Login / Join

Technical analysis by QuantumEdgeAnalytics about Symbol NVDAX on 4/13/2025

https://sahmeto.com/message/3718366

Quantum's NVDA Trading Guide 4/13/25

:Neutral
Price at Publish Time:
$110.92
،Technical،QuantumEdgeAnalytics

Sentiment: Neutral. AI chip dominance drives optimism, but tariff risks and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Chatter posts split—bulls see growth, bears eye correction. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $110, with $105 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $108-$110 buys to $115 if $108 holds. Bearish below $108 risks $105. Influential News: Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts support growth stocks, positive for $NVDA. Earnings: Q1 due May; no update today. Chatter: Debates AI growth vs. tariff/supply chain risks. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed NVDA M&A; AI chip partnerships rumored. Other: Tariff volatility hit NVDA ; stock swung (April 3-9). Indicators: Weekly: RSI: ~50 (neutral). Stochastic: ~45 (neutral). MFI: ~40 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs signal weakness. Daily: RSI: ~48 (neutral). Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). MFI: ~45 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs suggest pullback. Hourly: RSI: ~45 (neutral). Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). MFI: ~50 (neutral). SMAs: 10-day ~$112 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$115 (below, bearish). Interpretation: Neutral, stabilizing. Price Context: $110.93 (April 11), 1M: -9%, 1Y: +28%. Range $105-$120, testing $110 support. Options Positioning (May 2025): Volume: Calls: $115 (12,000, 60% ask), $120 (10,000, 55% ask). Mild bullish bets. Puts: $105 (8,000, 70% bid), $108 (6,000, 65% bid). Put selling supports $108. Open Interest: Calls: $115 (35,000, +6,000), $120 (25,000, +5,000). Bullish interest. Puts: $105 (20,000, flat), $108 (22,000, +3,000). Hedging. Put-call ~1.0. IV Skew: Calls: $115 (40%), $120 (42%, up 3%). $120 IV rise shows upside hope. Puts: $105 (35%, down 2%), $108 (36%). Falling $105 IV supports floor. Probability: 60% $105-$120, 20% <$105. Karsan’s Interpretation: Vanna: Neutral (~300k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $110. Charm: Neutral (~150k shares/day). Pins $110. GEX: +60,000. Stabilizes range. DEX: +8M shares, neutral. Karsan view: GEX holds $105-$120; tariff news key. ICT/SMT Analysis: Weekly: Neutral, $105 support, $120 resistance. No $NVDA/ AMD divergence. Daily: Bullish at $110 FVG, targets $115. Bearish < $108. 1-Hour: Bullish >$110, $115 target. MSS at $108. 10-Minute: OTE ($109-$111, $110) for buys, NY AM. Trade Idea: Bullish: 50%. ICT/SMT buys $108-$110 to $115. Options show $115 calls. Fed cuts aid. Neutral: 35%. RSI (~50), SMAs (bearish), $105-$120 range. Bearish: 15%. Below $105 possible with tariffs. $105 put volume grows

Source Message: TradingView
Signals
Top Traders
Feed
Alerts