Technical analysis by MAKFX21 about Symbol PAXG: Sell recommendation (3/19/2025)

XAUUSD (30M) - Detailed Execution Zones Based on ICT & Price Action 🔹 Bias: Short-Term Bearish, Unless 3,045 Breaks with Strength Market is in a range after a strong bullish move. Liquidity traps are likely at both EPH (highs) & EPL (lows). ADR (Average Daily Range) zones suggest price may push lower before another rally. 🟢 Bullish Execution Plan (If Smart Money Seeks Sell-Side Liquidity First) 🔹 Buy Entry 1: 2,995 - 3,000 Confluence: 20ADR Level + Fair Value Gap (FVG) Trigger: Price sweeps below EPL & shows bullish reaction (engulfing, rejection wick). Target: 3,025 (CBR Retest) → 3,040 (Final TP) Stop Loss: Below 2,985 (Full ADR target) Risk: Medium 🔹 Buy Entry 2: Break & Retest of 3,045 Confluence: Buy-side liquidity grab above EPH Trigger: Strong close above 3,045 & retest of previous resistance Target: 3,060 → 3,070 Stop Loss: Below 3,030 Risk: High (Since it’s above liquidity, fakeouts possible) 🔴 Bearish Execution Plan (Primary Plan, Based on ICT Concepts) 🔹 Sell Entry 1: 3,040 - 3,045 (Liquidity Grab & Rejection) Confluence: EPH + Order Block (OB) Trigger: Price sweeps above EPH, forms rejection candle (wick, bearish engulfing) Target: 3,025 → 3,010 (ADR Target) Stop Loss: Above 3,050 (If price closes strong above) Risk: Low 🔹 Sell Entry 2: Break & Retest of 3,025 (CBR Breakdown) Confluence: CBR level breakdown Trigger: Candle close below 3,025 + retest as resistance Target: 3,000 → 2,985 (Full ADR) Stop Loss: Above 3,035 Risk: Medium 📌 Final Thoughts & Execution Summary Main Idea: Watch for 3,040 liquidity sweep & rejection to enter shorts. Alternative Buy Plan: If price drops to 3,000, look for bullish reactions. Stay Cautious: Fakeouts are possible, always wait for confirmation before entering trades. 🔥 Most Probable Play: → Short 3,040-3,045 → TP1: 3,025 → TP2: 3,000 → TP3: 2,985 🚀