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Etherum Gains Steam Ethereum rose with other cryptos off of a strong pivot in risk-on assets and a selloff in the US dollar . This is likely to be temporary, so taking profits, if possible, is a good idea. If momentum continues, then $1424 is the next target. If we reject current levels, then $1235 is sure to provide support. If not, then there is a vacuum zone down to $1100.
Bitcoin Gains Off Dollar Selloff and Risk On Pivot Bitcoin pivoted off of $18.6K. We anticipated support off of this level, and a bid in risk-on assets combined with a selloff in the USD was able to lift BTC to $19.5K. Currently, this level is offering significant resistance, although the Kovach OBV has picked up a bit. We don't anticipate much more action, but if so, $20K is a likely ceiling. We expect a retracement back to $18.6K, and if that does not hold, then $17.6K is a likely floor.
Can Litecoin Hold the $50's? Litecoin made a run for $55.84 as we mentioned in the reports yesterday. This proved to be a hard upper bound, as anticipated, and prices quickly retraced back to support in the low $50's. Currently, $51.92 is holding, and this should come as no surprise to dedicated readers who have heard this level called out over and over again. If support does not hold then $50.64 is the final barrier between the $40 and $50 handles. If we are able to pivot , we could potentially test $55.84 again, but we are sure to encounter steep resistance here again.
Ethereum Rejects Highs Ethereum rejected $1424 hard, after making a run higher. We pivoted from $1235, however this was short-lived and just about the entire move was retraced. We are currently finding support just above $1235, confirmed by green triangles on the KRI . If support holds then we may attempt another bounce that is almost sure to meet resistance at $1341. If support fails at $1235 then there is a vacuum zone to $1100.
Bitcoin Retraces Bull Attempt Bitcoin saw a brief divergence with risk-on assets, as we commented yesterday, which proved to be a fluke. We mentioned that we would see resistance around $20K, which is exactly what happened. Prices were quickly batted down to $18.6K, which we also anticipated would be the case. From here, it is critical that levels hold, or we will establish lows again of $17.6K. Support is holding, but is looking quite weak. If we somehow are able to pivot again, then $20K is sure to hold as a ceiling.
Litecoin Pivots from the Low $50's Litecoin benefited from a massive rally in crypto, pivoting off of $51.92. We crossed the vacuum zone with ease and are currently testing the next level at $55.84. This level should be very familiar to dedicated readers. As anticipated, we are seeing resistance here, confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI . If the rally continues, we could easily make a run for the $60 handle. If we reject current levels then $51.92 is sure to provide support again.
Ethereum Pivots, Regaining the $1300's Ethereum found good support just above our level at $1235 with green triangles on the KRI suggesting strong support around $1280. From there, we experienced a massive rally, in the face of persistent malaise among risk-on assets. We broke through $1341, the next level above, with ease. We are currently facing resistance, confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI , at $1380 or so. If we are able to break through then $1424 is the next target, with $1547 a likely ceiling. If we reject current levels, then $1235 is likely to provide support.
Thoughts on Bitcoin's Rally A strong buying impulse in Bitcoin pushed us past $19.5K and hit our target and anticipated ceiling of $20K. As anticipated, we are seeing extreme resistance here, confirmed by a red triangle on the KRI . The Kovach indicators are very strong, suggesting that this rally has some momentum behind it. This stands in stark contrast to persistent selloffs in virtually every other risk-on asset. One possible explanation for this this is inflows from the Russian market seeking to fund their exodus from a potential draft. If the rally continues, we are sure to meet further resistance at $20.7K, with $22.4K as a likely ceiling. If we reject current levels, then $18.6K should provide support once more.
Litecoin to the Lower $50's? Litecoin has rejected our level at $55.84, and has steadily trekked downward. We are sure to see support from the low $50's as we have seen consistently. Indeed, $51.92 and $50.64 should continue to provide support, but if not we have a vacuum zone down to $45.48. If we pivot from lower levels, we could retest $55.84, but it will take significant momentum to break through this level and attempt the $60's again, which we do not anticipate at this time.
Ethereum To Test Lower Levels? Ethereum has tested our level at $1341 several times over the weekend, but it has provided significant resistance with several red triangle on the KRI confirming resistance. We are gradually trending down with the rest of the crypto markets, meandering in the vacuum zone between this level and $1235. The latter should hold as a lower bound, but if not, then $1100 is the next target. The Kovach OBV is abysmally bearish which could suggest an impending relief rally. If so, watch $1341 as a ceiling.