التحليل الفني tweak896 تحليل حول رمز FTM: شراء (١٦‏/٧‏/٢٠٢٤) مُقتَرَح

Defining cycle by 5 parts:1. Bottom: price hits lowest before crossover2. EMA cross up: ema 22 goes above ema 55 on daily timeframe3. Peak: price peaks in between the ema cross up and downthis period,4. EMA cross down: ema 22 goes below ema 55 on daily timeframe5. Bottom: price hits its lowest bottom after the crossCycle ABottom A-(Mar 13th 2020) price bottomed $0.0017EMA cross up A->68 days later(May 20th 2020) EMA 22 went above the EMA 55Peak A->105 days later-(Sep 2nd 2020) price peaked @ $0.0566>173 days bottom to peakEMA cross down A-> 46 days later-(Oct 18th 2020) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55.Bottom B->17 days later-(Nov 4th 2020) price bottomed at 1.262c. (-77% from previous peak $0.0566.)>63 days from Peak A to Bottom B.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Time of Cycle A: 236 days>236 days from Bottom A to Bottom B (entire Cycle A)Time of Bottom A to Peak A: 173 days>173 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell)Time of Peak A to Bottom B: 63 days>63 days Peak A to Bottom B (best buy after peak the best sell)Cycle A most profit:> $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Cycle BBottom B--(Nov 4th 2020) price bottomed at $0.01262.EMA cross up B->66 days later-(Jan 9th 2021) the EMA 22 went above the EMA 55.Peak B->121 days later-(10th May 2021) price peaked $0.9588.> 187 days from bottom b to peak b>If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 7597.46% gain. (76x)EMA cross down B->15 days later-(25th May 2021) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55.Bottom C->56 days later-(July 20th 2021) 56 days later $0.1534 found a bottom (-84% from previous peak $0.01262)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Time of Cycle B: 258 days>236 days from Bottom B to Bottom C (entire Cycle B)Time of Bottom B to Peak B: 187 days>187 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell)Time of Peak B to Bottom C: 71 days>71 days Peak B to Bottom C (best buy after peak the best sell)Cycle B most profit:> $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%)Cycle A + B most profit:> $0.0017 to $0.9588 564x (56400.00%)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Cycle CBottom C--(July 20th 2021) 56 days later $0.1534 found a bottom (-84%)EMA cross up B->56 days later-(Aug 14th 2021) the EMA 22 went above the EMA 55.Peak C->76 days later-(28th Oct 2021) price peaked $3.457.> 100 days from bottom c to peak c>If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 2271.44% gain. (22.7x)EMA cross down C->37 days later-(4th Dec 2021) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55.Bottom D->100 days later-(Mar 14th 2022) 100 days later $1.0343 found a bottom (-70%)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Time of Cycle C: 289 days>237 days from Bottom C to Bottom D (entire Cycle C)Time of Bottom C to Peak C: 100 days>100 days Bottom C to Peak C (best buy to best sell)Time of Peak C to Bottom D:>137 days Peak C to Bottom D (best buy after peak the best sell)Cycle C most profit:> $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%)Cycle A + B + C most profit:> $0.0017 to $3.457 2033.5x (203300.52%)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Bear MarketBottom Bear--(Nov 22nd 2022) 359 days later $0.1627 found a bottom (-95.31%)-Ended April 29th 2023-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Time of Cycle D: 532 days>532 days from Bottom C to Bottom of Bear (Entire Bear Market)Oct 19th 2023-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Guessing A2Length of cycle. A 236 B 258 C 289 daysAvg sum/3 = 261 days (July 4th 2024)B-A = 22C-B = 31 ...31-22= +9 >> 289+9 = 298 days (August 11th 2024)Guessing % gainedA $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%)B $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%)C $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%)A+B+C / 3 = 4,366%.B-A= 4268.05A-C= 1157.124268.05 - 1157.12 = 3110.93%instead got the ratio of A/B = 0.4382 x C = 951%Percent gain0.1707 up 951% = 0.1707 + (0.1707 x 9.5) = $1.7956-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Cycle A2Bottom A2-(Oct 19th 2023) price bottomed $0.1707EMA cross up A2->8 days later(Oct 27th 2023) EMA 22 went above the EMA 55Peak A2-> 147 days later-(March 22th 2024) price peaked @ $1.2295> 155 days from bottom a2 to peak a2>If you bought the crash and sold peak you would have 620.02% gain. (6.2x)EMA cross down A2-> 37 days later-(April 28th 2024) the EMA 22 closed below the EMA 55.Bottom B2->68 days later-(July 5th 2024) price bottomed at 0.03788c. (-69.16% from previous peak $1.2295.)>105 days from Peak A2 to Bottom B2.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Time of Cycle A2: 260 days>260 days from Bottom A2 to Bottom B2 (entire Cycle A2)Time of Bottom A2 to Peak A2: 155 days>155 days Bottom A to Peak A (best buy to best sell)Time of Peak A2 to Bottom B2: 105 days>105 days Peak A2 to Bottom B2 (best buy after peak the best sell)Cycle A2 most profit:> $0.1707 to $1.2295 6.2x (620.02%)-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Guessing B2Length of cycle. A:236 B:258 C:289 days A2:262 daysAvg sum/4 = 262 days (March 23rd 2025)B-A = 22C-B = 31A2-C = -27 ...31-22+27= +36 >> 269+36 = 298 days (April 30th 2025)Guessing % gainedA $0.0017 to $0.0566 33.29x (3329.41%)B $0.01262 to $0.9588 75.97x (7597.46%)C $0.1534 to $3.4859 22.7x (2172.29%)A2 $0.1707 to $1.2295 6.2x (620.02%)A+B+C+A2 / 4 = 3,429.79%.B-A = 4268.05%A-C = 1157.12%C-A2= 1552.27%4268.05 - 1157.12 - 1552.27 = 1558.66%instead got the ratio of A (3329.41%)/ B (7597.46%) = 0.4382 x C (2172.29%) = 951%instead got the ratio of B (7597.46%)/ C (2172.29%) = 3.49744 x A2 (620.02%) = 2168.48%made more sense to compare AB to A2B2 therefore went with this >instead got the ratio of B (7597.46%)/ A (3329.41%) = 2.28192 x A2 (620.02%) = 1414.838%alternative averageratio AB + CA2 / 2 = 1559.74%Percent gain$0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (1+ (1414.838/100) ) =$0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (1+ 14.1483) =$0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (15.1483) =$0.3785 up 1414.838% = 0.3785 x (15.1483) = $5.73366B2 predicted price = $5.73366-------------------------------------------------------------------------------If I go by how much I was wrong for A² prediction, then adjust$1.2295 actual A² / $1.7956 A² predicted = 0.68367X adjusted B² / $5.7336 B² predicted = 0.68367X adjusted B² = 0.68367*$5.7336 B² predictedX adjusted B² = $3.82564Adjusted prediction is $3.83 for B2-------------------------------------------------------------------------------