Fundamental analysis by trader_34586 about Stock توسن: Buy recommendation (10/16/2025)

trader_34586

There is a very high probability that the upward trend will start again tomorrow. Let's look more closely to see the reasons without excitement 🔹 1. Recent trading behavior (code by code and dummy sales queue) Two days of sales line with heavy legal codes, that is: There was no real seller; He sold his own rights and bought them himself (transfer of ownership within the group); The purpose of this work is usually to collect shares from weak or shaky reals. ✅ Result: After finishing this game, usually the queue for sale and demand is suddenly activated. 🔹 2. Current technical position The current price (468 Tomans) is exactly on the pullback area to the broken resistance of 440-450. MACD is still positive and RSI is above 50 ⇒ the strength of the uptrend is maintained. Exiting the upper Bollinger band and returning to the middle of the band is a sign of a break, not a reversal. ✅ Result: From a technical point of view, the stock is ready to restart the second upward wave. 3. Proximal fundamental stimuli The news of the contract with Sepeh Bank has not been revealed yet ⇒ any moment can act as a strong spark of demand. The permission to increase capital has been issued and there are three weeks left until the general meeting ⇒ The experience of Toussaint Group in previous years shows that in 2-3 weeks before the general meeting, growth of 30-50% usually occurs. Result: The fundamental timing is perfectly aligned with the technical signal. 4. Market behavior and stock psychology When legalese deliberately build a sell line and then collect, they usually form an artificial buy line the next day to attract the market's attention. The low trading volume in the previous days means that the supply has run out. ✅ Result: shortage of sellers in addition to the accumulated demand = high possibility of a real purchase queue tomorrow. 🟩 Summary and possible scenario Description of the medium-term bullish trend, the current situation, the end of the correction, ready to jump again, legal behavior, collecting shares from the floor with code to code, positive indicators, without warning, valid support, 440 tomans, the next resistance, 520-550 tomans, the probability of buying tomorrow is very high (70-80%), the short-term target is 500 tomans until the assembly Final result: Yes — all signs (legal behavior, indicators, chart structure and fundamentals) indicate that The upward trend will start again tomorrow. And the possibility of buying queues at the beginning of transactions is very high.