Technical analysis by speedtech10 about Symbol LUNA: Buy recommendation (7/22/2025)

1. Technical Setup Favors Explosive Breakout Moving Averages (Strong Buy Signal): 7/8 daily EMAs and SMAs (including critical 10-day, 21-day, and 50-day) show bullish alignment, with price trading above key averages. This indicates entrenched upward momentum. Only the 200-day SMA ($0.23) acts as resistance—a clean break could trigger FOMO buying. Divergence spotted in all major Indicators Pattern Breakout: An 8-hour chart descending triangle breakout is noted, with measured move targets at $0.95 (TP1) and $1.30 (TP2) . While short of $10, this signals technical strength. 2. Terra Liquidity Alliance + DEFI Eris Protocol: The $10 Catalyst The real game-changer isn't on charts yet—it's the flywheel effect of: Inflation-Driven Rewards: TLA directs LUNA inflation into yield pools. At current prices, this funds $6.2M/year in rewards, but if LUNA hits $3, rewards explode to $62M/year . Eris Protocol's Amplification: Users stake LUNA to mint arbLUNA (liquid staking derivative). arbLUNA enables governance voting + yield farming, generating ~250%+ net APY when combining: Stablecoin pool rewards (200%+ APY in LUNA). Governance incentives (50%+ APY for voting). Strategy: Borrow stablecoins at <5% (e.g., via Mars Protocol), farm in Eris pools, and compound LUNA rewards. Cross-Chain Capital Influx: Axelar bridges assets (wBTC, wETH) from Ethereum/Cosmos, directing external liquidity into Terra. A $1M Axelar DAO proposal is underway to turbocharge this . 3. Why This Could Fuel a $10 Surge Demand Shock: To earn 250%+ APY, users must buy and stake LUNA → shrinking circulating supply. Reflexive Price-Reward Feedback: LUNA price ↑ → Value of farming rewards ↑ → More users join → LUNA demand ↑. Example: A LUNA price rise to $1 would increase annual rewards to ~$20M, pulling in massive capital. Scalability: The model supports $100M+ TVL: Current 24h volume shows liquidity depth, and Axelar integration could 10x inflows. Short Squeeze Potential: With massive monthly gains already, sustained buying could force shorts (betting on declines) to cover, accelerating upside. 4. Feasibility Timeline: Path to $10 Phase Price Target Timeline Catalysts 1. Breakout$0.50-$1.301-2 weeksTriangle breakout, SMA 200 breach 2. Acceleration$3-$53-4 weeksTLA TVL hitting $50M+, Axelar DAO funding approval 3. Parabolic$10+6-8 weeksReflexive APY >300%, exchange FOMO listings Conclusion: A High-Probability moonshot While $10 seems audacious, the Terra-Eris flywheel creates unprecedented buy pressure. Technicals confirm bullish momentum, and the 250%+ yield mechanism could attract billions in capital within weeks. $3 is a near-guarantee if TLA TVL doubles; $10 becomes viable if LUNA's market cap climbs toward top 50 coins. Watch for these triggers: Axelar DAO approving TLA funding. LUNA holding above $0.23 on weekly close. Rising stablecoin deposits in Eris pools