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OKTA :Financial Position and Market Performance OKTA In light of rising cloud services and cybersecurity demands, Okta Inc. (OKTA) has reported robust revenue growth in its recent financial statements. Despite the apparent growth, pressures and anticipations in the market have recently weighed on the company's stock. Over the past 12 months, OKTA has reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -4.29 USD, despite a revenue per share of 12.15 USD. This suggests that while the company is currently experiencing losses, the positive operating cash flow per share of 1.22 USD and a free cash flow per share of 1.10 USD highlight a healthy cash reserve post-operations and investments. However, OKTA’s high Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of -16.74, Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 5.94, and Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.09 suggest an elevated market valuation. On a positive note, OKTA’s Price-to-Operating-Cash-Flow (P/OCF) ratio of 59.00 and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow (P/FCF) ratio of 65.81 demonstrate the company's robust cash generation capacity. In terms of ESG ratings, OKTA scores moderately across environmental, social, and governance dimensions, with an overall ESG score of 59. Despite surpassing revenue and earnings expectations in Q1 and an upward revision of the full-year sales growth forecast from 16-17% to 17-18%, the company's stock fell 15% over the past week, triggered by the CEO's warning and market pressures. This may be due to an overly optimistic market expectation not met by the strong, yet insufficient financial report. However, in the long run, demand for OKTA's identity management services and cybersecurity products remain strong. With the company progressively overcoming efficiency challenges impacting profits, improved performance can be anticipated. Therefore, while the stock may fluctuate in the short term, long-term investors may see the realization of its potential. In conclusion, despite current short-term market pressures, OKTA shows a strong growth potential fundamentally. When considering investing, investors should take into account the company's financial condition, market performance, and future growth expectations. Technical Analysis: From the daily chart, the overall trend remains within a steady upward channel. We should pay close attention to the 61.8% Fibonacci support level. If the price gets support on the daily chart, the rebound force can break through the resistance level at 90, allowing us to continue holding. However, if the short-term price breaks through the channel support, the market might continue to bear pressure. The current price support is critical. The RSI indicator suggests a higher likelihood of rebound, but the MACD shows an ongoing bearish crossover signal with increasing selling volume. If you have already held positions, you can monitor the support situation around $70 in the short term. If you haven't entered the market, wait for a clear channel support signal before entering.
ب.ظ 06:28 1402/03/15
PLTR :Is there a bubble behind the meteoric rise of PLTR stock? The recent surge in PLTR stock is partially attributed to Nvidia's (NVDA) historic quarterly earnings. Nvidia's revenue forecast for the second quarter is $11 billion, far exceeding analyst expectations of $7.15 billion. This positive news also boosted the stocks of other companies involved in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), including PLTR. Recently, Palantir announced a partnership with the Ministry of Digital Transformation in Ukraine. Through this collaboration, Palantir will assist Ukraine in rebuilding its digital infrastructure, which was damaged during the Russian invasion. The services will include enhancing the efficiency of electronic public services and collaborating with the Armed Forces of Ukraine to implement digital and innovative projects. However, I've also noticed that Palantir faces potential competition from data platforms developed by the U.S. government, concerns about its investments in SPAC-backed startups, and the launch of its Apollo platform, which may face competition from other cloud-based software update platforms. Amid the push of the AI wave, technology suite companies are also experiencing a pullback, but there is a certain bubble in this. From a technical perspective, as you've mentioned, there are signs of overbuying risk, so chasing the bull trend right now isn't advisable. I would suggest remaining on the sidelines as the current price isn't a good entry point. The first resistance level above is around 18, with a short-term resistance level at 15.63, which is the weekly high. If you already hold this stock, you could continue to wait for a sprint to the first resistance level above and use it as your first profit target.
ب.ظ 03:02 1402/03/15
BBUC Entry Consideration: Monitor Structural Break Amid Downtre From a technical perspective, BBUC has been in a volatile downtrend since its IPO. Currently, the overall price movement is supported by the 30-day MA. However, bearish crossover signals have appeared in the MACD indicator, and the bearish momentum is starting to amplify. The RSI indicator also hasn't shown any clear buy signals. At the current price level, if considering a short-term holding plan, there is some upside potential, with a target near $22. However, the profit space is not large, so I personally would not recommend buying in at this point. If you insist on a bullish outlook for this stock, a good buying opportunity would be when the price rises above $23, gets support after a pullback, and breaks the previous downtrend channel structure.
ب.ظ 06:34 1402/03/14
AI Short-term price correction, there is room for upside Over the past three months, C3.ai's stock has shown some growth, with an increase of 13.27%. However, the market's reaction to the company's recent financial reports and expectations seems to be complex. Here are some key points on the company's recent performance: In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2023, the company's revenue remained largely in line with the same period last year, slightly outperforming Wall Street's expectation of a 1% decline. The adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.13, lower than analysts' forecast of $0.17. The revenue forecast for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 is stronger than Wall Street's expectations, but the full-year revenue forecast is lower than the market consensus. This may be the main reason why C3.ai's stock fell 22.4% after the announcement of its financial results. From a financial perspective, the company's cash flow is improving. In this quarter, C3.ai generated $27.1 million in cash from operations, a significant improvement from the $13 million cash used in the same period last year. Moreover, the company generated $16.3 million in free cash flow, up from a negative $14.8 million in the same period last year. At the end of the period, the company held $73.1 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. Subscription revenue achieved during the quarter increased 1% year-on-year to $56.9 million, while professional services revenue declined 3% to $15.4 million. The company launched the C3 Generative AI solution, which was warmly received by the market. Furthermore, the company has completed three agreements for C3 Generative AI applications, all of which are expected to be operational in the first quarter of fiscal 2024. Overall, despite the increase in C3.ai's stock price over the past three months, the company's revenue expectations are lower than market expectations, which may have sparked market concerns. From a technical standpoint, the stock is currently in a price correction zone following an overbought situation, with institutional profit-taking causing a price pullback. On the daily chart, we can clearly see this, with the stock's price starting to pull back after hitting a near one-year high. The RSI has now left the overbought zone, and the bullish momentum in the MACD indicator at the top is significantly shrinking, possibly indicating an impending bearish crossover. Looking at Fibonacci retracements, the current pullback is at the 50% level, which serves as a crucial support level in the overall uptrend. If the 50% support level ($30.49) holds in the upcoming daily trends, the next target would be near $50. Conversely, if this support level is broken, we should first observe the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement as the second support level.
ب.ظ 06:32 1402/03/14
META:Go for a surf with the wind and waves Meta's stock has been performing remarkably well in 2023, largely owing to an improved sentiment towards tech stocks, the company's aggressive cost-cutting measures, and its focus on Generative AI. In the first quarter of 2023, Meta's revenue surprisingly increased to $28.64 billion, a 3% increase year-over-year, with a net income of $5.71 billion, a decrease of 24% compared to the same period last year. This growth in revenue could be partially attributed to the recent launch of a new advertising software suite called AI Sandbox. Utilizing Generative AI, this tool assists advertisers, which had a positive impact on the market and led to a 2% increase in Meta's stock price on the day of the announcement. The AI Sandbox currently includes three features: text variation, background generation, and image cropping. These functionalities aid advertisers in creating more personalized, relevant, and engaging advertisements. Meta plans to publicly launch AI Sandbox in July 2023, adding more features such as video generation and audio synthesis. However, it's important to note that the company's Reality Labs division, responsible for developing virtual and augmented reality technologies for the metaverse, reported sales of $339 million but an operating loss of $3.99 billion. The company anticipates that this operational loss will increase further this year. Although the short-term operational loss from the Reality Labs division may impact Meta's stock price, in the long run, with the proliferation of the metaverse, Reality Labs is expected to provide substantial returns for the company and its shareholders. From a technical perspective, the broader cycle appears temporarily overbought. There's a resistance channel at 260, and a minor correction is expected, with a support level at 230. The alligator indicator continues to diverge upwards, and with three consecutive bullish weeks, there's a significant chance of breaking directly above the 300 round number. Therefore, I am upgrading my rating for META from "hold" to "buy", and raising my price target from $220 to $320.
ب.ظ 06:41 1402/03/08
AI and Digital Advertising Surge: 2023 Tech Stocks Outlook Introduction: In the investment landscape of 2023, tech stocks exhibit significant growth potential. The explosive growth in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital advertising, in particular, brings countless possibilities and challenges for investors. Against this backdrop, seizing and utilizing the investment opportunities during this transformative period is critical. In this article, we delve into this theme and recommend some tech stocks with remarkable growth potential. I. The Explosive Growth of AI: Driving Forces and Opportunities: We are living in an era characterized by the rapid development and widespread application of AI technology. The advancements in AI have become one of the primary driving forces projected to significantly increase the demand for Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) and Central Processing Units (CPUs) by 2023. AI requires considerable processing capabilities, and GPUs and CPUs are the key hardware providing this power. It is estimated that by the end of 2023, AI will be integrated into thousands of applications. For instance, AI applications like OpenAI's ChatGPT are expected to require more processing capabilities to function normally. Currently, ChatGPT 3 can support 175 billion parameters, but the anticipated ChatGPT 4 may support up to 1 trillion parameters, or even more. Such technological progress will undoubtedly drive the demand for more powerful GPUs and CPUs. NVDA II. Top Picks: Rising Stars of Tech Stocks: In this context, Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), being the main manufacturers of GPUs and CPUs, are certainly worth our close attention. As demand for these processors increases, these two companies' sales could potentially rise, thereby driving their stock prices. In particular, Nvidia stands out. I predict that the rapid growth of ChatGPT could bring Nvidia sales between $3 billion and $11 billion within a year. This demonstrates that the rapid development of AI technology presents substantial growth opportunities for the company. AMD III. Technical Analysis: Upward Trend: From a technical analysis standpoint, both NVDA and AMD stocks show a strong upward trend. Their moving averages line up positively, demonstrating a strong uptrend. Furthermore, their Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains at a healthy level, indicating that their upward trend is not overheated. I believe, with the further development of the AI and digital advertising industry, NVDA and AMD stocks are likely to continue rising in the future. IV. The Opportunity in Digital Advertising: Driving Demand: On the other hand, the growth of the digital advertising industry could also be a driving factor for the increased demand for GPUs and CPUs. Advertisers are seeking more effective advertising strategies, and the application of AI and big data technology can help them achieve this goal. This also requires more powerful processing capabilities, which may affect the demand for GPUs and CPUs. TTD V. Spotlight: The Trade Desk, Inc. In this context, The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD), a company mainly engaged in online advertising transactions, also deserves our close attention. With the rapid growth of the digital advertising industry, the company's business could potentially get a boost, thereby driving its stock price up. Similarly, from a technical analysis standpoint, TTD's stock also shows a strong upward trend. Its moving averages line up positively, reflecting the market's positive expectations for its future. In addition, its RSI is in the healthy range, indicating that its upward momentum is likely to continue. VI. Conclusion: In summary, I believe that NVDA, AMD, and TTD all have strong growth potential in the future. As an economic analyst, I am always paying close attention to market dynamics and development trends. In my view, these three companies are leaders in their respective fields. They are well-positioned to seize the growth opportunities in the AI and digital advertising industry and further enhance their business performance. However, it's important to remind everyone that while I am confident in the prospects of these three stocks, investing always carries risk. When making investment decisions, please do your research thoroughly and make decisions based on your risk tolerance. In this era full of changes and opportunities, let's look forward to the possibilities the future may bring.
ق.ظ 12:08 1402/03/01
BTCUSD: Deeper correction, buy on dips. Summary: Bitcoin is facing selling pressure for the eighth consecutive week, currently striving to hold within the robust support area of $26,500. The cryptocurrency market cap remains close to $1.127 trillion as attempts for growth encounter selling pressure near $1.14 trillion. The cryptocurrency market has once again brought disappointment to investors over the past week. Transaction fees within the Bitcoin ecosystem have reached the third highest level in history, similar to what was observed in 2017 and 2021. The average network speed remains around 7 transactions per second. Those wishing to transfer funds have increased transaction fees to expedite their execution, resulting in an average fee of $31 per transaction on May 8th. While this is frustrating for users, it is welcomed by miners as it marks the first time since 2017 that fees have exceeded block rewards. With selling pressure nearing $1.14 trillion, the cryptocurrency market cap remains close to $1.127 trillion, leading to mixed performances among the top cryptocurrencies in the past 24 hours. Solana declined by 0.7%, XRP rose by 5.6%, Bitcoin dropped by 0.3%, and Ethereum showed moderate gains. The strengthening US dollar has negatively affected Bitcoin. However, the potential for a US banking crisis continues to support hopes in the cryptocurrency market. For many cryptocurrency enthusiasts, Bitcoin is considered a safe haven and a store of value similar to physical gold, protecting against potential loss of funds. Expectations of lower US interest rates and bank deposit rates are likely to generate more interest in stacking Ethereum and generate additional interest income. This could potentially initiate a new bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that the price has failed to rally from the support level, currently approaching $27,000. Investors should be prepared for a price drop below the $25,000 level as the market appears ready for a comprehensive rebound and correction from the November lows. This also implies that the upcoming correction may be limited in scope. BTCUSD: The price is expected to undergo a deeper correction, with buying opportunities focused on demand zones. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's price has been in a declining structure since reaching a 10-month high of $31,040 on April 14th, aligning with our expectations. In the short term, although the price seems to have stabilized above $26,000 and attempted a rebound, the inability to successfully test the demand zone remains a significant factor hindering further upward movement, indicating that the price continues to be in a bearish trend. This trend suggests a downside bias in the near term. Specifically, the RSI remains below the neutral level of 50, while the stochastic oscillator is accelerating its decline near the oversold region of 20. If the 20-day moving average continues to limit the upside, the price is likely to test the support level at $26,660, which represents a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the rally from $19,540 to $31,064. Breaking below this level would establish a basis for the May bottom at 25,785 points. If the bears fail to hold at this point, the price could continue to drop below the $25,000 level. However, in a bullish scenario, the bulls may push the price towards the recent resistance zone around $27,670. Once this level is breached, the focus will shift to the 23.6% Fibonacci level at $28,344, and even potentially test the psychological level of $30,000. Overall, Bitcoin's price has been in a bearish trend since mid-April, and its recent recovery attempts have been repeatedly rejected by the 20-day moving average. Therefore, a clear breakout above this level is needed to revive hopes for a trend reversal. In terms of trading, considering the expected possibility of a price drop below short-term support and further acceleration downwards, the primary strategy is to buy on dips within the demand zones.
ب.ظ 11:48 1402/02/29
WTI: Balanced factors, watch for marginal changes. Fundamentals: During the Asian session on Friday (May 19th), WTI oil prices traded in a narrow range, currently around 72.5. Strong US economic data pushed the US dollar to a two-month high, increasing expectations of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June, which put pressure on oil prices. However, the market recovered from the slight decline in the overnight session as bullish sentiment improved slightly due to a significant drop in US initial jobless claims. Supply-wise, according to data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI) cited by the International Energy Forum (IEF) on Thursday, Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports increased from 7.455 million barrels per day in February to 7.52 million barrels per day in March. Additionally, the destructive impact of wildfires in Alberta, Canada, is reducing oil supply in the region. In terms of news, two Federal Reserve policymakers stated on Thursday that US inflation doesn't seem to have cooled enough to warrant a pause in rate hikes. The speeches by Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Robert Kaplan and St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard seemingly represented the views of a minority of hawks within the Federal Reserve, but this viewpoint has gained more support ahead of the Fed's next meeting on June 13-14. The futures market currently reflects a probability of over 30% for a rate hike in June, up from 10% a week ago. On the data front, initial jobless claims decreased by 22,000 to a seasonally adjusted 242,000 in the week ending May 13th, marking the largest drop since November 20, 2021. Despite recent speculation about the US economy nearing a recessionary tipping point, the economy has maintained its expansion trend with strong employment, which has been surprisingly robust. This trend may continue in the near and even distant future. Currently, there are no signs of an early-stage recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), and multiple macro indicators indicate sustained economic growth, which is quite surprising. Geopolitically, the Russian Defense Ministry released a report on the 18th stating that Russian forces launched offensives against Ukrainian forces in multiple directions, including Kupyansk, Red Leman, Donetsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson. The Russian military also launched strikes against large warehouses holding foreign weapons in Ukraine using sea-based and air-based precision-guided weapons during the night. Overall, resilient economic data increasing expectations of another rate hike in June by the Federal Reserve have pushed the US dollar higher, intensifying downside risks for oil prices. However, the announcement of new sanctions against Russia by the US and G7 countries may escalate geopolitical tensions and limit the decline in oil prices. Considering the balanced factors, short-term oil prices need to focus on the impact of the US debt ceiling agreement. However, based on the experience of the past 104 times, reaching an agreement is only a matter of time. Going forward, short-term developments will depend on marginal changes in various aspects and geopolitical conditions, particularly on the supply side. Currently, oil prices have failed to incentivize increased supply from US shale gas, so it is crucial to closely monitor the OPEC+ meeting in June and the information disclosed prior to the meeting. Technical Analysis: Daily Timeframe: After the breakdown of the downward range since mid-April, the market will continue to test the resistance at 73.60. If it can break through, this level will turn into a support level, forming a new pattern. This area is a battleground for bulls and bears. Currently, the MACD indicator has formed a bullish cross, indicating a potential upward movement. Trade Recommendation: Trade Direction: Long Entry Point: 72.500 Target Point: 77.500 Stop Loss Point: 67.500 Support Levels: 70.000, 64.000 Resistance Levels: 73.600, 77.500
ب.ظ 11:34 1402/02/29
XAUUSD Strong buy signal at the bottom Fundamentals Gold prices rose in early trade as better-than-expected U.S. economic data and a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve dampened demand for the safe-haven metal, in what could be a technical rebound following Tuesday's dip. If buyers regain control of the market and manage to push prices above $2,000 an ounce, this could create a more "favorable environment" for gold to rally to $2,050, then $2,070, and then to new all-time highs. Technical Analysis From the RSI indicator, the 4H cycle has started to rebound in the oversold area, the long/short watershed pivot 1994, above if buyers continue to push prices back above $2000, then gold prices will continue to return to the daily level upside channel, then the next target level is 2077. Operating recommendations Long Entry price 1990 T1 2000 SL 1985
ق.ظ 12:54 1402/02/27
Diminishing Capital-Sensitive Performance Translation: Since May, the international crude oil market has been unpredictable. WTI crude oil prices have dropped from around $78.00 per barrel to $63.64 per barrel, and then rebounded to $70 per barrel. However, they are still under pressure. Fundamentals Amid macro-level uncertainties and filling gaps, the crude oil market experienced a volatile period since May. WTI crude oil prices declined from around $78.00 per barrel to $63.64 per barrel, followed by a rebound to $70 per barrel. However, the market still faces pressure and remains sensitive to various factors. Recent news regarding the US replenishing its strategic crude oil reserves and the potential ban on Russian gas imports by the G7 provided some support for WTI crude oil. These developments could lead to a decrease in global crude supply, which may help stabilize prices. The upcoming EIA and API inventory reports are expected to impact crude oil volatility during the middle of the week, particularly if traders anticipate inventories to decline after the unexpected increase. However, another significant rise could indicate weaker demand conditions and contribute to further price declines. The release of the US retail sales report later today could also bring significant volatility to commodities. Consumer spending trends could influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, potentially impacting crude oil prices. Pessimistic data could reinforce expectations of a pause in interest rate hikes, leading to a weakening US dollar and potentially driving up riskier assets like crude oil. If market expectations regarding US debt default risks continue to weaken this week, it may contribute to a restorative rally in oil prices in the short term. However, failure to effectively manage debt risks could result in significant declines across various asset classes. Overall, in an environment of heightened market risk aversion, positive factors related to crude oil's supply and demand dynamics may falter, and oil prices could face further short-term downward pressure. In the long term, the crude oil market is anticipated to experience supply shortages in the third quarter, and there are no clear signals of contracting oil demand on the supply and demand side. However, demand is still in the process of seasonal pickup. WTI crude oil currently exhibits bearish momentum, and prices are likely to continue searching for support at the first level of $69.33. This level has proven to be significant in the past. If this support holds, it could trigger a price rebound. However, if prices continue to decline below this level, they could further drop towards the second support level at $67.56, which represents a multi-band low support level. On the upside, the first resistance level is at $73.97, coinciding with the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement. This level may pose a challenge to any bullish momentum. If prices reach this level and fail to break through, a reversal towards the support level could occur. The second resistance level at $76.91 represents another overlapping resistance level aligned with the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement. This level could be a significant obstacle to bullish price movements, potentially leading to a decline in prices. Between these levels, there is an intermediate resistance level at $71.73, which also aligns with the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement. This level could serve as a secondary obstacle to higher prices. Technical Analysis WTI crude oil remains in a corrective mode as the price failed to extend its rally from the previous support area around $69.39 to $71.75 (which is close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level that could potentially limit further upside). This indicates ongoing weakness in upward momentum. In such a scenario, the price could continue to retreat to $70.00 or even lower levels of consolidation. However, technical indicators still point to more upside potential. On one hand, the 100 SMA (Simple Moving Average) remains above the 200 SMA, suggesting the path of least resistance is to the upside. A breakout above the areas of interest could trigger a test of the recent high around $73.43 or resistance near $74.00. On the other hand, the stochastic indicator is trending downward, but the oscillator appears to be rising, indicating that bullish pressure may soon return. At the same time, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is trending higher, suggesting that the bulls might gain the upper hand and drive prices higher. Overall, while the short-term trend remains bearish, the capital-sensitive performance is expected to gradually diminish over time, potentially paving the way for a resurgence of the bullish sentiment. In terms of trading strategy, buying on dips would be the preferred approach. USOILSPOT Trading Recommendation Trading Direction: Long Entry Point: $70.00 Target Point: $75.50 Stop Loss: $67.40 Validity: Until May 30, 2022, 23:55:00 Support Levels: $70.53, $69.39, $67.55 Resistance Levels: $71.81, $72.59, $73.81
ب.ظ 05:09 1402/02/26
هر محتوا و مطالب مندرج در سایت و کانالهای رسمی ارتباطی سهمتو، جمعبندی نظرات و تحلیلهای شخصی و غیر تعهد آور بوده و هیچگونه توصیهای مبنی بر خرید، فروش، ورود و یا خروج از بازار بورس و ارز دیجیتال نمی باشد. همچنین کلیه اخبار و تحلیلهای مندرج در سایت و کانالها، صرفا بازنشر اطلاعات از منابع رسمی و غیر رسمی داخلی و خارجی است و بدیهی است استفاده کنندگان محتوای مذکور، مسئول پیگیری و حصول اطمینان از اصالت و درستی مطالب هستند. از این رو ضمن سلب مسئولیت اعلام میدارد مسئولیت هرنوع تصمیم گیری و اقدام و سود و زیان احتمالی در بازار سرمایه و ارز دیجیتال، با شخص معامله گر است.