Elliotwavesglobal

XAUUSD have been in uptrend for sometimes now with small pauses on the way. Given the current wave count we are clearly on corrective wave 4. The question is, is the correction completed or should we expect a further push to the downside? One of the possibilities is that the precious metal is making a complex correction WXY and currently we are bullish to complete wave X before resuming the decline for 4th wave completion.

On our previous analysis we were expecting price to start decline to form 4th wave of higher degree but price instead of creating na impulsive down we had a clean zigzag signaling we are not yet done with the 5th wave. Now we have a recount of this 5th wave and we can see we still bullish. If this current count is correct we should expect price to continue up and find resistance at the upper trendline. Lets monitor it for a possibility of taking advantage of the continuation higher.

Given the current wave structure looks like we are yet to complete the bullish phase. Now I am expecting a short term pullback for lower degree 4th wave where I expect price to find support at 50% fib then continuation to the upside. Overall we are bullish but we should expect periods of price to pullback to gain momentum.

Given the current wave structure we are on 4th sub-wave. The question is whether the correction is completed or we should expect price to retrace lower to fib 38.2. The lower time frame shows high probability of retracing lower to at least to 38.3 fib. A trader who wants to take a continuation trade need confirmation of the bullish momentum.