Technical analysis by Matthew_8888 about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (8/12/2025)

Breaking News: Trump signed the Sino-U.S. tariff "truce" agreement at the last minute, deciding once again to extend the deadline by 90 days starting from August 12. Another three months—the Sino-U.S. tariff risks have been temporarily averted. This news came as no surprise, so the market reaction has been muted. Next, all eyes are on the Trump-Putin meeting on August 15, which the market sees as the last opportunity to end the Russia-Ukraine war, making it a highly anticipated event. Tonight, the CPI data will be released, and its trend will directly influence market expectations about whether the Fed will cut rates in September. As such, this data is certain to have a major impact on gold prices. If inflation exceeds expectations, gold may initially rally but then pull back, as rising inflation data is bullish in itself but would reduce rate-cut expectations, which is bearish. If the data falls short of expectations, gold may dip first before rising. Last night, gold broke below last week’s starting rally point of 3,345, hitting a low near 3,340, indicating weak momentum. The 3,340 level is a critical support—a break below it would suggest that gold’s unilateral rise from 3,270 may shift back into a consolidation phase. Technically, gold has managed to hold above the key support of the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, currently positioned around the 3,344-3,342 range. Given that the oscillators on this chart reflect bearish momentum, a decisive break below this support could push gold toward the next intermediate support at 3,320. Conversely, if prices rebound and break above the 3,358-3,360 zone, strong resistance is likely to emerge near 3,380. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!