Quaid-1

Information summary:Israel issued a statement: The attack on Iran has been completed. All Israeli Air Force pilots and crew members who participated in the attack on Iran returned to the base unscathed.Iran issued a statement: The attack could not have happened without the coordination and permission of the United States. The United States is responsible for the consequences of the Israeli air strikes.The unpredictable international situation has caused the price of gold to continue to rise after retreating.New forecast:After a strong rebound in the 3338 shock area and forming a high point, it is currently in a clear upward channel. The recent breakthrough of the 3398.4 area indicates that the trend will continue and point to the resistance line near 3465. At present, the price is testing the trend line that broke above, which may become a springboard for the next round of rise.Buy trigger point: rebound from near 3405, with strong trading volume.Risk attention:The possibility of triggering a false breakout trap near 3440.If gold loses the 3380-point trend line, its momentum may stagnate.Broader macro data could overtake technical support near resistance levels.

Event summary:On June 13, Israel launched an air operation codenamed "Lion Rising" against Iran. So far, five rounds of air strikes have been launched.As the situation in the Middle East escalates, gold has risen again due to risk aversion, directly breaking through 3,400. Gold risk aversion has increased, and there is no sign of easing for the time being, so gold risk aversion continues to rise, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise. Under the blessing of risk aversion, gold bulls have begun to dominate again.Market analysis:The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross and formed an upward trend. The upward momentum of gold is getting stronger and stronger. In the early Asian session, it once surged above $3,440, only $60 away from the historical high of 3,500. The outbreak of risk aversion is entirely the release of accumulated kinetic energy. Only when it is fully released can the strength of gold bulls weaken. The decline of gold means going long. If the price of gold falls back to the support level near 3,400 during the Asian session, buy on dips.Focus position:First support level: 3405, second support level: 3390, third support level: 3380First resistance level: 3440, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3470Operation strategy:Long strategy: Buy near 3405, stop loss: 3395, profit range: 3430-3450;Short strategy: Buy near 3455, stop loss: 3465, profit range: 3400-3380;If you want to trade aggressively, you can buy at the current price and wait for the price to reach a high point near 3350.

Yesterday, gold closed with an engulfing positive line, and the closing line stood above the 5-day and 10-day moving averages.From the analysis of gold in 1 hour, the current price is still in a fluctuating upward channel. Based on this technical pattern feature, if the subsequent economic data is positive and pushes the gold price to further strengthen, it may form a trading opportunity for shorting at a staged high. Although the gold price showed a rapid upward trend after the data was released, there has been obvious resistance in the historical trading concentration range of 3400-3410. The current bullish momentum has no technical conditions to break through this position, and the technical correction after the price surge is in line with the price behavior logic.The current price has reached a high of around 3398. After today's rise, there is not much room for upward movement; since the market is rising in a volatile manner this week, it is not suitable to chase the rise directly. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Band opening continues to diverge upward and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, the upward momentum is slightly insufficient and may be under pressure to move downward near 3410. I suggest that all traders short at high levels.Operation strategy:Short around 3410, stop loss at 3420, profit range 3360-3355. If it breaks through 3355, it may hit the intraday low below 3340.

Since last Friday, the daily line has shown an alternating trend of yin and yang. In the three trading days this week, the lows and highs have been rising continuously, which shows that the short-term trend is strong. Today's intraday trend also illustrates this point. At present, gold has risen directly to the 3388 line, directly refreshing the intraday high again.From the hourly chart, we must be careful of the possibility of gold diving. From the previous rules, each rise is about 45 US dollars. This time it also started from 3340-3345, and the increase was close to 45 US dollars. Moreover, each time the rise is completed, the dive callback is 35 US dollars. Therefore, once it starts to fall from 3385-3390, it is very likely to reach 3350-3355.In terms of short-term resistance, pay attention to the 3400 pressure level above; the support level is around 3340. the support level pays attention to the vicinity of 3340.Operation strategy:Short at 3385, stop loss at 3395, and profit range is 3360-3350.

Information summary:On Wednesday, the US dollar index plunged during the session as the CPI data that was lower than expected boosted the market's expectations of interest rate cuts. As of now, the lowest point is near 98.2.After the release of the CPI data, gold rose in the short term and touched the 3360 US dollar mark, and then quickly gave up the gains and retreated to around 3320. However, it rose again due to the sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. As of now, the highest is around 3380.Market analysis:From the current 4-hour chart:Yesterday's 3360 pressure level has been broken, and the Asian market has successfully stood above this position in the early trading. Then the suppression position of 3360 has turned into a support level. Therefore, the position we should pay close attention to next should be 3360-3350. If the price falls back to around 3350, it is possible to enter the market and do more. If the price rises again, it is very likely to break through 3400. Once it breaks through 3400, it will most likely reach around 3420.Secondly, from the hourly chart, there are some signs of head and shoulders bottom. It would be perfect if it can fall back and then go up again. But gold cannot fall below 3345 again. If it falls below 3345 again, it cannot be long.Operation strategy:Go long when the price falls back to around 3350, stop loss at 3340, profit range 3375-3400.

In Asian trading on Wednesday, traders are awaiting the release of the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as American households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. But the easing between the world's two largest economies should have an adverse impact on safe-haven assets such as gold, and the lack of a downward trend in gold prices suggests that investors are waiting for more developments.In terms of short-term trends, the gold 1-hour chart shows that gold prices remain in an upward channel with a low point. So from the trend, the current momentum for gold to rise will be stronger. The price pullback is giving opportunities to go long.The change of thinking is actually following the trend. For the current operation, enter the market with the trend, and cover the position when it falls back or break through the profit position to cover the position. In a strong market, during the correction phase, the price is rising, and the amplitude of the correction is often small. The bulls retreated at the opening to accumulate momentum. Above is the pressure level of 3350-3360. Once it breaks through and stabilizes, it will accelerate the upward trend. Just follow the general trend of the market.Operation strategy:Go long when the price falls back to 3310-3320, stop loss at 3300, and profit range is 3345-3360.

Market summary:Yesterday, thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, the US dollar once fell below the 99.0 mark. Spot gold rebounded from the low of 3293 hit earlier in the session, recovering all the losses during the day, and the highest point was near 3338.It fell from the high point in the early Asian session on Tuesday, and has been consolidating in the 3300-3310 range so far. In my early analysis, I pointed out that there is a high probability that the fifth wave of the wave trend will fall at the beginning of this week, and as I predicted, it is completing the fifth wave of the downward trend.Trend analysis:From the four-hour chart, the fourth wave of rebound has been completed, so today is the fifth wave of the downward trend. Next, we look at the two target ranges.The first target is around 3280, and the second is 3260-3350. And today, it is highly unlikely to stabilize above 3310, so don't choose to short at the rebound high point, the chance is very slim.Operation strategy:Short around 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3380-3350.

After the opening of the U.S. stock market today, the price of gold rose rapidly, breaking through the first resistance level of 3325, and currently reaching the intraday high of 3337.However, from the hourly chart, the current price has not reached the upward trend point I predicted, so the price is likely to rise slightly again in the future.From the 4-hour chart, gold rose again after falling back in the U.S. market, and the price broke through the 3325 position upward, which means that the short-term is strong; in the morning analysis, I predicted that gold would fall back and rush high, and the fall back can be short-term long, and the volatile market can be operated in the short term according to this strategy.At present, the 4-hour MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have a trend of forming a golden cross upward, and after the fall in the morning, the moving averages are currently showing an upward turning trend.Therefore, after the price breaks through 3325, the probability of continuing upward is still relatively large, and the pressure position is 3345; this position is the point after the fall back from the high point in May, and it is also an important pressure position after the current price falls back and rebounds.The price is currently heading towards a retest of 3340-3345 levels. If the dollar continues to fall and gold manages to consolidate above 3345, the bullish trend is likely to continue. However, a false breakout of 3340-3345 area could trigger a further decline following the breakdown of the bullish structure.

The Asian market continued to fall on Friday in the early trading on Monday, reaching a low of around 3293. It then bottomed out and rebounded, reaching a high of around 3325, and is currently maintaining a consolidation around 3320.From the hourly chart, gold is completing the fifth wave in the wave trend; in the short term, gold is in a rebound trend, and has been maintaining this upward trend channel.As long as it cannot fall below 3310 next, the gold rebound has not ended, and it may directly test the top around 3345. Because 3345 is exactly the bottom of the first wave, the rebound trend from 3293 is likely to be the fourth wave.As long as the fourth wave rebound cannot strongly break through the bottom of the first wave at 3345, then the fifth wave will most likely show a downward trend.Therefore, the current trading operation is basically simple;Long strategy: long at 3315-3320, stop loss at 3305, and profit range at 3340-3350.Short selling strategy: wait for the price to stabilize near 3345 and then enter the market to short sell.Important tip: If the price falls from 3345, it is highly likely to go down directly to the low point of 3280-3250.

Last Friday, the US dollar index rose and recovered the 99 mark as the non-farm data exceeded expectations and weakened the Fed's hope of cutting interest rates this year. Spot gold continued to fall after the release of non-farm data, breaking through the 3345 and 3330 levels.Market analysis:First look at the 4-hour chart of gold:It broke through the 3300 mark in the early Asian session on Monday and is currently maintained near 3310. However, from the current point of view, the decline of gold has not been completed. From the trend point of view, gold must at least test the position near 3280 and 3250 before there will be a relative chance of rebound. Once it falls below 3250, gold may not have a chance to rebound, and it will officially enter a bearish trend, and it will be greeted by a bearish trend at the daily level.From the hourly chart, if it cannot stabilize above 3310, then gold is likely to fall, and see whether it will break through 3280 or 3250. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3310, it may hit the early high near 3320 again. However, as long as it cannot stabilize above 3325, gold will still fall. Now you should pay attention to where to short gold.Operation strategy:If the price cannot stabilize above 3310, you can short near 3310.If it stabilizes above 3310, you can wait for short near 3320.