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ADA: Casual Conversation of Current Price Movement Hi Everyone! This is a casual conversation covering a FEW things to consider when TRADING with the indicators. However, I recommend you practice this in HIGHER time frames; such as the Near Term Group of time frames (12-hour, 24-hour, 2-Day, 3-Day, 4-Day, 5-Day, 6-Day and Weekly). One reason is because each candle in those higher time frames take a while longer to play out; which means you have more time to make a decision. However, use the 3h and 6h along with them to ACT as your 8-min. and 15-min . of the Immediate Group when High Time Frame Scalping. If you are using the Near Term Group, you are SWING trading and NOT "scalping." Yet, you will use the 3h and 6h to help you on your ENTRY for the SWING trades with the Near Term Group of time frames. Hope this was helpful... Happy Trading and Stay Awesome! David
ADA: Still in Pullback Mode Before Potential 66 to 75 Cents Hi Everyone! Simply pointing out our lower time frames have been in downward pressure to the point of the Red and Blue Lines in the 8-hour time frame potentially going below level 50. However, the Blue Line in the 6-hour is still fairly high above Level 50; implying it may take a few more 6-hour candles before a potential drop down to $0.52. 6-hour time frame is bottom right of center and 8-hour is bottom right corner. 12-hour time frame: AQUA TEXT BUBBLE: Blue Line is still high in the 12-hour. Red Line is still high as well. We can anticipate the B-Band Basis to hold support the next 12-hour candle as well. We need the yellow K-Line to rise above the magenta D-Line in this 12-hour soon. 4-Day, 5-Day & 6-Day: NOTE: The price action went up to the white/aqua UPPER B-Bands in the 4-Day and 5-Day. We are currently in proximity of the B-Band Basis in the 6-Day with good odds to continue higher to the white/aqua UPPER B-Bands around $0.65 to $0.75 in the 6-Day. Keep in mind the B-Bands in the 6-Day are still contracting (tightening). Which means the price level of the white and aqua upper b-bands will be lower the NEXT 6-Day candle; which begins in approximately 18 hours. Red Line is already above Level 50 in the 6-Day. The Blue Line has a chance of going above Level 50 the next 6-Day candle. The reason I'm mentioning this is because the B-Bands may complete their contraction (tightening) the NEXT 6-Day candle and may level out or begin expanding the next candle after that (two candles from present candle). 15-Day Time Frame: GRAY TEXT BUBBLE: I still have concern about the White Energy reaching exhaustion in this 15-Day time frame and we see a reversal to downward pressure potentially the next 15-Day candle; which begins 12-Days and 19-Hours from this writing. RED TEXT BUBBLE: Red Line is approaching white level 30 and Blue Line is approaching white/aqua Level 20. Is there a chance for the B-Band Basis at $0.85? Sure... but not very good odds during the current 15-Day candle. Why did I say $0.85 and not $0.89 like it is now? Because the Yellow B-Band Basis is falling. Which would put the B-Band Basis around $0.85 the NEXT 15-Day candle. 10-Day Time Frame: PURPLE TEXT BUBBLE: We still have a fairly good chance of continuing higher toward the Yellow B-Band Basis in this 10-Day time frame due to the Red and Blue Lines BOTH being above White Level 30. The reason I'm not saying white/aqua UPPER B-Bands like I normally would is due to the current levels of the Red and Blue Lines in the 15-Day and 3-Week time frames. 3-Week Time Frame: RED TEXT BUBBLE: The current level of our Red and Blue Lines in this 3-Week time frame are what concern me the most. How so? The Red Line is not even above Level 20 yet. It's not near White Level 30 either; which would increase our odds of going up from the white lower b-band to the yellow b-band basis. The Blue Line currently at Level 2.3 does not help matters either. It's possible the White Lower B-Band in this 3-Week time frame may be our ceiling of resistance for a while. Does this mean we cannot see this 3-Week candle or the next 3-Week candle rise above white level 30? No, it simply means we will have a difficult time rising up all the way to the Yellow B-Band Basis. The next 3-Week candle begins in 5-Days and 18-hours from this writing. We really need to see the Green Line continue rising; the Red Line rise above Level 20 and the Blue Line turn up towards aqua Level 10 the NEXT 3-Week candle.Comment: UPDATE: Here is the IMMEDIATE Group of time frames (5-sec. 15-sec. 30-sec. 1-min. 2-min. 4-min. 8-min. and 15-min.): I mentioned in the video we need the K-Line to rise above the D-Line in the 8-min. and 15-min. in order to help the Red Line turn back up in the 30-minute. I mentioned in the video we need the Red and Blue Lines both to rise back above Yellow Level 50 in the 30-minute through the 4-hour. It all starts with the 8-min. and 15-min. Which are currently rising... 30-minute and 1-hour time frames:
ADA: Odds Quite High to Continue to 66 to 75 Cent Range Hi Everyone! Simply providing explanation as to WHY the price action has very high odds of continuing higher to the 66 to 75 cent range. Yes, it will take a little time to make it to this price range but this is where it looks like we are heading at present. Yes, it also looks like we are no longer in Distribution and odds are quite high we are in Accumulation. Hope this analysis is helpful. Happy Trading and Stay Awesome! David
BTC: 3-Week White Lower B-Band to Act as Resistance for a While Hi Everyone! Hope everyone is doing okay... I'm doing fine... Simply wanted to point out we still have potential to continue rising up toward $27,000 to $28,000 over the next couple of weeks. The reason for posting the 3-Week time frame is to point out our current CEILING OF RESISTANCE we should anticipate over the next several weeks while this plays out. It's too soon to say at present if we are in accumulation or if we are still in distribution. We likely need to wait for a few more Weekly candles to play out before we see indicators in higher time frames show we have increased odds of being in accumulation. Such as the 5-Week time frame. I'll post more updates from several time frames shortly. RED TEXT BUBBLE: Red Line of 18 Feb '19 was similar level to present day. NOTE we had a problem rising up from white lower B-Band until the Red Line made it up to white level 30 a couple of 3-Week candles later. Present Day White Lower B-Band is currently at $28,431.53 at this writing. We have 8-Days and 17-hours remaining in the current 3-Week candle. We had similar issue with price action not going above White Lower B-Band 16 Feb '15 due to Red Line not being at or above White Level 30. If price action rises above White Lower B-Band this 3-Week candle, it would be considered over-extended.Comment: UPDATE: 5-Week time frame: Each time our Red Line got to or near level 20 in the 5-Week time frame; it ended up we were in Accumulation. So, it's very possible we could be in the early stage of accumulation.Comment: UPDATE: 1-Week time frame: RED TEXT BUBBLE: Odds are highly in favor of price action continuing to rise up to at least the Yellow B-Band Basis due to the Red Line being near Level 50. Yes, we also have potential to continue rising up to the white/aqua upper b-bands afterward but please remember what I pointed out about the white lower b-band in the 3-Week time frame acting as our ceiling of resistance until the Red Line in the 3-Week rises up to or above level 30. YELLOW TEXT BUBBLE: Current target is the Yellow B-Band Basis; currently approximately $29,200Comment: UPDATE: 4-Day Time Frame: Odds are actually quite good for price action to continue rising in the 4-Day time frame up to proximity of the Yellow B-Band Basis (around $29,200 at this writing).Comment: UPDATE: Forgot to mention the Yellow K-Line in the CURRENT 4-Day candle is currently at level 75 (not far off from Level 80). We have 1-Day and 17 hours remaining in the current 4-Day candle. I would say there is a pretty good chance the Yellow K-Line of the Stochastic RSI will continue rising above Level 80 the NEXT 4-Day candle; increasing odds to continue rising up to AT LEAST the Yellow B-Band Basis around $29,200.Comment: UPDATE: By the way, I figured out that is NOT the 4-Day time frame. LOL... That is the Weekly time frame... My bad... So, everything I said is about the WEEKLY and NOT the 4-Day.
BTCUSD: Still Leaning Toward Continued Distribution Hi Everyone! I'm still leaning more toward continued distribution until we can begin to see the Red & Blue Lines "both" rise up to and/or near level 20 in the 2-Week time frame. We still have quite a while before that has a chance of occurring in the 2-Week time frame in my opinion. Which see... 2-Week: Red Line still at level 12 with 3-Days 19-hours remaining in the current 2-Week before next 2-Week candle begins. 10-Week Time Frame:Comment:
ADA: Casual Discussion on Current Price Movement Hi Everyone! We need another 1-Day and 3.5 hours to pass to know more. About what? To determine if we are in the process of one more "Last Point of Supply" event in Distribution before potentially falling down to around $0.31 to $0.32 cents. Or, to determine if we could potentially be going up slowly with another Simple Rally event in Phase B of potential Accumulation Schematic. If we are to go up significantly with another Simple Rally in Phase B of Accumulation in the 8-hour time frame, the Red and Blue lines in the 8-hour still have more work to do in order for us to go up considerably. We would require roughly 16 to 24 more hours to see if that may occur. BOTTOM LINE: We need another 1-Day 3.5 hours to pass to know more. I'm still leaning more towards this being a potential Last Point of Supply event in Distribution before falling down to the purple diagonal trend line around $0.31 to $0.32 cents. Yes, it's possible to still go sideways. We also know $0.50 cents is rather strong resistance level at present as well. So, could we see one more Last Point of Supply event up to or near $0.50 before falling down potentially with another Sign of Weakness? Well, it is still hard to say just yet. We simply need more time to find out this. We don't know what we don't know until we know it. I hope this was helpful. Unfortunately, we need more time to pass to find out more. If I were asked, "What do you think... Still in Distribution or Accumulation?" My answer would be, "I'm leaning 60 to 65 percent still in Distribution." I'm needing more sleep... Thank you for your valuable time and support! Happy Trading and Stay Awesome! David
ADAUSD: Potential is There for Another Sign of Weakness Hi Everyone! Based on what I'm seeing in the Mid Term Group, Long Term Group and Macro Group of time frames; we are subject to see ANOTHER Sign of Weakness in Phase E for ADAUSD. This could fall down to proximity of the Purple Diagonal Trend Line around $0.31xx to $0.32xxxComment: UPDATE: If you have followed along in my two previous BTCUSD publications, you may have picked up on some BASIC rules when using my indicators. I have many more rules and requirements for those rules on another platform in more detail. I'm still currently creating more lessons at present on those rules and requirements as well as how to trade with these rules under different market conditions; how to identify those conditions, etc... I'm mentioning this about BASIC rules previously mentioned in the two recent BTCUSD publications for you to APPLY to ADAUSD groups of time frames. MACRO Group of time frames (11-Day, 22-Day, 23-Day, 24-Day, 25-Day, 26-Day, 27-Day and 4-Week): Long Term Group of time frames (8-Day, 15-Day, 16-Day, 17-Day, 18-Day, 19-Day, 20-Day, 3-Week): Mid Term Group of time frames (4-Day, 8-Day, 9-Day, 10-Day, 11-Day, 12-Day, 13-Day and 2-Week): Near Term Group of time frames (12-hour, 24-hour, 2-Day, 3-Day, 4-Day, 5-Day, 6-Day and 1-Week): Short Term Group of time frames (30-min. 60-min. 90-min. 2-hour, 3-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour and 8-hour):
BTCUSD: Not Looking Good in the 1-Month Time Frame - Explained Hi Everyone! We have a new 1-Month candle and it's not looking good. The B-Bands are different this Distribution (bear) period compared to previous Distribution periods. How so? The B-Bands would begin rising up from a very low level (contracting) once Distribution began and would find support around the White Lower B-Band in the 1-Month time frame. Well, the B-Bands are much tighter in the 1-Month compared to previous Bull/Bear Cycles due to lower volume in Bitcoin Trading compared to the previous cycles. This is in large part due to more people in the crypto space HODLING crypto for long periods of time; resulting in less crypto on exchanges to be traded. When lower volume causes the B-Bands to become tighter during a bull and bear cycle in higher time frames, we now have an oppotunity to see EXPANSION DOWN of the B-Bands rather than CONTRACTION DOWN as in previous Distribution (bear) cycles. We have an opportunity for EXPANSION DOWN potentially beginning some time during this 1-Month Candle or in the next 1-Month Candle. We would need to monitor lower time frames to determine if and/or when this potential expansion down can begin. Will we see significant expansion down in this 1-Month time frame? No, I don't believe so. At least not this Distribution (bear) Cycle. However, we can anticipate the Lower B-Bands in the 1-Month not to fall as much the next Accumulation (bull) Cycle as in previous Accumulation Cycles. This is mainly due to less trading volume of Bitcoin on the exchanges. Maybe your argument is Bitstamp does not have a lot of trading volume like Binance Global and other exchanges. Well, my argument is to simply have a look at the chart using my indicators and see for yourself. Look at Binance 1-Month chart here and you will see similar structure in the B-Bands as we do on Bitstamp . My argument is we have more exchanges for trading than ever before with less coins per exchange than we would have seen with far less crypto exchanges. So, the result will be the same across the board with the structure of the B-Bands. 1-Month Time Frame - Binance Chart: 1-Month Time Frame - Bitstamp Chart: BLUE TEXT BUBBLE: Our Blue LSMA is approaching Yellow Level 50 while the Red Line hovers just above White Level 30. This is looking even more like we could continue falling further to potentially within proximity to the Orange Lower B-Band in this 2-Month time frame. GRAY TEXT BUBBBLE: White Energy is not even turning up yet. We have a similar situation here to what we saw in the 1-Month Candle beginning 01 Nov 2018. PURPLE TEXT BUBBLE: Blue Line approaching Level 50 . Red Line approaching Level 30 . I will follow up with more charts to this publication here and there over the course of the next 24-hours. Happy Trading and Stay Awesome! DavidComment: UPDATE: We want to see what the next 12-hour, 24-hour, 2-Day and 3-Day candles look like when they begin. Why is this important? What are we looking for? The next 2-Day candle begins in approximately 16 hours from this writing. We want to see if the White Energy (momentum) continues falling further below level 50 down to level 30 and lower. We want to see if the Red and Blue Lines remain under level 30 and turn back down. If so, this can result in more expansion down in the next 2-Day candle. The next 3-Day candle begins in approximately 1-Day and 16-hours from this writing. We want to see if the White Energy can fall back below Yellow Level 50. We want to see if the Green Line comes down; allowing the Red and Blue Lines to make contact with the Green Line while it comes down; indicating downward pressure is likely to follow. The next 12-hour candle begins in approximately 4-hours from this writing. Will we see the formation of a Death Triangle? My premium followers know what I'm talking about. If we do see a Death Triangle in the 12-hour, we can see either more sideways action or more downward movement again eventually. Why do I say eventually? Because we need TIME for the Daily to also play out because we may also have a Death Triangle in the 24-hour time frame. How would we determine if we are subject to see a Death Triangle in the 12-hour; followed by a potential Death Triangle in the 24-hour? Well, we would need to monitor the Short Term Group of time frames. (30-min. 60-min. 90-min. 2-hr. 3-hr. 4-hr. 6-hr. & 8-hr.) All I will say about the Short Term Group is the 6-Hour is not looking very good at present for the bulls. Can this change? Maybe... Depends on what occurs in lower time frames. Here is the 6-hour:Comment: UPDATE: REMINDER: The 25-Day (Bottom Left Corner) began approximately 6.5 days ago. When its Red and Blue Lines fell below White Level 30, this created conditions for the B-Bands to go through Stage 2-Expansion; encouraging price action to fall DOWN with this expansion. We have a NEW 26-Day candle (Bottom Left of Center) beginning in approximately 16 hours from this writing. You can see the Red and Blue Lines are both on the verge of falling below White Level 30 the NEXT 26-Day candle. So, just as we had increased odds for expansion down for the 25-Day, we can have a similar situation for the next 26-Day candle; resulting in Stage 2 Expansion of the B-Bands and price action falling DOWN with this expansion. We can get Stage 1 Expansion of the B-Bands when both the Red and Blue Lines fall below Yellow Level 50. As you can see, the 27-Day (Bottom Right of Center) and 4-Week (Bottom Right Corner) are still working on their Stage 1 expansion down. Will the 27-Day potentially begin Stage 2 Expansion Down the NEXT 27-Day candle beginning approximately 7-Days and 16-hours from this writing? We'll see... We need both the Red and Blue Lines to fall below White Level 30 the next 27-Day candle. Don't forget the 1-Month time frame. As you can tell, we still have plenty of time for Downward pressure to continuing doing its thing with the price action. Which is sideways at best or downward at worst if you are in a long position. Here's the Macro Group of time frames which include the 25-Day, 26-Day and 27-Day just discussed in the previous paragraph.
BTCUSD: Serious Risk of Proximity to 11-Day Orange Lower B-Band Hi Everyone! Simply letting you know we are at serious risk of falling down to PROXIMITY of Orange Lower B-Band in this 11-Day time frame. As you can see, the Orange Lower B-Band is currently at $14,4xx. We have 7.5 days remaining in the current 11-Day candle. The 7.5 days remaining includes the 4th of July U.S. Holiday. I simply wanted to inform you of this risk. You can click the plus (+) symbol that appears at the bottom of the chart to stretch out the chart and drag the chart left or right to see the Orange Lower B-Band more clearly. This is an "interactive" chart. Happy Trading and Stay Awesome! David Pulled Back View of 11-Day time frame: Zoomed in View of 11-Day tiem frame: 3-Week time frame: Current Macro View of Wyckoff Accumulation. We are in the "Back-Up/Last Point of Supply Event" of Phase D of a LARGE Two Tiered (level) Accumulation Schematic. History of Bitcoin Using Wyckoff Method - No Detailed Events Within Phases: LET ME BE CLEAR: I'm implying during the remaining time of our current 3-Week candle and the next 3-Week candle; we are at serious risk of continuing expansion down. We may BEGIN to potentially fall the week of July 4th U.S. Holiday but not necessarily reach the bottom on that holiday if we begin to fall. All I'm saying is we are at continued risk of continuing to fall as long as the Red and Blue Lines in the 3-Week continue to fall below level 20.Comment: UPDATE: I'm quoting "CognitiveCarbon Public" "They" wanted you to experience emotional pain from the plunging exchange rates to force you out of the cryptocurrency markets. "They" don't want you to put your savings in something that isn't a bank that "they" control. So, "they" HELPED burn down the crypto markets, so that you would do precisely that... SELL AT A LOSS. "They" want to sour your opinion of cryptocurrency, so that you will run away from it in the future and retreat back into "their" open arms of "safety" in FIAT currency and banks UNTIL "they" FORCE you to use "their" Central Bank Digital Currencies. But, if you haven't sold your crypto holdings, you haven't really lost anything. HOLD THE LINE AND CHOOSE A POINT VERY SOON TO BUY AND TAKE YOUR CRYPTO CURRENCY OFF EXCHANGE. AT LEAST A DECENT PORTION OF IT TO PROTECT YOURSELF FROM THE COMING FIANCIAL COLAPSE.Comment: UPDATE: 7-Week time frame:Comment: UPDATE: Entire Mid Term Group of time frames (4-Day, 8-Day, 9-Day, 10-Day, 11-Day, 12-Day, 13-Day and 2-Week). We have a NEW 9-Day, 10-Day and 12-Day candle beginning in approximately 11 hours 45 minutes from this writing. Bitcoin desperately requires the Green Line, Red Line and Blue Line to turn UP in the NEW candles beginning in less than 12-hours from now. Mid Term Group:Comment: UPDATE: Entire Near Term Group (12-hour, 24-hour, 2-Day, 3-Day, 4-Day, 5-Day, 6-Day and Weekly): Entire Short Term Group (30-min. 1-hr. 90-min. 2-hr. 3-hr. 4-hr. 6-hr. and 8-hr.):Comment: UPDATE: We begin a NEW 2-Month candle in a couple of days. The NEXT 2-Month candle is EXTREMELY IMPORTANT. Which see...Comment: UPDATE: Let's NOT FORGET the NEXT 2-Month candle for the LEGACY markets either. In my opinion, we have seen NOTHING yet for LEGACY markets. We are just getting started on this current move down; which I pointed out on June 3, 2022. The reason I'm bringing up legacy markets is because I believe the Central Banks loaded up on crypto currencies like they have on stocks in legacy markets and they plan on dumping crypto currencies in similar fashion to the legacy markets. Why? Well, I posted a quote earlier in other social media to explain WHY. Here is the quote in the purple text bubble on this 3-Week chart: Click "PLAY" on the following LEGACY market publications I'm posting below: Keep in mind, the first 3 of 4 publications high lighted the 2-Month time frame. Now click "PLAY." S&P 500 Possible 23 to 30 Percent Drop Beginning Next 2 Month DJI: Potential 23% or More Drop Beginning Next 2-Month Candle CCI: Potential 40 Percent Drop Next 2 Month Candle in 27 Days AAPL: Potential $120 to $105 NEXT 6-Week Candle in 14 DaysComment: UPDATE: I was asked in comments, "Great, but could you tell what exactly would invalidate the risk? In other word, what level should BTC reach for the risk to be invalidated? By the way, tanks for your detailed analysis." ANSWER: CLOSING Above the 288 Moving Average in the 5-Day time frame can potentially "invalidate" this analysis. The 288 Moving Average in the 5-Day is currently at $22,143.xxComment: UPDATE: Simply Plotted our Long Term Distribution Schematic. Which may be acting as our "Back-Up/Last Point of Support" event of our MACRO Accumulation Schematic.
BTCUSD: Yes, We Can Fall Lower Between $20000 and $17500 Hi Everyone! We are at SERIOUS risk of continuing falling further down the NEXT 24-hour candle WHEN the Blue Line goes below White Level 30 along with the Red Line; which is ALREADY below White Level 30. It is POSSIBLE we are going sideways at present to establish a potential Short Term Preliminary Support Range similar in fashion to what we saw in 2019. NOTE the "Short Term PS (Preliminary Support Range" shown in the chart Wyckoff Method 2.0 chart below and you will see what I'm referring to. Does this mean we should not begin accumulating using Dollar Cost Averaging technique for long term investment? No, we should be seriously considering dollar cost averaging into the market from this juncture. However, I would seriously consider holding more cash JUST IN CASE for another potential drop to the downside. Cause we are still at serious threat of falling further down. Can we avoid going down to where I pointed out in this video? Sure, of course... BUT, the Red and Blue Lines in the Short Term Group of time frames MUST BEGIN RISING ABOVE YELLOW LEVEL 50 RIGHT NOW. Seriously... RIGHT NOW... Hope this was helpful and I hope everyone has HAPPY TRADING As always, you know the drill... Let's ALL Stay Awesome! David Ward JrComment: UPDATE: "STPSR" represents Short Term Preliminary Support Range in 2019. It is a YELLOW TEXT BUBBLE:Comment: UPDATE: LIKE I SAID IN THE DESCRIPTION: Yes, we can avoid this BUT the Red and Blue Lines in the short term group of time frames MUST BEGIN GOING ABOVE YELLOW LEVEL 50 RIGHT NOW... NOW DAMN ITComment: UPDATE: REMEMBER: The Red Line is already below White Level 30 in the 24-hour time frame. The Blue Line is on the VERGE of falling below White Level 30 the NEXT 24-hour candle beginning in approximately 3 hours 40 minutes from this writing. The ONLY way to avoid going down at present is for the red and blue lines in the entire short term group of time frames to begin going above white level 30. Why? Because we MUST have that Green Line turn up the NEXT 24-hour candle when the Blue Falls below white level 30. That is the ONLY WAY to avoid falling down further at present.Comment: UPDATE: BTCUSD: Updated Wyckoff Method Macro Chart:Comment: UPDATE: Near Term Wyckoff Method 2.0 Perspective:Comment: UPDATE: Simply providing price points so you know what the price is approximately at each diagonal trend line.