Technical analysis by davidjulien369 about Symbol RENDER on 12/27/2025

Pair RENDERUSDT Buyside trade 2 Wed 27th Dec 25 6.00 am Tokyo Session PM Entry 1.276 Profit level 1.353 (6.03%) Stop level 1.274 (0.15%) RR 38.5 🧭 Market Context We assume the market is operating within a rotational higher-timeframe environment, characterised by repeated liquidity runs and mean-reversion back toward value rather than sustained trend continuation for RENDERUSDT. Volatility compression and overlapping price action before the setup suggested institutional accumulation, not directional commitment. A Fixed Range Volume Profile applied across the range identified True Fair Value, represented by the smallest and most balanced volume node within the target array. This level acted as the equilibrium point where both buyers and sellers showed the highest agreement. 💧 Liquidity & Auction Narrative Price action preceding the trade demonstrated an AMD sequence: Accumulation: Prolonged consolidation around fair value with muted volume and balanced order flow (0.618 Fib level) Manipulation: A deliberate expansion away from value, targeting resting liquidity at prior highs/lows and Fibonacci extensions 1. (1323) & (1.272), accompanied by large volume bubbles (forced participation) Failed Auction: Lack of acceptance beyond value and rapid reversion back into the profile This behaviour indicated liquidity engineering rather than genuine directional intent. 📦 Value & Fair Price Assessment Acceptance back above/below True Fair Value (as defined by the fixed profile) was the key institutional signal. This confirmed that the prior expansion was a failed auction, and that price was being re-priced from value toward opposing liquidity. The trade was therefore framed as a value-to-liquidity rotation, not a breakout or trend-following buyside entry.