Technical analysis by Ryan_TitanTrader about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (2 hour ago)

🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extended its bullish leg overnight, driven by a sharp upside displacement following a clean ChoCH on the H1 structure. However, the impulsive rally is now pushing deep into premium territory, where higher-timeframe supply begins to re-enter the picture. Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data and upcoming comments from several Fed officials. • A hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar intraday, making the current rally vulnerable to a pullback. • A neutral or dovish signal may allow gold to sweep higher liquidity before forming its next decisive move. Price is currently tapping into resting buy-side liquidity above 4060–4070, with the next pool sitting just beneath the 4090 supply zone, making this an ideal location for short-term reversals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: H1 bias remains bullish after the major ChoCH, but price is now entering an exhaustion phase as it reaches unmitigated supply. • Premium Zone: 4090–4088 aligns with the freshest H1 supply, formed right before the displacement — a prime location for a short-term reversal. • Liquidity Sweep: The candles show aggressive wicks into higher liquidity, suggesting the market may engineer one final sweep into 4090 before rotating downward. • Discount Zone: 3974–3976 lines up with unmitigated demand and sits directly below the previous accumulation range — an ideal discount level for continuation buys if price retraces. 🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Reversal) • Entry: 4090 – 4088 • Stop-Loss: 4100 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4040 (first liquidity pocket) → 4005 (return to structure) → 3976 (discount zone & demand confluence) 🟢 Buy Setup (Demand Reaction Setup) • Entry: 3974 – 3976 • Stop-Loss: 3967 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4005 → 4040 → 4080 (Only valid if price performs a liquidity sweep into 3976 and prints a clean M15 ChoCH.) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Avoid entering early inside the premium zone — wait for bearish confirmation (M5–M15 BOS). • The demand at 3974–3976 is strong but only valid once liquidity beneath the range has been fully taken. • Do not chase buys near current levels; price is overextended and has no discount alignment. • Partial profits should be secured at each liquidity point, with stops trailed using structural highs/lows. • Intraday bias remains bullish-to-neutral, but current price is at an extreme, making shorts more favorable short-term. ✅ Summary Gold is reaching into a major premium zone near 4090, where a short-term reversal becomes highly probable. The 4090–4088 supply provides a clean, high-quality SMC continuation-short setup, while the 3974–3976 demand zone remains the strongest location for reactive long positions. Stay patient — today’s movement will likely determine whether the recent pump is temporary or the beginning of a broader structural shift. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡