Technical analysis by Master_Hunter about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (12/16/2025)

As the previous analysis worked exactly as predicted, XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price forming higher lows along an upward trendline, converging with a potential entry zone that could fuel upside momentum if buyers hold amid recent volatility. This setup indicates a rally opportunity post-correction, targeting higher resistance levels with approximately 1:3 risk-reward.🔥 Entry between 4245–4255 for a long position. Target at 4333 . Set a stop loss at a close below the upward trendline or below 4230, yielding a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's channel dynamics.🌟 Fundamentally , gold is consolidating around $4,278 in mid-December 2025, with key USD events this week potentially influencing direction through inflation and employment data. On December 16 at 8:30 AM ET, the Employment Situation report (including Non-Farm Payrolls with consensus 119K and Unemployment Rate at 4.4%) could weaken the USD if softer-than-expected, boosting gold's appeal. December 17 features Retail Sales at 8:30 AM ET, where strong consumer spending might support USD but misses could favor gold. On December 18 at 8:30 AM ET, CPI (forecast 324.9) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (forecast 3%) are critical; cooler readings may signal Fed easing, pressuring USD lower. Also on December 18, Jobless Claims at 8:30 AM ET and Fed Balance Sheet at 4:30 PM ET could add volatility. December 19 brings Personal Income and Outlays at 8:30 AM ET, including PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred gauge—soft data here might further undermine USD strength. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 4245 – 4255 (Entries in this zone are valid with proper risk & capital management.) 🎯 Target: • 4333 ❌ Stop Loss: • Close below the upward trendline or • Hard invalidation below 4230 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • ~ 1:3 💡 Your view? Will AUDCAD reject this resistance for a clean pullback toward 0.90745 — or will CAD weakness invalidate the setup and push price higher? 👇