KhanhC.Hoang

starting with 1/3 of my position now before its earning: sell-to-open 165p exp this Friday buy-to-open 160p exp 09/19 then I will trade along with the price action after its earnings.

My Bias: Mildly Bullish–Neutral. The post-earnings bear trap recovery!call calendar spread: sto 360c exp 08/29 bto 360c exp Oct 2025

Strong Q can reinforce confidence in AI ad engine: With AI ROI a key stock sentiment driver, 2Q positives could include: 1) Ad rev upside reinforcing confidence in Meta’s AI ad engine, 2) strong road map for 2H ad products, 3) optimism on new revenue opportunities for AI (Llama licensing, subscriptions, etc.) With Street likely anticipating 2Q revenue upside, risks are high expectations and higher expenses offset revenue revisions. Also, EU regulatory uncertainty is likely to continue. AI positioning optimism reinforced by performance: Given recent CEO posts, we expect big focus on AI investment and opportunities on the call, with possible updates on Llama and AI monetization strategies. Given audience scale, we continue to see Meta as one of the best AI opportunity stocks, with potential revenue upside as AI capabilities are integrated into the ad stack. At 24.5x our 2025 EPS, and with more investment coming, continued rev. momentum (which we expect) and a convincing AI product roadmap are key for maintaining sentiment & multiple.

A classic Wyckoff scenario is playing out, offering a prime opportunity if you have the nerve for it. Support: The key support zone is $300 - $305. As long as this holds, the bullish thesis is intact. Resistance: The primary target is the top of the multi-month accumulation range, around $370 - $380. A breakout above this would signal the start of a major new markup phase.

Sentiment: Analysts maintain a bullish long-term outlook, with price targets up to $306 514. Elliott Wave analysis suggests a corrective phase (Wave 2) targeting $159 before a potential reversal

copy & paste from the most recent Morgan Stanley's notes: 3 Reasons Capturing Consumables/Everyday Essentials Is Important: 1) Consumables/Essentials Make Up $1.6trln of US Offline Spend…Set to Drive ~45% of Incremental E-commerce Growth: We estimate US offline spend on grocery, household products, and personal care is $1.6trln...or ~47% of the remaining ~$3trln of offline US Retail Spend. Capturing a larger share of these dollars is important to AMZN’s long-term growth algorithm and its ability to continue to deliver faster than average retail top-line growth. 2) Consumables Have a Higher "Advertising Attach"...Leading to a Potentially Larger High-Margin Ad Business: We believe consumables have a higher than average “advertising attach” rate (advertising as a percent of GMV) given the long-standing use of advertising to build/expand/defend brands and trade-spend dollars used to drive volumes in offline retailer shelves. As such, the extent to which AMZN's consumables business becomes larger should enable AMZN to build an ever-larger high margin ad business. 3) Daily Habits Create Behavior Change: We have often written about AMZN's efforts to change consumer behavior (less shopping around, more online shoppers starting on AMZN, more repeat behaviors, etc.). Consumables and grocery are higher frequency, habitual purchases...so the extent to which AMZN can capture more of these purchases can drive behavior change and even more repeat long-term purchasing behavior (across all categories).

Coinbase's competitors: 1. Robinhood (HOOD) 2. Cash App (SQ) 3. Venmo (PYPL) Barclays bank revised its stance on Coinbase on Friday, shifting its price target down to $169 from $206 but upgrading the company to “Equal Weight” from “Underweight.”.

Google has also introduced **Axion**, a powerful custom chip designed for data centers. Here are the key details: 1. **Purpose**: Axion is Google's **first custom Arm-based CPU** specifically designed for data centers. 2. **Performance**: It delivers **industry-leading performance and energy efficiency**. 3. **Use Cases**: Axion can handle various tasks, including **Google searches** and **AI operations**. 4. **Comparison**: - Axion outperforms the fastest general-purpose Arm-based instances available in the cloud today by **up to 30%**. - It also provides **up to 50% better performance** and **up to 60% better energy efficiency** compared to current-generation x86-based instances¹. 5. **Deployment**: Google has already started deploying services like **BigTable, Spanner, BigQuery, Blobstore, Pub/Sub, Google Earth Engine**, and the **YouTube Ads platform** on current-generation Arm-based servers and plans to scale these services on Axion soon¹. In summary, Axion represents a significant step forward in custom silicon for Google's data centers, enhancing performance and efficiency across various workloads¹. 🚀 Source: Conversation with Copilot, 7/30/2024 (1) Introducing Google’s new Arm-based CPU | Google Cloud Blog. cloud.google.com/blog/products/compute/introducing-googles-new-arm-based-cpu. (2) Google unveils a new custom chip to supercharge tasks like search and .... androidcentral.com/phones/google/google-unveils-update-to-ai-chip. (3) Google Announces Its First Arm-Based Custom Chip Axion - Investopedia. investopedia.com/google-announces-its-first-arm-based-custom-chip-axion-8628764. (4) Google Cloud Unveils Custom Arm AI Chip. Nvidia Stock Falls - MSN. msn.com/en-us/news/technology/google-cloud-ai-event-kicks-off-with-arm-palo-alto-news/ar-BB1lknCm.

Here's a quick summary of the latest news about Meta this week: 1. **Llama 3 400B Release**: Meta is set to release the Llama 3 400B AI model next week. This model is expected to outperform competitors like Google's Gemma and Anthropic's Claude Sonnet¹. 2. **Stock Performance**: Meta Platforms' stock hit a 52-week high of $542.81 on July 8th, closing at $529.32. This marks a significant year-to-date increase of 49.5%². 3. **Mass Layoffs**: Meta is reportedly planning mass layoffs, which will impact thousands of employees. This would be the largest round of layoffs in the company's history⁶. Is there a specific aspect of Meta's news you'd like to dive deeper into? Source: Conversation with Copilot, 7/18/2024 (1) Meta to drop Llama 3 400b next week — here’s why you should care. msn.com/en-gb/lifestyle/lifestylegeneral/meta-to-drop-llama-3-400b-next-week-here-s-why-you-should-care/ar-BB1q4AUf. (2) Meta Platforms Hits 52-Week High: What's Next for META Investors?. markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/meta-platforms-hits-52-week-high-what-s-next-for-meta-investors-1033540542. (3) Meta is reportedly announcing mass layoffs this week. mashable.com/article/meta-mass-layoffs-report. (4) Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google Stocks Hit 52-Week Highs: Which Is The Best Investment?. markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/apple-microsoft-meta-google-stocks-hit-52-week-highs-which-is-the-best-investment-1033535731. (5) Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) Latest Stock News & Headlines - Yahoo Finance. finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/news/. (6) Latest Meta Company News | Meta - About Facebook. about.fb.com/news/category/technologies/meta/.

According to TipRanks, the average price target is $11.60 with a high forecast of $25.00 and a low forecast of $8.00. The average price target represents a 24.20% change from the last price of $9.34.