Technical analysis by Ratner about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (12/29/2025)

Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD (Gold) setup. Market Analysis Gold has confirmed a bullish shift after breaking out of a prior triangle structure, where price was previously compressed between descending resistance and ascending support. This breakout marked a clear change in market structure and initiated a strong impulsive move higher. After the breakout, price transitioned into a consolidation range, indicating temporary balance before continuation. Currently, XAUUSD established a clear upward channel, respecting both the lower channel support and the ascending trend line. This structure confirms sustained bullish momentum with higher highs and higher lows. Price has continued to trend higher and recently pushed into a key Resistance Zone, where the market is currently showing signs of reaction and testing supply. Below current price, the former resistance has flipped into a well-defined Support Zone, which aligns with the prior breakout level and the lower boundary of the upward channel. This area has already shown buyer response, reinforcing its importance as a demand zone within the bullish structure. My Scenario & Strategy My primary scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD holds above the Support Zone and respects the upward channel structure. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the Resistance Zone. A successful breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm continuation of the bullish trend and open the path toward higher targets. However, a strong rejection at resistance followed by a breakdown below the support zone would weaken the bullish structure and suggest a deeper correction or consolidation. For now, price action continues to favor buyers while the ascending structure remains intact. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.We see that the correction turned out to be deeper than we expected. But there is still a chance that gold will resume its movement to the previous resistance level.Unfortunately, gold went into an even deeper correction and most likely the bears took over.