PipsnPaper

Momentum structure. Strong weekly open. Large Initial Balance. Breakout bias remains dominant unless we hit exhaustion.🔭 Likely Play Occurrences✅ Clean breakout long – Very High🟡 Rejection-and-hold near VAH – Moderate (watch for retest)🟠 Failed breakout then rotation long – Low–Moderate🔒 Shorts – Only valid after AWR High (3170) is hit🎯 Key Reference Levels (W13 Context + W14 Targets)W14 AWR High: 317050% AWR Target: 3134W13 High: 3086W13 VAH: 3046W13 POC: 3016W13 VAL: 3004W13 Low: 3002Holding structure above 3046 keeps breakout thesis alive. Watching for reaction near 3134 and exhaustion into 3170. Shorts only considered above AWR.

Friday Close – Week 13 Wrap + Week 14 Setup PreviewContextWeek 13 closed bullish, forming a double distribution profile and finishing just below all-time highs.Week 14 opens on the final day of March + Q1 — a high-stakes inflection point.Red folder news events dominate the week ahead, including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday.Key Weekly Levels (Week 13)MPH: 3086VAH: 3046POC: 3016 (below W12 POC at 3034)VAL: 3004MPL: 3002Last Week’s Play RecapEntered a Failed Auction Long early in W13 near W12 VAL (3014–3020)Structure evolved into clean IB Breakout, then full range extension and continuation toward highsLate-week close confirmed expansion above AMR High and value structureSome live positions remain open, awaiting Monday’s open for management decisionsLooking Ahead to Week 14Monday is observation-only — waiting for the Initial Balance (IB) to form on the 4H TPO Weekly ProfileThis week also prints:The February IB (from Daily/Monthly TPO)The Week 14 IB (Weekly TPO)The Q2 Opening Profile (Quarterly TPO)Higher timeframe structure remains bullish, but entries will only follow confirmed setups from the PNP playbookExecution Plan for the WeekLet Monday define IBMatch structure to historical high-probability patternsTag validated setups: FA, IBX, Reversion, etc.Execute using the scaling-in model only after confirmationMaintain consistent VAR and clarity on exit plan“Structure prints the story. Data confirms the play. We only act when both align.”Ready to trade with clarity and control?Hand-drawn charts + structured execution = Calm. Confident. In Control.Join the PipsnPaper community.

🟡 XAUUSD – Bullish Breakout Confirmed Ahead of GDP(Week 13 – 4H TPO Profile | March 26 Close)- ✅ **Failed Auction Long** triggered Monday off Previous Week VAL (3014) - ✅ **IBX Long** now confirmed — T closed above IB High (3033), U above PW-POC (3034) - ✅ **U-period printed a bullish engulfing candle**, signaling conviction through resistance - ✅ **Also closed above AMR High (3032)** — confirming expansion conditions - 📈 **Developing Value Area rising** (3014–3028), POC steady at 3016 - 🧠 Structure is leading → market accepting higher prices - ⚠️ **GDP release in ~3.5 hrs** — V-period will absorb or extend post-news - 🎯 Watching for continuation toward **3044–3050** (historical median cluster) - ❌ Reversal only on sharp rejection and close back below 3032Conviction + Structure = Signal. The market’s spoken — now we manage it.

IB (3002–3033) formed Monday.Confirmed Failed Auction Low after reclaiming VAL (3014).POC now migrating up (3020), price holding inside value (3012–3026).Watching for 4H close above IB High (3033) to trigger IBX Long toward 3050–3070.No valid short plays historically from this structure.#XAUUSD #MarketProfile #FailedAuction #IBX #PipsnPaper

Good morning from London, 10:46 AM. Price is in premium on the daily swing and has tapped into the daily imbalance. Yesterday we took longs from the wick and closed them early in the Asia session. Currently watching for a push up into intraday resistance, followed by a possible move down into 1H and 4H points of interest. Key areas of interest for Shorts: 3042–3045. Intraday longs are in play. Will look for short setups if price gives a signal on the 15M chart. Bias remains fluid – we’ll respond to what the market prints. Let’s see what unfolds.

🔹 Price has retraced into the 4H POI and is now reacting on the 15M. 🔹 Still trading within the overall range and discount zone of the move. 🔹 Price has just closed above the POI, confirming strength for now. 🔹 Currently long and monitoring trades – staying flexible as anything can happen. Let’s see what prints. 📈🔥

The bullish trend remains intact, with swing structure bullish across all key timeframes: ✅ Daily – Higher lows holding strong ✅ 4H, 1H, 15M – Structure remains bullish We’ll be watching how price develops overnight. Currently looking for longs on Thursday. Let’s see what prints. 📈🔥

📺 Watch the video for more details.Price has printed a 4H consolidation following the ATH. Key focus now: 🔹 Watching the high of consolidation for a potential breakout, retracement, and continuation. 🔹 Ideal scenario: False breakout & manipulation of the high, followed by a retrace back into the range. 🔹 Daily swing high in play, with Monday trading inside Friday’s range – opportunities for both continuation and retracement setups. 🔹 1H price action shows liquidity buildup below – potential fuel for a move lower. 📍 Still focused on a retracement back into discount levels of the current bullish expansion leg. Let’s see what prints at Tuesday’s open.

Watch the video for the full breakdown and key insights on our trading plan for Week 12!After a strong bullish run into the end of Week 11, XAUUSD hit all-time highs near 3000 before stalling. Price has broken structure to the upside, and now we’re watching for a retracement before continuation higher. Key Levels to Watch - 3000 – All-time high, major psychological level. - 2955 – Previous months high.- 2940 – Week 09 open & previous consolidation high. - 2920 – Daily opposing candles, possible reaction zone. - Daily Imbalance Below – Strong demand area for potential long re-entries. Lower Time Frame Considerations - Potential Market Maker Sell Model Developing – The only contrarian signal against the overall bullish sentiment. - To hold onto shorts for an extended move, we need to see this model play out very clearly—otherwise, long opportunities at key POIs remain valid. Plan for Week 12 - Short-term bearish bias towards discount levels, looking for long setups at key demand zones. - Watching for retracement before re-entering longs—no rush to chase price. - If market structure confirms bearish development, extended downside moves remain possible. Let’s stay flexible, execute with clarity, and trade what we see. #XAUUSD #MarketReview #PriceAction #TradingDiscipline #HandDrawnCharts

The daily POI has been reached, and price is now trading above the Week 10 high. This is a key area of interest for us, and on M15, a possible Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) is forming, aligning with our short thesis. We are scaling into shorts, focusing on executing our edge with discipline. The market can do anything, but our job is to stay patient, take high-probability trades, and let price do the heavy lifting. Check out the video for more.Let’s see how price develops from here.