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Technical analysis by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS about Symbol PAXG on 10/20/2025

https://sahmeto.com/message/3854537

آزمون طلای داغ: طلا (XAU/USD) در آستانه تصمیم سرنوشت‌ساز؛ صعود یا سقوط؟

:Neutral
Price at Publish Time:
$4,260.8
،Technical،MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS

NQ1! FW201! FCDR1! FDNP1! FW401! FPEO1! FCDR1! FALE1! FMBK1! Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 15-minute chart 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary 1. Trend Context The chart shows a recent downtrend after a strong bullish rally. A descending channel is drawn with two “TRADE LINE” boundaries — upper and lower. Price is currently trading near the upper boundary of this bearish channel. 2. Resistance Zone The highlighted resistance area around $4,270–$4,280 aligns with: The upper trade line of the channel. A previous support-turned-resistance level. This makes it a key decision zone for potential reversals or breakouts. 3. Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout (Blue Path) If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone and upper channel: A bullish move could target around $4,382 (the marked upper target). Confirmation would come with a retest of the broken resistance that holds as new support. This move aligns with a trend reversal structure (break of market structure). 4. Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection (Purple Path) If price fails to break above the resistance and gets rejected: Expect a pullback continuation within the descending channel. The next downside target is around $4,185, as labeled on the chart. This would maintain the short-term bearish momentum. 🧭 Summary Outlook ScenarioConditionTargetBias Bullish breakoutBreak & close above $4,280$4,382Reversal potential Bearish rejectionRejection from resistance zone$4,185Continuation of downtrend ⚠️ Key Watchpoints Watch for price action confirmation (strong candle close) near the resistance zone. A false breakout is possible; confirmation via retest is crucial. Volatility spikes around this level could indicate institutional interest.

Source Message: TradingView
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