Jeremy_NPC

📰 MACRO & NEWS: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds Gold prices are strongly supported by fundamental factors: Fed Rate Cuts: The market is pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. Low rates = An ideal environment for Gold. Safe-Haven Demand: Political uncertainty (extended US Government shutdown) and lingering trade tensions boost safe-haven appeal. Key Data: Delayed CPI data, expected on October 24th, will serve as a major market catalyst. Summary: The fundamental momentum for an upside move is dominant and ready for a breakout. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup! The chart shows Gold is correcting towards a powerful Demand Zone, where the Uptrend Line converges with a critical structural low. 🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy We are looking to initiate a buy position as the price hits this demand zone: Position: LONG (BUY) - Following the primary bullish trend BUY ZONE (Entry): $4,237 $4,235 (Key Demand Zone) SL (Stop Loss): $4,227 (Protecting the bullish structure's low) TP (Take Profit Targets): TP1: $4,245 TP2: $4,255 TP3: $4,265 TP4: $4,275 Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+) REMINDER: This buy opportunity in the demand zone is strongly backed by macro factors (Fed & Instability). Always manage your risk! #GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetup

Gold (XAU/USD) exploded in the Asian session, setting a New All-Time High (ATH)! This powerful rally is fueled by a perfect storm of global risks: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade Tensions Surge: Trump's threat of 100% tariffs on Chinese exports, despite a later softening, created massive uncertainty. ⚠️ Geopolitical Risk: Trump's warning about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keeps geopolitical tensions high, boosting safe-haven demand. 🏛️ US Government Shutdown: The funding deadlock continues, entering its third week, eroding confidence. ✂️ Fed Cut Hopes: High probabilities for Fed rate cuts in October/December (96%/87%) continue to strongly support the non-yielding precious metal. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure Has Flipped BULLISH! The price action this morning was crystal clear, showing Smart Money is in control: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal: Gold saw a rapid "sweep" below the 4000 mark, triggering sellers' stop-losses and creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing and recovering lightning-fast. Uptrend Established (BOS & MSS): This surge led to a Break of Structure (BOS), clearing the old ATH at 405x, and confirming a distinct Market Structure Shift (MSS). The market structure has officially flipped from bearish to BULLISH. Trading Strategy: Priority: BUY as long as the price maintains above the Order Block (OB) key support zone at 405x. This is the critical support level. Risk Warning: Extreme caution is advised for shorting at highs. The risk of price traps and liquidity grabs at psychological round numbers is very high. Sell Scenario: Only consider a short-term SELL if there is a strong breakdown and a candle close below 405x. The expected target would be a pullback to 4000 to consolidate before resuming the main BUY trend. 👉 Conclusion: Fundamental and technical forces are aligned. Keep watching the 405x support to confirm potential BUY entries. #GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis

Hello, traders! Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This rally was immediately triggered by President Donald Trump's unexpected threat of new tariffs on China, which fueled a rush toward safe-haven assets. Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot Core Drivers: Escalating trade conflict (Trump), continued Fed rate cut expectations, and global political instability (US Shutdown, France risk) are solidifying gold's safe-haven status. Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, gold recovered quickly and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying pressure is dominant and the bullish momentum remains strong. Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to negative news. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124 Support: $3984, $3951, $3934 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot) BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982 SL: $3974 TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032 SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026 SL: $4034 TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976 Will the threat of a trade war push gold toward $4100 next week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView

Hello, traders! Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Up 54% YTD, this rally is strongly fueled by two core factors: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cut momentum (backed by FOMC Minutes) and 2) Overwhelming safe-haven demand due to global instability (US Shutdown, Middle East conflict). Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed The sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) led many to suspect a reversal. However, buying pressure overwhelmed sellers and broke resistance at $402x. Technical Conclusion: The dip was a Sell Trap and merely a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk Warning: Only if $4000 is cleanly broken on heavy volume does the risk shift heavily against long positions. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094 Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support) BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017 SL: $4013 TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038 BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990 SL: $3982 TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040 SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058 SL: $4062 TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086 SL: $4094 TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036 Can this momentum push Gold past $4100 this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView

Hello, traders! Gold officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this psychological level, the rally remains strongly supported by: Fundamentals & Market Conflict Main Drivers: Expectations for two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are key), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) driven by global instability and inflation fears. Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA) warns that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a consolidation or correction in Q4. Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction The price was rejected at $4000, leading to a local correction. However, the overall trend remains very strong and bullish. The safest strategy is to wait for a BUY at potential support zones. Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to capitalize on the main trend's momentum. Limit SELL attempts unless using extremely tight SL. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064 Support: $4018, $3999, $3986 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips) BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992 SL: $3984 TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067 SL: $4075 TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017 Do you believe BoA's warning, or will the FOMC Minutes break $4050? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS

Hello, traders! Gold just hit a New Record High at $3,976.3/oz. However, immediately after, the market witnessed a clear structure break and the formation of a Double Top pattern in the European session. This strongly signals a shift in strategic priority. Fundamentals & Bias Reversal Core Drivers: Gold is up 50% YTD due to persistent Fed rate cut expectations (two more cuts projected) and severe global political instability (US Shutdown, France crisis, rising Japanese yields). Technical Bias: We are now prioritizing SELL due to the confirmed Double Top and structure breakdown. Only consider BUYs at deeper support zones with controlled risk. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3953, $3975, $3984, $4004 Support: $3942, $3931, $3910, $3899 Trading Strategy (Prioritize SELL): SELL SCALP: $3957 - $3959 SL: $3963 TPs: $3953, $3948, $3943, $3938, $3933 SELL ZONE: $3975 - $3977 SL: $3985 TPs: $3967, $3957, $3947, $3937, $3927 BUY ZONE 1 (Wait): $3931 - $3929 SL: $3921 TPs: $3939, $3949, $3959, $3969, $3979 BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper): $3899 - $3897 SL: $3889 TPs: $3907, $3917, $3927, $3937, $3947 Will the Double Top send Gold back toward $3900? Let me know your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTop #SELL #Fed #TradingView

Hello, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) just had a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after breaching the $3900 barrier. This strength is underpinned by two major monetary policy factors: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new Prime Minister. Fundamentals & Technical Caution Dual Drivers: The market anticipates two more Fed rate cuts this year, which, combined with the BoJ's dovish outlook, creates a strong foundation for Gold. Safe-Haven: The ongoing US Shutdown and geopolitical tensions maintain demand for Gold as a safe haven. FOMO Warning: The upward momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high (FOMO). Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to ensure safer entries. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3954, $3963 Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908 SL: $3904 TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958 BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893 SL: $3885 TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966 SL: $3974 TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916 Are you ready to capitalize on this new momentum? Share your view below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #RateCutsSELL ZONE 3964 - 3966 --> + 200pips HIT TP2

Hello, traders! Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, with futures hitting $3,908.9/oz. The rally is fueled by growing concerns over the US Government Shutdown and the near-certain expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October). Fundamentals & Outlook Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a stable bullish factor, delaying economic reports and attracting massive safe-haven capital. Rate Cut Certainty: The market considers a Fed rate cut almost guaranteed, providing strong support for non-yielding Gold. Technicals & Trading Strategy Weekly buying power is extremely strong. Gold is consolidating near $3900. The $3867 level is critical; if the price holds above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942 Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865 SL: $3857 TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915 BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827 SL: $3824 TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887 SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904 SL: $3912 TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864 SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944 SL: $3952 TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904 Will the US government tensions help Gold definitively breach the $3900 level next week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #InterestRatesSELL ZONE 3942 - 3944 + 170pips running

Hello, traders! Gold pulled back to $3,845.78/oz after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan called for caution regarding further rate cuts. Fundamentals: Fed Warns, But the Buying Wave is Unstoppable The market stands at a crossroads: Downward Pressure: The caution signal from Fed's Logan. Upward Momentum: Government shutdown (increases instability, delays jobs report), weak private sector jobs data (down 32k), and SPDR Gold Trust ETF holdings rising to the highest level since 2022. Conclusion: Political instability and weak economic data continue to reinforce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Massive safe-haven capital is flowing into Gold. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold retreated to the FIBO 0.618 - 0.5 zone, indicating a healthy technical correction after the sharp rally. Priority remains Buy if the price holds above $3861. Be cautious of Stop Loss hunting. Resistance: $3870, $3884, $3894 Support: $3855, $3833, $3798 Trading Strategy (Tight SL): BUY SCALP: $3838 - $3836 / SL: $3832 / TP: $3846 - $3857 BUY ZONE: $3798 - $3796 / SL: $3788 / TP: $3816 - $3836 SELL ZONE: $3888 - $3890 / SL: $3898 / TP: $3870 - $3850 Do you think the Fed's warning is strong enough to reverse this trend? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #PhânTíchVàng #ETFSELL ZONE 3888 - 3890 + 240pips profit

Hello, traders! Gold shows no sign of slowing down, closing the October 1st trading session at $3,866.66/oz, while futures contracts hit a record high of $3,897.50/oz. The precious metal has climbed nearly 50% year-to-date and just set its 39th record high this year! Fundamental Analysis: Shutdown Risk Hits at the Worst Time While government shutdowns usually have a minor impact, the timing of this one is critical: Delayed Jobs Data: The crucial jobs report (scheduled for Oct 3rd) will be postponed. This uncertainty will leave the market and the Fed 'blind' regarding the economy's health just weeks before the next policy meeting, triggering strong demand for safe-haven assets (Gold). Threat of Staff Cuts: President Trump threatened to use the shutdown to cut "a lot of" federal employees, escalating tensions beyond typical closures and increasing political instability. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Gold accelerated past the $387x region during the US session, confirming the upward momentum is still very strong. However, the market is prone to more "Stop Loss hunting" (liquidity sweeps). Continue to Prioritize Buy, but manage SL carefully due to wider price swings. Resistance: $3887, $3895, $3904 Support: $3870, $3854, $3843 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3860 TP: $3878 - $3888 - $3898 - $3908 SELL ZONE (High Risk) Zone: $3903 - $3905 / SL: $3913 TP: $3895 - $3885 - $3875 Gold is running on a foundation of fear. Do you think the $3900 mark will be breached this session? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #RecordHigh