Technical analysis by RexTraderSignal about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (12/15/2025)

GOLD (XAUUSD) — 4H MARKET ANALYSIS ATH Preparation | Accumulation → Breakout Model 1. Market Structure Overview Gold remains in a strong bullish macro structure on the 4H timeframe. The market has repeatedly shown a clear behavioral pattern: Impulse → Accumulation → Expansion. At the current stage, price is consolidating just below the All-Time High (ATH), which is a classic sign of strength, not weakness. There is no aggressive rejection instead, price is being absorbed. This confirms the market is preparing for a continuation breakout, not a reversal. 2. Accumulation & Liquidity Behavior Multiple Accumulation Zones are visible throughout the trend: - Each accumulation previously led to a strong impulsive leg higher. - The current accumulation zone is forming directly below ATH, which is the most bullish location possible. - Liquidity has already been collected on minor pullbacks, leaving little resistance overhead once ATH is breached. This behavior signals institutional positioning, not retail speculation. 3. Key Levels to Watch - Major Resistance: ATH zone (~4,380 – 4,400) - Key Support (Structure Hold): Upper accumulation range (~4,280 – 4,300) As long as price holds above the accumulation base, the bullish structure remains fully intact. 4. Forward Scenarios Primary Scenario – Breakout Continuation (High Probability): - Price holds above the accumulation zone - Breaks and accepts above ATH - Enters price discovery, targeting a new ATH expansion leg Projected path: ➡ Break ATH → shallow pullback → continuation ➡ Momentum builds toward new historical highs Alternative Scenario – Extended Accumulation (Low Risk): - Price continues ranging just below ATH - Further compression before the breakout This only adds fuel to the next impulsive move. No structural evidence currently supports a bearish reversal. 5. Market Psychology & Conclusion - The market is not rejecting ATH — it is absorbing orders beneath it. - Volatility compression near highs is a bullish continuation signal. - Gold is behaving exactly as it has before every major upside expansion in this trend. Conclusion: Gold is not topping it is loading liquidity. Once ATH breaks with acceptance, new all-time highs become the base case, not the exception. The biggest moves come after patience — not prediction. Stay aligned with structure, and let the breakout pay you.Gold continues to move exactly as expected on the H4 timeframe, maintaining a strong bullish structure while consolidating just below the All-Time High. This price behavior signals accumulation rather than rejection, with buyers actively absorbing supply and keeping pullbacks shallow. Liquidity has already been collected on minor dips, reducing overhead resistance and reinforcing the case for a continuation breakout. As long as price holds above the upper accumulation base around 4,280–4,300, the bullish structure remains intact. The current consolidation is best viewed as preparation for the next expansion phase, where a clean break and acceptance above the ATH would open the door to new all-time highs.