davekclinton76

September hasn’t been Apple’s friend historically — average return is around –4.5% and over the last 5 years we’ve seen more red than green. Institutions usually use this month to rebalance into Q4, which can weigh on tech. This year we’ve also got the Sept 9 “Awe Dropping” event (iPhone 17 lineup, Apple Watch updates, maybe AirPods). That’s a clear catalyst, but sometimes it’s “buy the rumor, sell the news.” Here’s how I’m looking at it: ⬆Bull Scenario (Breakout) If Apple clears 234 with volume and holds above, bulls could push it higher. Clean breakout = momentum continuation 🚀. 🔄 Sideways Scenario (Chop) Apple tags 234, stalls, and just chops. No clear trend, just range trading while the market waits for a catalyst . 📉 Bear Scenario (Double Top / Puts) Apple rejects at 234, goes sideways, then dumps. That would set up a **double top** and open downside risk back toward 219 . For me → last week wasn’t great P\&L-wise, so I’m focusing on patience this month. Not trying to predict which path plays out, just mapping the if/then so I’m ready. 👉 What’s your bias going into September?

Sellers tried to push it down to 223.81 (PDL) but couldn’t hold it. Buyers stepped in, and now price looks like it wants that 235 level. On the 4H chart, it’s looking like a double bottom that turned into a bull flag. So far holding EMAs and riding trend clean. If it breaks under 229 with momentum, I’ll probably chill. But as long as it holds here, I think the move isn’t done yet. Not advice. Just how I see it today. What do y’all think? Fakeout setup or clean continuation?

Keeping it tight and tactical. AAPL is setting up in a clear zone with 3 outcomes based on how it reacts to 227–231. Here's the full map: 1. Bullish Scenario – Buyers Step In Condition: * Holds 229 support * Reclaims 231 with volume * QQQ green, VIX fading Price Action: * Buyers absorb sellers at 229–230 * Break over 231 opens 233, possible 235 (call wall) Game Plan: * Long bias above 231 * Trim at 233 * Runner target = 235 * Stop = under 227 --- 2. Sideways Scenario – Range Holds Condition: * Can’t break 231 * But holds above 227 * Low volume and compressed ATR Price Action: * Ping-pong between 227–231 * Wicks both sides, indecision candles Game Plan: * Stay out unless there's edge * Scalps only: * Long 227 to 229 * Fade 231 to 229 * Small size, quick exits 3. Bearish Scenario – Breakdown Condition: * Loses 227 clean * QQQ red, VIX above 15.5 Price Action: * Sellers take control * Push into 224 zone * Maybe retest 223.5 (double bottom area) Game Plan: * Short under 227 * Cover partial at 224 * Hold runners for 223.5 * Stop = reclaim of 229 with volume Bias: Neutral. Will react to what AAPL does at the 229–231 zone. If 227 breaks, I’m hunting shorts. If 231 reclaims, I’ll ride the long side with defined stops.