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As the market for gold fluctuates, there may be an opportunity to consider a speculative short position. Currently, gold appears to be retesting a supply zone, an area where selling pressure could drive prices lower. This retest may signal a shift in market sentiment, potentially leading to a retracement back to prior demand zones.Technical Indicators: Observing price action and key technical indicators can reveal signs of weakness in gold's bullish momentum, supporting the case for a downward move.Risk-Reward Ratio: Although taking an aggressive stance comes with risks, a well-placed stop-loss and clear profit targets can create a favorable risk-reward scenario.ConclusionGiven these market dynamics, a speculative short position in gold, targeted at previous demand zones, could be worth considering. As always, it's essential to stay informed and manage risks effectively. What are your thoughts on this approach?✅ Please share your thoughts about XAU in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.

Gold prices experienced a moderate increase on Monday, buoyed by thin liquidity in the markets as Donald Trump officially assumed office as the 47th President of the United States. The precious metal, often regarded as a safe haven, found support amidst the uncertainty surrounding the new administration's economic policies. During Trump's inauguration speech, the U.S. dollar (Greenback) weakened, reacting negatively to his decision to set aside aggressive tariff policies that some analysts believe could otherwise lead to inflationary pressures. This shift in tone suggests a more measured approach to trade, which alleviated fears of an impending trade war—an environment generally conducive to gold's appeal. Investors began to reassess how such policy changes could impact inflation and, in turn, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance going forward.As of the latest update, XAU/USD is trading at $2,708. Market sentiment indicates a potential short flash bearish impulse on the supply area. Traders are closely watching the $2,680 to $2,650 zone, anticipating a possible retest, which may provide an opportune moment for profit-taking, especially if market dynamics shift in favor of a stronger dollar.From a technical perspective, this supply area will be critical for traders focusing on short-term moves. A rejection of prices at these levels combined with weaker fundamentals could signal a bearish trend ahead, offering potential short plays for those looking to capitalize on market fluctuations. Conversely, if gold holds above these levels and there is a sudden shift in risk sentiment or a renewed spike in inflation fears, we could see gold prices testing resistance levels above the current trading price.In conclusion, with Trump taking office and the markets adjusting to his policies, gold is likely to remain volatile in the near term. Investors should keep a close watch on economic indicators and market sentiment, as these factors will heavily influence gold prices in the coming days. For now, navigating the recent price action within the supply area presents intriguing possibilities for both short and long positions, depending on how the market reacts to unfolding events.✅ Please share your thoughts about XAU/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.

Gold prices have seen a surge in buying activity as the week begins, aiming to build upon the recovery initiated from a one-month low reached last Thursday. Analyzing the market from a technical perspective, we've observed the price hitting our pending order level. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain bullish while commercial traders have shifted to a bearish stance over the past week. This dynamic suggests that we are anticipating a bearish continuation in gold prices despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Additionally, fears surrounding trade wars continue to create a backdrop that benefits the safe-haven appeal of gold.However, the strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) presents a contrasting scenario that could further suppress gold prices. Recently, there has been a resurgence in dip-buying within the USD, fueled by the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and rising U.S. Treasury yields. These factors are likely to impose additional constraints on gold, a non-yielding asset, limiting its upside potential. In summary, while the geopolitical landscape might support gold's appeal, the prevailing strength of the dollar could undermine any significant price increases in the near term.✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.

Following a significant drop triggered by the recent USD economic news, gold prices have begun an intraday recovery from a one-month low of approximately $2,602 as I write this article. The global risk sentiment has notably deteriorated in response to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance announced on Wednesday. Geopolitical uncertainties and concerns regarding trade conflicts have also contributed to heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold.From a technical perspective, the bearish momentum does not appear to be over. There exists the possibility that gold prices could experience a pullback, potentially retesting a previous demand zone that may provide some support.Furthermore, the Fed’s indication to decelerate the pace of interest rate cuts has resulted in rising yields on US Treasury bonds, which typically strengthens the US dollar. This dynamic may serve to limit any further upward movement for gold, which does not yield interest, making it less attractive in comparison to interest-bearing assets. As a result, traders with bullish positions should exercise caution as the market navigates these complex influences.Previous Forecast:✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.

Gold remains relatively stable, hovering around $2,644 on Wednesday as I draft this article. This follows a rebound from a one-week low reached on Tuesday. The precious metal is currently under some pressure as investors anticipate the results of the final Federal Reserve meeting of the year.From a technical standpoint, gold has already tested a significant daily demand zone, subsequently retreating from a high of $2,720. Now, the metal appears poised for a potential bearish trend as the US dollar continues to gain strength. Retail traders are predominantly holding long positions, whereas commercial traders seem to be reducing their long exposure, which could suggest a shift in market sentiment.Looking ahead, the upcoming economic data from the US, including the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting today and the unemployment claims report tomorrow, could provide further support to the dollar. If these reports indicate stronger economic conditions, it may exacerbate a bearish trend for gold prices.As the market assesses the Fed's policy direction and its implications for interest rates and the dollar, gold will likely remain on the defensive. Investors should monitor these developments closely, as they could significantly influence gold's price movements in the near term. The combination of potential dollar strength and a shift in positioning among traders adds to the likelihood of continued bearish pressure on gold.✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.

Gold prices continued their upward trend in Asian trading on Tuesday, following a rebound from a key demand zone where retailers had been caught off guard by a previous downward trend. This resurgence has recovered approximately half of last week's losses. Market participants are now closely monitoring upcoming speeches from officials at the US Federal Reserve, as well as ongoing geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.Additionally, expectations of renewed stimulus measures from China are contributing to a positive sentiment surrounding gold. As the world's largest consumer of the precious metal, any economic support initiatives from Chinese authorities could bolster demand and further enhance gold's appeal. However, traders remain cautious about whether gold can sustain its recovery, as they await clearer signals regarding the Fed's interest rate policy from the central bank.Previous Forecast:✅ Please share your thoughts about Gold in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.Closed 50% and Moved SL to entry..

Gold prices are attracting buyers as they trade around $2,586.50 in early Monday trading. However, traders are scaling back their expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which is putting downward pressure on the yellow metal. Despite this, geopolitical uncertainties could drive the price of gold higher, as it is often viewed as a safe-haven asset during tumultuous times. After a six-day losing streak, gold showed signs of recovery during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. Nevertheless, the strength of the U.S. Dollar (USD) may limit the upward potential for gold. The recent surge in the Greenback, spurred by Donald Trump's election victory, could create additional selling pressure on gold priced in USD. Enhanced expectations for inflation in the coming year, driven by Trump's policies, have led to a diminished outlook for future rate cuts. As we continue to analyze the Dollar Index (DXY), there may be signs of a retracement in the USD, which could positively impact gold's value. Investors will be keenly watching these developments as they unfold.✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.

Gold prices have declined for the second consecutive day, influenced by a variety of factors. The ongoing optimism surrounding Donald Trump's trade policies continues to bolster the US Dollar (USD), which is exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. The price of gold (XAU/USD) is building on the significant losses incurred last week and remains under selling pressure as trading commences on Monday, influenced by the prevailing bullish sentiment towards the USD. The promise of expansive economic policies from President-elect Trump has kept the USD near a four-month high reached last week, which is a significant factor dampening demand for gold. Additionally, Trump's proposed 10% tariff on all US imports is anticipated to ignite inflationary pressures, limiting the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to implement aggressive rate cuts. This environment is supportive of rising US Treasury bond yields, further incentivizing investors to move away from the non-yielding gold.From a technical standpoint, we are eyeing potential scalp opportunities near the first demand zone around 2,600. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail investors are taking long positions, whereas institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—are positioned inversely. The strengthening dollar and our analysis point to a likely bearish trend ahead. Additionally, we have previously opened a short position in Silver (details available on our TradingView profile) as we anticipated this type of scenario unfolding for precious metals.In summary, the combination of robust USD performance and inflationary expectations looks set to keep gold under pressure in the near term.✅ Please share your thoughts about XAU/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.Looks good... :)Closed +687 Pips movement!

Gold has once again proven its status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, recently reaching an all-time high just shy of the $2,757 mark. This surge comes amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing expectations for further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Despite a rise in US Treasury yields, the yellow metal's upward momentum remains strong as investors flock to it during times of uncertainty, highlighting its enduring appeal as a store of value.Factors Behind Gold’s Historic Surge1. Geopolitical TensionsGlobal geopolitical risks have escalated recently, leading to a rush toward safe-haven assets like gold. Heightened conflicts in the Middle East and lingering tensions in Eastern Europe have fueled fears of broader market instability. Gold, historically seen as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty, has been one of the primary beneficiaries as investors seek to protect their portfolios.2. Expectations of Further Fed Rate CutsMarket sentiment is increasingly tilting toward additional rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The anticipation of lower interest rates typically supports gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. With economic data pointing to slower growth and possible deflationary pressures, the Fed may be inclined to continue its dovish stance, further boosting gold’s appeal.3. US Treasury Yields and Safe-Haven DemandEven as US Treasury yields have risen, signaling expectations of a stronger US economy, gold's ascent has not been hindered. This decoupling suggests that other factors, like risk aversion and safe-haven demand, are currently driving the metal’s price. Growing fears of a potential Trump presidency in 2024 have added an extra layer of uncertainty, prompting investors to seek the stability that gold provides.Technical Analysis: Is a Retracement on the Horizon?From a technical standpoint, the recent surge in gold prices suggests that the metal may be poised for a near-term pullback. Here’s why:Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Analysis:According to the latest COT report, retail traders remain heavily bullish on gold, a potential contrarian indicator that often precedes a short-term price reversal. Meanwhile, the so-called "smart money" appears to be scaling back on long positions, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment.Seasonal Forecast:Seasonality patterns indicate that gold might be approaching a reversal phase. Historically, gold has shown a tendency to retrace after significant rallies, especially when retail sentiment becomes overly bullish. This seasonal forecast aligns with technical signals that suggest a possible correction.Potential Retracement Levels:If gold begins to retrace from current levels, key support zones to watch would include $2,700 and $2,650, where previous resistance levels could now act as support. Traders should keep a tight stop-loss to protect against potential downside risks, especially given the ongoing volatility in global markets.Trading Strategy: Cautious Optimism with a Tight Stop-LossWhile the long-term outlook for gold remains bullish due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and monetary easing expectations, short-term traders should exercise caution. With the potential for a near-term pullback, the ideal strategy may involve waiting for a retracement to key support levels before considering new long positions.Risk Management: Given the current elevated price levels, it’s crucial to maintain a tight stop-loss to manage potential downside risk.Potential Reentry: If a retracement occurs, investors could look for signs of stabilization around the $2,650–$2,700 range before reentering the market.Final Thoughts: A Bullish Long-Term Outlook with Short-Term CautionGold’s recent surge to near $2,750 highlights its role as a global safe haven amidst uncertainty. However, with retail sentiment leaning heavily bullish and the possibility of a technical correction looming, traders should remain cautious in the short term.Despite the potential for a pullback, gold’s long-term fundamentals remain intact, driven by geopolitical risks, monetary policy expectations, and overall global economic uncertainty. As always, a balanced approach, considering both the fundamental and technical factors, will be essential to navigating the evolving landscape of gold trading.✅ Please share your thoughts about GOLD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.✅ Close 50% Position and Move SL to Breakeven +280 Pips movement taken...Still Valid!

Gold continues to attract buyers during the London session, trading around $2,616 as it approaches a potential demand area, which could spark a pullback and further growth. However, the strong US Dollar (USD), which has preserved its recent gains to an eight-week high, is expected to act as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.US CPI Report and its Impact on GoldThe upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a key focus for traders, as it could shape expectations regarding the size of the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut next month. Depending on the CPI data, demand for the USD could shift, providing a significant driver for Gold prices. As a non-yielding asset, Gold typically moves inversely to the US Dollar, so any indication of an extended pause or slower rate cut by the Fed could impact Gold’s price direction.Geopolitical Concerns and Safe-Haven DemandIn addition to economic data, traders are also watching geopolitical developments, particularly the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, which continue to influence safe-haven demand for Gold. Any escalation in tensions could lead to further buying interest in the precious metal as investors seek safety amid market uncertainty.Waiting for Key Demand ZonesCurrently, we are waiting for the price to reach one of the identified demand areas before opening a potential position. These zones are critical for assessing whether Gold will experience a bullish pullback or continue facing pressure from the strong US Dollar. As the situation evolves, patience will be key in identifying the right moment to enter the market.ConclusionWhile Gold continues to attract buying interest, its trajectory will depend on upcoming US economic data, particularly the CPI report, and ongoing geopolitical tensions. We remain on the sidelines for now, awaiting a more favorable entry point as the price approaches key demand areas. Stay tuned for further updates as we monitor these developments.✅ Please share your thoughts about XAUUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.