تحليل التحليل الفني David_Perk حول BTC في رمز في 22‏/10‏/2025

Hey what’s up guys, today’s post is not going to be technical, and neither some AI-generated piece. But more important than some technical ones. This one is about trading enemies that were holding me back for some time, hope you can learn from my mistakes. Looking for the secrets which will solve my trading and protect me from losses. Jumping from strategy to strategy and still thinking I need to learn more to avoid losses and find confidence. But than I realized its not in the strategy, but about being realistic and backed by statistical data. [I]🧠Without a doubt, trading is 80% psychology and 20% trading. I’ll show you 3 main problems and give you solution for the inspiration to move to the next level faster. 1️⃣ False Expectations – Getting Rich Quick First of all avoid 20 years old instagram billionaires with cars, watches and yachts. Its mostly rented and if they cant show 3rd party verified 5 years live track record run aways. Yes, you can get rich from trading, but it’s not gonna be in a month. And most likely not even in a year. Be realistic. A doctor or a lawyer must study at least 4 years, and then practice for a few more years before they earn any money from their professions. They have clean scripts about what to learn, in what order, and how to apply it. In trading, you don’t know what to learn. You don't know yourself yet. You’ll probably waste time finding out what works and what doesn’t. You’ll also waste time trying shortcuts like signals, expert advisors, and mainly jumping from strategy to strategy thinking it's a solution. 💊 Solution: Stop believing someone has a magic secret formula to be 100% right on the markets. Strategy that makes you rich in a week and solve all your financial problems? No one has it. Learning to trade takes time — realistically 1–2 years minimum. It depends on your commitment and how much focused work you put in. Don’t expect to watch 20 hours of YouTube videos and become profitable. Doctor also cant do surgery after just reading scripts. Experienced practice and consistent work is needed. Can some mentor help you ? Yes, but you need to check them before buying any course. Lastly trading is not a solution to a miserable financial situation, if you are broke. Learn trading but don't trade live yet or it will destroy you. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 2️⃣ Trading Random Patterns – Price Action Overfitting If you’re trading random patterns and every trade has different logic, then you don’t have an edge. Random trading logic = random results. ‼️Knowing all these 👇 and fitting them to the chart is not trading edge. Im not saying, these patterns cant work, but you must focus to the one and become a master. Not randomly choosing what fits to the chart today and taking trade on different logic tomorrow. ‼️ If your strategy is trading random patterns you know, You can’t measure strategy performance. ⏩ What you can’t measure — you can’t improve or backtest. ⏩ And that means you’re don't have statistical data - its core of all problems. 💊 Solution: Whatever pattern you like - Head and Shoulders, Triangle, Wedge, Channels, Cup and handle. Whatever but pic one, defined step by step process how you will be trading it. And always use mechanical aprocah how you will be trading it. Narrow criteria for every element of a trade to eliminate subjective decisions. 🛡️ You should have : • Defined your pattern • Method to define key levels • Fixed method how to define a trend • Fixed method how to trade continuation with your pattern • Fixed method how to trade reversal by using your pattern Define one trading pattern ( 1 kick ) Practice it 10 000 times become master 👇 For your inspiration, you can check this strategy, its eliminating subjective decisions. 🔗 Click the picture below to learn more. 👇 Approach information I gave above as Bruce Lee : Adapt useful, Reject useless and something specifically your own. ----------------------------------------------------------------- 3️⃣ Psychological Influence Trading is 20% strategy and 80% psychology. It’s you vs. you. You need to master your emotions. It’s modern to say “fix your mindset,” but how? There’s no way to stop fearing losses, being greedy, or overtrading by just magically “fixing your mindset.” 🧪 Fear – Not executing your setup when it appears because the last two trades were losses. Closing trades early because you fear it will come back to entry or hit SL — which leads to doubting your strategy and jumping to another one. 🧪 Greed – Setting unrealistic targets and not taking profits at the right time. Trading sizes so big that you check your phone every 3 minutes. Gambling. Trying to pass prop firm challenges in a few trades instead of consistent work. 🧪 Revenge Trading – Trying to make your money back quickly in bad trading conditions. Trying to prove to the market that you’re right. Fighting with your ego. 🧪 Overtrading – Forcing trades just for the sake of doing something. Feeling like you need to trade every day — a mindset from normal jobs where we’re paid for effort. 💊 Solution: Mechanical Strategy + Statistical Data = EDGE Sounds like it has nothing to do with psychology, right? You will see step-by-step, following the same process and trading plan, can be backtested on hundreds of examples. If you run at least 300 trade backtests on any trade pattern, this is what happen to you: •No pattern guessing or fitting to price action •No overthinking — you just follow the same setup you know works •Fixed SL and TP, fixed RR — no guesswork •You know your win rate % •You know your risk-reward % •Repetitiveness builds confidence and clarity •Confidence and clarity lead to improvements •Improvements lead to mastery over time ‼️ Again a statistical edge is only possible through a mechanical trading approach and proper backtesting. If you’ve done your backtests and have statistical data on a large sample, let’s say: Win Rate: 65% That means out of 100 trades, you’ll win 75 — but there can still be 25 losses. You never know the distribution of wins and losses, you only know that you’ll win over a series of trades. Average RR: 2.3 That means for every $100 you risk, you’ll win $230 if you’re right, and lose $100 if you’re wrong. The reality is always different than backtest, in reality you will perform worse. Here is what you should at least achieve Having these stats is key — it’s the solution to psychological influence How? 🧠 Final Solutions - Just think about it 🧪 Fear Why would you fear opening the next trade after a loss or closing early, if you know that on average you win 65 out of 100 trades? Distribution is random, but with a positive win rate, you win over time. Why would you close early if you know that your TP was hit in 75 out of 100 ? 🧪 Greed Why would you set unrealistic targets when your statistics already show what RR is most profitable for you? And why would you gamble big lot sizes if you know you can lose 35 trades out of 100? It doesn't make sense to gambler right? 🧪 Revenge Trading Why do it, if you know losses are part of the process and that if you just stick to the plan, you’ll win long-term? Why your statistics says so. You know how your A+ Setup looks like, when stopped out why re-entering again if setup is not valid. 🧪 Overtrading Why trade every day if your A+ setup doesn’t occur every day? If your data says the best setups occur 3 times per week, why force it? Why risk extra trades if you already made profit or if you didn’t perform well this week, why gamble it all on Friday? See ? Having a fixed mechanical solution backed by backtested statistical data is solution to everything? David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter