Ahmedshebe

Traders i'm here for the analysis i have done for NEXT WEEK .As indicated on my chart i am anticipating NEXT WEEK to be all BULLISH there should some minor corrections though, but BULLS are my take.In order to confirm that BULLS have taken over look at the TRIANGLE on my Chart as we can see the PRICE is almost taking down the UPPER SIDE , so once that UPPER SIDE is broken then we could see the BULLISH MOVEMENTS.However before we go for that BULLISH TREND i'm first looking at level $3345 as my fall Target , this means we should first kill the level and then expect a bounce back and continue flying high.So after LEVEL $3345 is taken down i'd say that's the start of our UPWARD Momentum and that is why we will first tackle $3390 as our first TAKE PROFIT ZONE going Up. immediately the level comes in play i'll be adding some more BUYING ENTRIES on this time ROUND TARGETING a SLIGHTLY HIGHER ZONE $3406 and then once this level is broken i will then tackle something much HIGHER and BIGGER $3483, this is my anticipation for the course of the whole of MONDAY. My RUN won't be as easy as it sounds coz i'll be expecting some minor RESISTANCE and possibly CONSOLIDATION at levels $3396 , 3415 , $3435 and $3468, so YES as soon as these LEVELS are seen we should expect WAVING increase and possibly BEARS trying to push the PRICE down.However this wouldn't mean you cancel your entries and take whatever you have as profits but instead this is where i will possibly come for updates but take NOTE it's the Market and we are not 100% in control, so if you see your LIQUIDITY struggling through the waving, and see yourself headed for a fall you can close.Until then do wish you all a wonderful weekend ahead. Will be back later for further updates of the POINTS that i have missed then.Traders Gear Up we are in for a treat Flagpole formation : The strong bullish rally in early April marks the beginning of the uptrend.Flag (Channel): Price has corrected in a downward-sloping channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds, creating a textbook flag pattern.Breakout Zone: Price is now testing the upper boundary of the flag. A confirmed breakout above this resistance would signal a continuation of the prior uptrend.Morning Traders , The fall i had anticipated for moved a little further down than expected and left me with the idea of evaluating the market further , we should now hit $3332 first for the fall.Afterwards i EXPECT BULLS taking over so this is what i will do for today's entries.Currently going with the FALL entries , targeting $3332 when my target is achieved i have some pending BUY ORDERS from $3332 which i expect'em to be activated and i have my first TAKE PROFITS @$3370 - 73 only after we take this level out i will then confirm further BUY ENTRIES to tackle the UPSIDE.I also can say confidently the idea i had posted on Saturday for the BULLISH MOVEMENT is in for correction, there seems to be some sort of change in Movement although have not yet confirmed , but there is the possibility that we might see a fall further to $3312.UP until then wish you all a blessed trading week ahead.OUR FALL IS ACTIVE currently RUNNING BLUES and i've as well taken down $3340 as my first TP will be targeting $3332 as my second TAKE PROFIT ZONE , as we move closer to $3332 my PENDING ORDERS are on standby for BUY ENTRIES at $3332 targeting $3370.Will be back with further updates as the MARKET unfolds.As indicated earlier we were expecting a fall to $3332 and we did hit it and went a little further down to $3323 and now i'm anticipating for a MINOR RISE to $3343- 45 before we experience another FALL to at least $3319 and then expect the fall to extend further to $3309.My BUY ORDERS have been activated and i'm already running in profits , this is where i'm looking to hit at least $3353 -75 once this level comes in play i'll be closing for the day.Will be back with further UPDATES later.AFTERNOON TRADERS ,As indicated yesterday we were expecting to take out $3353-75 which we did take down $3353 instead and then the waterfall was initiated.Today there isn't much to do as i'm actually looking for my fall in action, currently running profits and targeting a few key levels e.g $3281 which i'm expecting to come in play in the afternoon which will be the NEW YORK SESSION. My trading plan for today is close the current entries as soon as i hit $3281 then evaluate and look for possible more SELL ENTRIES to at least $3278 - 71.Once the above levels come in play , i'll be calling it a day and in case further trading opportunities arise i'll update you, but personally i won't be having any running entries.So GENERALLY we are all BEARISH TODAY, but again let's be on alert as the MARKET can change at any given time. Will be back with further updates as the MARKET UNFOLDS.For those who've been messaging me , guys i'm sorry i can't respond to all your queries but my take is simple , we are still on an UPTREND currently on CONSOLIDATION between $3500 and $3194 So basically we are currently trading within CONSOLIDATION LEVELS which can only be seen on bigger TF.So we play with the market as it comes but the MAIN KEY LEVELS to watch are for the UPWARD CONTINUATION we need to see $3500 broken and once it's broken maybe we could then target some more LEVELS up there but the chances are very very slim.According to my EMA XAU was OVERBOUGHT meaning we should expect retaliation and possible FALL in the course of this week or month.Gold increased 680.91 USD/t oz. or 25.95% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Gold reached an all time high of 3500 in April of 2025.what's next should be a FALL nothing more , nothing less.Morning TradersHope you all had an amazing trading day yesterday as i did, although had some few errors in my analysis but still managed to gather them profits.As i had told you yesterday we were expecting the MARKET to hit $3353-75 whereby the market took out $3353 and afterwards SELLERS took action trying to start PUSHING the MARKET on their Favor.Since my trading strategy is at least with 78% WIN RATE , we were able to dominate as the market was UNFOLDING.I also remember that i had it on record that after we take down $3353-75 i was to look for a fall, Here is where i had a small ERROR in my FALL as my expectation was go below $3285-78 , but the PRICE didn't bring the level $3278 in play and instead took down $3281 and bounced back up.Today seems not like a good trading day for me, although i'm actually seeing a fall to at least $3297 , so this is would have been my trading plan for today , i would have had FALL entries to target $3297-90 with considerable lot size , then set my BUY LIMIT around the same zone and a few more below targeting $3328 , once these levels are taken down, i would close for the day.So yes we are still within the CONSOLIDATION levels , the MARKET is still within the consolidation levels , however this doesn't mean we are not to trade , it means we need to alert on our charts and at least be scalping.I'll be back later for further analysis.

Hi TradersGOLD had started recovering amid uncertainty, but there is a fairly strong resistance zone ahead that could hold back growth and trigger a decline...Since the opening of the session, the price has fallen and consolidated after recovering slightly for that week-long decline.There's pressure on the dollar and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating who are supporting the metal, while on the other hand, high bond yields and possible US trade agreements are limiting growth.Investors are awaiting new statements from the Fed and are monitoring US negotiations with their partners. Amid concerns about fiscal stability and weak economic data, gold may remain in a positive territory until a decline which is now visible to the eyes.Resistance levels: 3257, 3265Support levels: 3206, 3153A false breakout of the specified resistance will confirm the inability to continue growth. Consolidation after a false breakout of 3257 - 3265 below 3257 could trigger a reversal and a fall to areas of interest...As indicated yesterday we were expecting the MARKET to either HIT or TAKE DOWN $3206 which we saw, afterwards we expected the MARKET to extend even further UP but there was a decline and instead it started signaling falls indicating that BEARS were taking control.I can happily say that today we are BEARISH , Momentum play is still moderate , we have a falling MARKET though in order to confirm that fall we should look at just one KEY LEVEL $3210 , which plays as our CONFIRMATION zone, once this level is taken out , we should look at CANDLESTICK PATTERN FORMATION , Identify Momentum and wait for a RETEST before having our SELL ENTRIES.The MELTDOWN shouldn't be long as we will be targeting $3207 however for those who have strong liquidity you should hold , for those with small liquidity $3207 should be a close TP for you and once it's broken wait for retest and have your NEW SELL POSITION.After the break i'm looking at mainly $3153 and $3126 as my TAKE PROFITS ZONES. although this sounds easy , but my main TP is $3153, I look at this level only and i'll be closing most of my entries here then i evaluate further and confirm my second TP zone $3126.General we are BEARISH until proven otherwise , will be back with further updates.A decline of break through of our CONFIRMATION ZONE $3205 , The PRICE bounced of the ZONE and started RALLYING UP, suggesting BULLISH MOMENTUM INCREASE , however we cannot yet be certain of the BULLISH MOVEMENT until we break $3250.The reason to as why i indicated in my earlier ANALYSIS that those with small liquidity's should ONLY target $3205 as their FIRST TAKE PROFIT ZONE & then wait for further ENTRIES.Will be back with further updates.Due to that DECLINE , i'm now anticipating for an UPWARD MOVE, although it's not yet clear, but i'm thinking $3245 IS GOING TO COME IN PLAY, which means we will first have the BULLISH MOVEMENT before the FALL, i missed the POINT here and that's why it's important to have confirmations before entries.Meanwhile my TP was taken out FOR the SELL entries i had and i didn't have any pending entries which i'm now looking running for the THE BUYS. Bought at $3216 targeting $3245 for a start.Will be back with further updates. II anticipated for $3245 but the price extended even further to $3280, seems as if BULLS are not ready to let go! Anyways currently expecting a consolidation before we see what is to be done next.Will be back in a few for the updatesHey guys I'm back so this is my take, since there are some levels I didn't expect to come in play but they did, I'm seeing BULLS with high momentum. I had targets on a small RR but now I'm I'm going in full force targeting $3330 and once this zone comes to play, I will then stay dormant evaluate further and decide on either more buys or sells, the probability of a fall is high once we see the resistanve level $3330 knocked out.Once $3292 is broken then wait for a retest and have your BUY ENTRIES, Target $3330 .

Yooooooooooooow i'm back , for those who've been texting me asking about yesterdays analysis , i'm sorry guys got a little held up couldn't do much , but i believe you all managed. My preview on the previous analysis on 15th is still in the formation.We said that we were expecting a meltdown only after we break level $3158 - $3168 - $3180 going up there , we can see this came to play came through only stronger than anticipated and even went further to tackle our 1st lowest Resistance Zone $3191.It tackled the zone $3191 and extended further up and created a NEW RESISTANCE ZONE at $3251, i believe this Resistance zone ain't as strong as the one up there at $3272, so the breaking of the zone shouldn't be a problem.My take on Monday , we should either see a MINOR CONSOLIDATION or our FLIGHT to the previous STRONG RESISTANCE ZONE $3272. We ain't seeing the fall before the market tries to tackle the level or somehow tries to reach the level.Overall We will be BEARISH after we retest those levels ,otherwise there is as well a resistance zone at $3205, The price is currently slightly below it and i'm actually looking to have my BUY ENTRIES as soon as the MARKET breaks the LEVEL. Once we break the level the market should head for $3215 as another CONFIRMATION ZONE for the UPWARD MOVEMENT, once these two levels come in play or a taken out, then let's be ready for OUR BUY ENTRIES targeting $3236 - $3257 and extend a little further up towards the RESISTANCE ZONE $3272.There and then we should have our profits for the day and wait for further CONFIRMATION on wether the FLIGHT should continue or see our MELTDOWN.That's my analysis , i'm ANTICIPATING for that UPWARD MOMENTUM before we see the MELTDWON, i will be back tomorrow for updates on where we are headed to.Level $3256 seems not to be holding, the market is respecting the level however the green triangle indicated on the chart should give you a better look at how the market is going , if the TRIANGLE is respected on both the UPPER and LOWER ends that is the PRICE doesn't break either then that's a possible CONSOLIDATION, however if the PRICE moves and breaks either one of the triangle ends, then we should either SELL or BUY, we BUY only when the PRICE breaks the UPPER side of the TRIANGLE and we sell only when the PRICE breaks the LOWER SIDE of the TRIANGLE.Whatever happens, set your alarms at both top start of the triangle once the price reaches the level alarms are triggered , you gear up for either a sell or a buy.WE ANTICIPATE FOR THE UPWARD MOVE before we SEE THE DOWNFALL , WATERFALL or in other words THE GOLD MELTDOWN!Our Triangle Strategy seems to be working just fine , guy's this strategy was used back then and it had a 91.7% win rate.I've started applying the same strategy on my analysis and seems to be working good so far, My WINNING rate using the strategy is currently 67% which is moderately good although i have 6 more entries to make and validate the strategy.Meanwhile we are expecting the MARKET PRICE to test $3272 in the course of this week after a little bit of consolidation and then see the MELTDOWN , and with all being said i currently have some blues running good, for those who are worried that you missed your entries kindly wait for a possible bounce at $3250 as the first MINOR RESISTANCE ZONE. once we reach this level we should expect either the market to bounce and retest or consolidate for a while before it continues going towards our target higher up.For those whop missed their entries, now is your time GEAR UP we are having more entries to tackle our TP $3272, now wait for a retest and have your BUY ENTRIES , if you miss the entry you might have to wait for us to hit our TP before we decide on what next.The MOMENTUM increase is indicating possible more BUY entries along the way , we might see level $3300- $3380 come to play.Once we break the RESISTANCE $3250 our entries are going BLUEEEEES...

Hello Traders, I'm back , as usual we will briefly look into yesterdays analysis before we start today's, yesterday we had first said that the MARKET was fully BEARISH and expected some ZONES to be cashed out but then we saw BULLS TRYING to push MORE BUYS , luckily they didn't manage to have that much and Gave in for BEARS. We did hit $3217 and then went forward and took out $3197. Then the Market fell even further to $3120 and got stagnant there.Today we still have the same idea , we are all BEARISH although before we confirm the SELLS entries by first taking down $3108 after we break this level , we should look for retest , identify candlestick patterns and MOMENTUM, before having those SELL ENTRIES.My SELLS targeting the first TAKE PROFIT ZONE $3053 and then i'm looking at $3012 as the 2ND TAKE PROFIT LEVEL.The DOWNTREND channel is broken i'm expecting a retest first to at least $3168 -80 levels before we have our MELTDOWN.If $3158 plays in then $3168 is an easy entry for our SELL ORDERS.Will be back with further updates.A few buy entries targeting $3173 currently running BLUES.As indicated earlier we had some few buy entries which are currently in good blues , once we hit $3173-80 then i will now look for the SELL ORDERS. Will be back with further UPDATESTAKE PROFIT ZONES UPDATED headed for the PREVIOUS SUPPORT @3194 OR at least at $3100. All in all divided my BUY ENTRIES to both TAKE PROFITS ZONES , and i also have some few PENDING SELL ORDERS at this level.We GOOOOOOO!$3172 TAKE PROFITS zones taken out already , let's see if we will have the remaining Targets achieved..we must achieve $3194 in the afternoon and extend a little further up, to activate our SELL entries.. Let's see what happens. i have at least 6 ENTRIES on profits , and SELL orders Pending Activation for the MELTDOWN.

Hi Traders , Hope yesterday was PROFITABLE for you all , as explained yesterday on my analysis we were all BEARISH and YES we did go down as expected, we still haven't seen the MAJOR FALL yet , but i'm anticipating for it before before next week.Today's MARKET still on BEARISH Formation , seems like BULLS have lost their GRIP AND sellers are in though not that strong, let's hope we will have the MOMENTUM we need towards the end of today's trading day.Anyways back to analysis- we are ALL BEARISH today until proven differently , although we also need to look at certain key levels as identified on the chart.If we were to GO UPWARD , the key levels to be looked at are $3268 once this level is broken then probability for that UPWARD MOVEMENT increases so we should wait for a retest and have our entries targeting $3349-60 , although the chances of this happening are very minimal but as always , it's the MARKET and sometimes it's unpredictable.Back to our MAJOR FALL CONCERN, as i indicated at the start we are ALL BEARISH , momentum is on average ,our key zones of looking at basically TWO for the fall first we have $3217 and 2ND we have $3197 currently have some sell/fall entries which are still on NEGATIVE but i know it won't last that long.So yes WE ARE BEARISH , but for the rest of you, kindly look into your charts with caution once the 2 levels are broken then PROBABILITY of our fall becomes more clearer. so you could wait for a retest and then have your SELL ENTRIES... I'm i CLEAR ?????????You guys , let's see what the market has in store for us today, as for those asking how much i made yesterday , i didn't profit MUCH , managed to secure $1899 for the few entries i had and yes i'm planning on opening a channel that will be sharing ideas and possibly signals for free with you guys, but that's not in the course of this week or next either, but i'll definitely let you know once ready , so stop messaging me on the same.For those i haven't answered your questions, i surely will when i settle down and until then wish you all a wonderful trading day ahead.Change in MOMENTUM as said earlier anything could happen , as we can see BULLS are trying to GRAB their liquidity steady , trying to push for more BUYS, this is the exact reason i said we wait for confirmation before we have our ENTRIES.Will they be able to break our UPWARD confirmation Zone ??? let's wait and see! meanwhile i had my entries closed on MINOR PROFITS , will be back with further Updates.

XAU - USD fanatics , we are back! yesterday we anticipated for a fall which we got but didn't satisfy us that much.Today we are still on BEARISH IDEOLOGY , everything else is pointing us for spike up, so where do we stand? what do we do? Here's the technicality , marked $3350 as our first confirmation for the UPWARD MOVEMENT, so once this level is broken we should look at further UPSIDE MOMENTUM to at least $3498 however we for us to CONFIRM our FALL we need to confirm mainly with $3219 this is the breaking point , so once we break this LEVEL my dear friends we should Target $2963.That's a RUN , isn't it ?? yes and since it's a falling Run , this means we should have our Accounts waterproofed as the fall might be NASTY.OVERALL we need to hit a few levels for the WATERFALL to occur either we take out $3270 first and then have our fall or try the next level @$3350 then have our fall either way , we are BEARISH this week , but depends on the MOMENTUM at this level, Pattern Formation .So yes I'm anticipating for a fall but the fall can only happen after we do a retest UP there.Let's see how the market is unfolding will be back with updates.Rising Wedge identified at 5/13 10:45. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bullish price movement towards the resistance 3,271.68 within the next 1 hour. As anticipated earlier we are expecting retesting of the previous higher levels before seeing that waterfallChannel Up identified at 12:45. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bearish price movement towards the support 3,223.49 within the next 5 hours. We are yet to confirm the pattern conclusion and have our sell entries.Personally i have a few BUY entries still running on reds with strict SL & TP ZONES. However as indicated earlier we are ALL BEARISH Today. let's see what the market has for us.will be back with further updates later.Head And Shoulder Formation on 45Mnts TF , what the........ we are in going for a FALL , could this be the MELTDOWN, looking at my previous analysis was expecting the PRICE to Rise before the MELTDOWN but as it is there's the probability of having a direct fall, immediately the formation is complete..Backle UP guys , we are going! let's await for confirmation, and BOOM! we will be in .

Afternoon Team ,We've started this weak with a little bit of BEARISH MOMENTUM, however as usual we just don't enter into trade without CONFIRMATION.As we saw last week we had so much BULLISH POWER and then towards the end of the week BULLS were weakening and BEARS started taking control.Today General SPEAKING , We can say we are still in a NO GO ZONE , possible CONSOLIDATION , but also we are seeing BEARS trying to overtake the BULLS , will they DO ???? that's upto the market but as for us or me i say they surely will.So in order for us to have our BUYS in today's MARKET then we should look at these two ZONES BUY ZONES CONFIMRATION 1. $3323 - 252. $3358 - 61Once these levels are broken then the probability of FLYING HIGH are clear , this is when you take your BUY ENTRIES and run with the MARKET.However as said earlier i'm anticipating a FALL and my KEY ZONE IS as follows :- BEARISH CONFIRMATION .1 . $3227 Once this level is broken we should have our SELL ENTRIES , however we just don't sell since the market has broken the zone, we wait for a retest and then identify patterns , look at candlestick momentum and that's the only time we confirm and have our entries. Since the MARKET has been indicating BEARISH MOMENTUM all morning , i had my sell entries early and i'm expecting returns during the EUROPEAN SESSION.GENERAL OVERVIEW --- we are sensing a MELTDOWN ,we've been anticipating for this WATERFALL since last week , when are we getting it ?? that depends on the MOVERS, but keep in mind we ARE BEARISH!!!!Until then wish you all a wonderful and profitable week ahead.

As indicated Yest , we were expecting a meltdown which started and didn't finish.Garnish Pattern Formed in today's CHART indicating probability flying a little bit high,to confirm the flight we should look at $3325 once this level is broken with BULLISH MOMENTUM then we should target the next level @ $3435. However if we were to confirm our FALL (MELTDOWN) then we should inspect level $3196-99 once this level is broken , then we should wait for a retest and have our ENTRIES and Target $2968 as our TAKE PROFIT zone.Rising Wedge which we identified on 5/9 09:45. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bullish price movement towards the resistance 3,333.85 within the next 1 hour.The Bullish momentum seems to be increasing in bits.Overall we are somehow BULLISH today , until proven otherwise , will be back with further updates as the market continue unfolding.Butterfly Fibonacci pattern identified at 5/9 12:00. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bearish price movement towards target levels ranging from 3,333.12 to 3,307.42 within the next 1 hour.let's be on the look out those with small account liquidity.I'm in for a BUY to $3368-70 as my TAKE PROFIT ZONE , afterward i'm anticipating for a FALL , but i'm yet to confirm.

Hi , A strong SUPPORT @ $3141 created , Strong RESISTANCE @ $3407 and a MINOR RESISTANCE ZONE @ $3357.There's STRONG VOLATILITY with Sharp MOVEMENTS , on 6th May we saw a noticable PRICE SPIKE , followed by a steep DECLINE , which was indicating MOMENTUM SHIFT.The recent Movements suggests STRONG BEARISH MOVE, with lot's of SELLING PRESSURE.There were suggestions of BULLISH MOMENTUM in the EARLIER PHASE, the SHARP REVERSAL on 6th MAY features Consecutive RED CANDLESTICKS , signaling BEARISH CONTROL.The latest candlesticks suggests a SMALL RECOVERY , hinting a possible CONSOLIDATION. KEY ZONES IDENTIFIED EARLIER :- 1. The PRICE has broken below SUPPORT around $3341 , confirming a DOWNTREND.KEY TAKEWAYS.The charts reflects HIGH VOLATILITY and RECENT BEARISH SHIFT meaning we are ALL BEARISH. If the MOMENTUM remains strong , the DOWNTREND will come in PLAY but keep in MIND there should be A CONSOLIDATION PHASE , which should lead to stabilization before we start the MELTDOWN.Approaching Support level of 3,298.60 identified at 5/8 09:00. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bearish price movement towards the support 3,298.60 within the next 1 day. we are all BEARISH until PROVEN otherwise.Until then wish you all an amazing TRADING DAY.GEAR UP guys we are about to have our minor MELTDOWN , the formation is taking shape, we should have our ride down , but please dont just enter the trades , wait for breakout , then retesting and have your entries.bye bye BULLS , BEARS have you GEARED UP for the MELTDOWN .......

As indicated yesterday we were anticipating for a fall , before confirming the UPWARD MOVEMENT which suggested we will hit $3445 - 49 yes we achieved the target not as expected but we did try the waters at $3433.TODAY --------------------------------The PRICE has been declining UPPER (BULLISH) breakouts which suggests BULLS have exhausted their BUYING power and BEARS are trying to enter the market (DOWNTREND).If $3311- 15 holds as SUPPORT LEVEL , we might see A REVERSAL , but if it breaks we might see further DOWNSIDE.If the BEARISH TREND continues and price fails to break the RESISTANCE , then selling becomes a valid confirmed OPTION,however as indicated on the chart please wait for confirmation from the KEY LEVELS , which are :- $3370 , $3270 and $3223 only after we break this zones we can confirm OUR MELTDOWN- DOWNTREND.A BULLISH SHARK pattern has formed on the chart suggesting a possible reversal , this means if the pattern respects the harmonic structure , we could see a REVERSAL.Inside Bar formation which signals A CONSOLIDATION before breakout , however if the price breaks inside the BAR RANGE , it can signal BULLISH MOMENTUM.A symetrical triangle formation indicating price is coiling up for a breakout, so if the price breaks the upper boundary then BULLS are still on , but if the price breaks down below the lower boundary then that confirms our fall.The candlestick formation indicates two major aspects1. POTENTIAL REVERSAL2. CONTINUATION .Overall today's market is a NO GO ZONE for those with small LIQUIDITY , however if you trust yourself that much , then i already have my pending sell entries awaiting to be checked, meaning we are BEARS DOWN SOON.Gartley Fibonacci pattern identified at 5/7 14:00. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bearish price movement towards target levels ranging from 3,392.16 to 3,346.16 within the next 5 hours.Let's see how it'll unfoldGartley Fibonacci pattern identified at 5/7 14:00. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bearish price movement towards target levels ranging from 3,392.16 to 3,346.16 within the next 5 hours. Im reckoning to hit $3406-10 before seeing that fall , so we should expect a MINOR BUY , before we experience our FALL.