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تعداد اعضای کانال تلگرام
BTC - Remain calm and dont panic sell as support is at 19400 Stay calm and dont panic sell as support is at 19400 and I'd expect a bounce there ..Moving or closing below 19400 could be challenging however as the next target will be in the 16k zone
BTC - Bullish Harami on the weekly bottom- Target 36K Looks like a Bullish Harami to me on he weekly indicating a possible strong move up to around 36kComment: The market makers could be manipulating the prices and may pump price till the November 8th US elections and then dump the market.
BTC , Repeating the 2 week crossover behavior from 2015 and 2019 On the July 29th graph below it was suggested that BTC will most likely drop lower when the MA50/20 cross on the two weekly chart . This is because when this setup occurred in 2015 and 2019 BTC dropped lower by 29% and 19% respectively (from the location of the crossover). if we take the average of the past 2 crossover drops 29% and 19% this gives 24% . Applying this average to the current move down leads me to believe that BTC can move down 24% to around 19/18K. I would then expect BTC to attempt another move upwards from these levels . however .... if BTC fails to move back up and instead drops below 18K then i'd expect another leg down to the 12/ 13k area .
BTC - Most likely will move back down to the 20k area. The 2 week graph shows that the MA20 (green line) and the MA50(yellow line) are set to cross in about 3 days at point C, A look back at previous crosses 'A' and 'B ' show that when this MA cross occurred BTC moved down and average of 28% and 20%. Hence my though is that BTC will most likely move back down to the 20k to 19K area and this move up could be a Bull-trap
BTC - Must produce a heck of a bullish candle to get past 22000 BTC is going to have to prduce one heck of a bullish candle to get past 22000 . Why ? === Because a look at the monthly chart shows that the 50 moving average sits at this 22000 and is going to act as resistance . To clear this resistance BTC is going to produce a large bullish candle and move to around the 24k to 25k level .Comment: moving to the weekly chart shows the MA200 also sits at this location at the 22500 level and will also act as resistanceComment: moving closer to home and looking at the Daily chart shows BTC is forming a double bottom which has a target around the 25000 area . Incidentally 25000 is also where the MA50 (yellow line ) sits on the daily chart . This leads me to believe that if BTC moves up it will move as far as 25000 and then come back down to retest the 22000 area .Comment: On the bearish side if BTC is unable to even make it as far as 22500 then id expect a move lower to the 16K areaComment: Either-way after an almost 80% drop this is a good location to open a small long-term multi-year HODL position. No more than 20% of ones HODL allocation.
BTC - Possible head & shoulders to 25300 with a close above MA20 Possible head and shoulders shorterm move to 25300 . This setup requires a Daily close above the MA20 (the green line) at 20500 to get the ball rolling . Currently BTC sits just below the MA20 on the daily Chart On the flip side this setup is considered a failure if instead of heading upwards BTC moves below 18500 on the Daily Chart . Such a move will indicate a possible target in the 16k area.
BTC - Stochastics hasn't bottomed out yet on BTC Monthly The Stochastics hasn't bottomed out yet on BTC Monthly: Why ?: ========= Because when the Stochastic bottoms out we see the green indicator line cross over the red indicator line indicating movement back upwards. An example of this is marked on the Stochastic at Points "A" and "B" The Current stochastic at point "C" shows BTC is only just breaking the bottom of the pattern and the Green and Red indicators on the Stochastic have yet to flip bullishly . Whats this mean ? ============== This leads me to believe that in month or two BTC will eventually reach the bottom of the upwards moving channel at around the 13 to 12k area. Interestingly the graph shows the MA150 is conveniently situated at this area and will act as additional support .
BTC - Possible bounce zone between 18782 and 17390 Going by the "head and shoulders " and the "Adam and EVE" patterns discussed earlier in the chart below ; Id expect a bounce area to be between 18782 and 17390Comment: if BTC fails to bounce at 18 to 17k and instead drops below 17390 , then the monthly graph shows the next stop down is a no support area with the support being at the 13 to 12k areaComment: An interesting but Bearish observation on the Monthly graph is that this is the first time since 2014 that BTC has closed a month below the MA50 (yellow line) . In the past BTC has always closed Monthly candles above the MA50 but its failed currently .Comment: From the graph below recovery time from a capitulation is a around 6 months . Hence id expect slow sideways action until the end of this year . This also coincides with the ending of the Quantitative Tightening for 2022.Comment: My thought is the 18 to 17k area will most likely be a Temporary bounce location with BTC moving lower to the 12 to 13k area in a month or two
BTC - Bearish Engulfing close on 4 day candle BTC - Bearish Engulfing close on 4 day candle indicating potential downside move. However the EM300 sits at 19500 and can act as support . if 19500 fails to hold and BTC closes below this level then movement lower to the 17/18k area can be expected
BTC - 7 days later BTC is still in the same spot - A look at the head and shoulders setup below shows BTC is still at the same spot and has now formed an Adam and EVE. The Adam and EVE setup can play out as a double top so a close below 19789 is concerning as the target will be 18465. So whats the current hold up? ======================== A peek at the weekly chart shows BTC is currently stuck below the MA200 and the EMA300 which are acting as strong resistance From the looks of it BTC has also been rejected by the EMA300 and is trying to regain its composure.Comment: A look closer also shows the MA20O(green line) and the EMA100 (white line) have also crossed bearishly on the weeklyComment: Throw in some 3AC, Coinflex and Celcius liquidity issues as well as the FEDS Quantitative Tightening and its best to proceed with caution currently in the crypto market.Comment: Is there any hope ? ================== Switching to the 4 hour time frame shows BTC has also formed a falling wedge and if BTC is able to remain above the top edge of the wedge it may be able to reach the 24074 area.Comment: Another good sign will be a close above the weekly EMA300 at 21800, ..... if instead BTC closes this week below the EMA200 at 21000 its probably going to move lower to the 17/18k area.