,167Breakdown could accelerate selling as stop-losses trigger under $3,225📊 Momentum & IndicatorsRSI: Hovering near oversold (H1), suggesting potential for mean reversionMACD: Flat to slightly negative, showing loss of upward momentumATR: Contracting, pointing to a likely breakout scenario ahead🧠 Strategic Takeaway"$3,230–$3,225 is the critical decision zone. Stay reactive—not predictive. Look for reaction strength, not just the level itself."

Wednesday, March 26, 2025, with a specific scenario based on your support level at 2980 and the prior context of resistance at 3035–3060 and downside targets at 3000 and 2960. I’ll outline two plausible scenarios—a bounce at 2980 and a break below 2980—to give you a clear picture of what might unfold today. Projecting from a hypothetical opening near $3,020

On Tuesday, March 25, 2025, I don’t have real-time market data to confirm the exact trend for gold (XAUUSD) today, but I can analyze the levels you’ve provided—upper resistance at 3035–3060 and a downward trend toward 3000 and 2960—based on available context, recent forecasts, and sentiment.Current Drivers:Bearish Pressure: A stronger USD (possibly tied to Trump’s tariff rhetoric, per News18) and reduced safe-haven flows if geopolitical tensions ease could push gold lower today. X sentiment notes a “fluctuating upward trend” turning into a high adjustment, hinting at consolidation or a dip.Bullish Counter: Industrial demand and central bank buying (World Gold Council: 1,000+ tons in 2024, accelerating in Q4) might limit the downside, keeping 3000 as a floor unless a major catalyst shifts sentiment.ConclusionGold’s trend today, per your levels, suggests a bearish tilt: testing resistance at 3035–3060 and moving toward 3000, potentially 2960 if support fails.