analysis by اعتماد مارکت about Stock شستا on 6/11/2025

🧨 Subject: Possible approval of the Government Council Resolution against Iran 🔹 Current Status: • A resolution against Iran due to lack of cooperation in the issue of safeguards and nuclear activities. • Voting it seems almost certain. • The market has made this possibility over the past few days; For this reason, the "direct effect of the resolution" on the capital market has been partially neutralized. 🔍 But the story is not the story! The real effects start with the "reaction of Iran": If Iran responds to the approval of the Resolution: 1. Increase the level of enrichment (eg above 1 %) 2. Limit agency access 3. To retreat from regulatory agreements 4. Military exercise in the Persian Gulf or missile maneuvers 5. Make sharp or threatening statements against the US/Israel 📌 Then the market faces new political risk and double inflation expectations. 📉 Direct effects on the capital market: 🔺 Positives (in case of high stress): • Growth of the dollar (possibility of breaking important resistance) • Increased inflationary expectations • Welcome to dollar and export -oriented stocks (petroleum, mineral, metals) • Increase the attractiveness of physical assets (land, property, gold) ای Negatives: • Reduce trust in the domestic capital market • Exit the smart money towards the dollar, gold, ramors • Sales pressure on rial, banking, automotive and insurance symbols • Substitution of great shareholders and cautious realities 🎯 Proposed strategy 1. Tactical change of portfolio in favor of dollar shares: • Weight strengthening symbols such as light, shawl, steel, family, shapna, Shabendar • Weight loss of inflationary and sensitive political risk symbols such as banks, insurance, automobiles 2. Position and liquidity management: • In the current situation, the cash is part of the portfolio (1 to 2 %) to respond quickly if the concrete shock occurs. • Step and technical trigger into the right symbols 1. Checking the Portfolio's dollar balance: • If the free market dollar rises, the dollar shares will make good returns. • It is very important that your current portfolio is a few percent of its profits depends on the dollar. If you want to check for you with a quick file. 💬 Summary: • Self -resolution is not dangerous; Iran's reaction is decisive. • The market may volatile in the short term, but if the dollar jumps, attractive opportunities will open in the heart of export shares. • The time of not high risk is not at the moment; The tactic should be agile and reactive. ای Market's trust ✨ Professional Analysis | Clever decision 📲 @TeTeemadmarkett