PAXG

Based on our deep analysis we can see that GOLD - XAUUSD will head to the upside. Great time to buy - it has broken major resistance levels + trends.

Over the past 91 days, more than 34% growth for the world's number one asset is no small feat! The previous day's powerful candle is also a confirmation. But the last day's candle! It is both doubtful, it is two-sided, and it has filled more than 50% of the previous candle! The news of tensions is also more towards peace than further escalation.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/lRRspQph/ News： When it comes to long-term gold trading, attempting to find a "perfect low" is often unrealistic. While Friday's drop of nearly $200 in gold may seem dramatic, it's only half of last week's gains, making the correction still within reasonable bounds. After hitting 4186, prices quickly stabilized and rebounded to 4247, forming a typical bottoming-out pattern. This level is the 0.5 retracement support level of this week's upward trend. Specifically: Opportunities often lurk amidst sharp declines. After Friday's pullback to key support, bullish sentiment has stabilized. We maintain a bullish outlook for the start of the week and recommend placing long positions in batches above Friday's low. Based on recent trends, the market is expected to trade sideways and rise slowly at the beginning of the week, with a focus on the 4220-4210 support zone. If the Asian session can break through and hold the 4275-4285 pressure zone, then you can follow up with long orders in the European and American sessions; if it maintains volatility, then wait patiently for opportunities to accumulate at low levels and stick to the long strategy on pullbacks. Trading strategy: Buy: 4225-4220, SL: 4210, TP: 4275-4300

Gold has reached a strong resistance level around 4,380 and is currently showing signs of a pullback. After nine consecutive weeks of gains without a single red candle—a rare occurrence in gold’s history—market participants should anticipate a potential correction phase. The 4,305–4,337 zone will be a key area to watch for a possible retest before the next move lower. If price fails to break above that zone, the downside targets remain at 4,110 and 4,040. Overall bias stays bearish as long as gold trades below 4,380.

Over the past 91 days, more than 34% growth for the world's number one asset is no small feat! The previous day's powerful candle is also a confirmation. But the last day's candle! It is both doubtful, it is two-sided, and it has filled more than 50% of the previous candle! The news of tensions is also more towards peace than further escalation.

Gold rallied to 4379 after opening on Friday, then rebounded above 4370 after experiencing two crashes. The market generally expected gold to break through the 4400 mark. Although one of the two crashes resulted in a drop of over 100 points, this did not spur a further return of bears. Instead, the strength of the rebound gave the market bullish confidence. The subsequent crash immediately wiped out all the buying. As I mentioned in my previous two articles, everyone expected the price to rise again after falling. The crash after the surge was actually expected. Whether it was the US government shutdown, rising expectations for an October rate cut, or the trade war and Russia-Ukraine spurring risk aversion, bullish momentum was constantly building. It was primarily driven by capital seeking to push up gold prices. Otherwise, the news had some impact, but not this significant. It's true that the Russia-Ukraine conflict hasn't escalated out of control. While a Fed rate cut is highly likely, the market had already priced in the news. Unless it's a significant rate cut, the impact will be limited. As for the US government shutdown, while it has an impact on the US economy, it's more of a civil war between the two parties, so the impact is also limited. As for tariffs, after all, they haven't been implemented, and there's no question of how much risk aversion they'll generate. Negotiations will happen anyway. Even combined, these various pieces of information wouldn't have spurred gold prices that much. After all, this month's rise from 3819 to 4379 is 560 points, and this week's rise from 4002 to 4379 is nearly 380 points. This is purely a malicious push. So is this bull market in gold over? This recent correction has been particularly strong, prompting many to question whether gold has peaked. However, it's premature to call it a peak, and we shouldn't blindly dismiss the current strong trend. After all, the news hasn't yet signaled a significant decline, and the aforementioned events haven't been effectively addressed. Looking at the one-hour and four-hour charts, support remains near 4180 and 4160. Only a break below these levels will trigger further downside, two areas we need to watch in the short term. Upward pressure is currently at 4280-4300. If it breaks through these levels again, it's likely to revisit the previous highs. A break below these levels could lead to a push towards 4500. Next Week's Trading Strategy: Gold's focus is now on the 4280 area, which is currently the dividing line between bulls and bears. If gold fails to break through 4280 in a rebound next week, continue shorting gold on rallies. If gold ultimately breaks through and stabilizes at 4280 amidst the weekend's risk-averse rally, then bulls will return. Currently, gold is still trading below 4280, so continue shorting on rallies at the beginning of next week while under pressure at 4280. If you're feeling lost and unsure about where to go in this market, follow my updates and my channel. I'll provide daily updates for your reference, including details on the execution of long- and short-term trades. If you'd like, please share your current positions so we can analyze whether it's safer to hold on or adjust and change positions in a timely manner. Next week's trading plan is about to begin. If you have any trading questions (wanting to recover losses or increase profits), please feel free to contact me. Thank you to everyone.

t: Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 30-minute Current Price: $4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke below an ascending channel but bounced from a support zone. 🔍 Key Features on the Chart: Ascending Channel (Yellow lines) Price was previously moving inside a well-defined ascending channel. It broke below the channel, suggesting a possible trend shift or correction. Buy Zone (Purple Box ~ $4,200 - $4,220) A demand zone where buyers stepped in. Price bounced strongly from this zone, indicating support is respected. Projected Price Path (Blue Zigzag Arrow) Indicates a possible bullish wave structure (higher highs and higher lows). Suggests a continuation of the uptrend after the correction. Target Level: $4,392.539 (Blue Line) A projected resistance or take-profit zone. Price is expected to reach this level based on the bullish scenario. 🧠 Interpretation: Bullish Bias: The chart suggests that the correction might be over after finding support in the "Buy Zone". Entry Zone: Around $4,200–$4,220 appears to be a strong buy area. Target: $4,392.539 (approx. +140 points from current level). Risk Consideration: If price drops below the buy zone significantly, the bullish bias may be invalidated. ✅ Summary of Strategy: Potential Buy: From current levels or on pullback toward the $4,220–$4,200 zone. Stop-Loss: Below the buy zone (e.g., under $4,180 or based on your risk tolerance). Target: Around $4,392. If you'd like, I can help you: Calculate potential risk/reward. Convert this into a trading plan. Monitor updates (with live data).

GOLD next reaction is 4300 and if consolidates then further upside to take 4400 otherwise a break down from 4300 to 4200 and below. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.

Direnç bölgesi (4.370–4.390): Fiyat daha önce bu bölgeden güçlü bir şekilde reddedildi. Bu alan, önemli bir arz/direnç bölgesi olarak doğrulandı. Fiyat tekrar bu seviyeye yükselirse satış baskısı ile karşılaşabilir. 2. Adil Değer Boşluğu (FVG 4.270–4.300): Son düşüşten sonra bir ayı yönlü FVG oluştu. Mevcut yükseliş hareketi, bu boşluğu doldurmak için gerçekleşen düzeltme hareketi gibi görünüyor. 3. Piyasa yapısı: Kısa vadeli yapı ayı yönlü – daha düşük zirveler ve dipler oluşuyor. Mevcut yükseliş, genel düşüş trendi içinde bir geri çekilme (pullback) niteliğinde. 4. Beklenen senaryo: Fiyatın hafifçe FVG bölgesine (~4.280–4.300) yükselmesi bekleniyor. Bu bölgeden reddedilme ve düşüş trendinin devam etmesi olası. Ana hedef 4.161,00 seviyesi – önceki destek ve likidite bölgesiyle örtüşüyor. 5. İşlem planı: Satış bölgesi: 4.280–4.300 (FVG içinde). Zarar durdur (Stop-Loss): 4.320 üzerinde (yapı kırılımı). Hedef: 4.161 (hedef bölgesi). Risk/Ödül oranı: Yaklaşık 1:3 veya daha iyi.

GOLD price has dropped to $4 180 support level then looks like it might be going for a rest for the $4290. But question is will the $4056 level hold for bulls or will it break that level? What are your predictions for Gold guys? lemme know on the comment session.