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BITCOIN An overlooked pattern and a Bearish Cross Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ) is under heavy volatility as ever since the June 18 Low, the price attempted a short-term rebound only to be rejected on the 4H MA100. An overlooked parallel lines pattern as well as a Bearish Cross may give as a clue to where we are compared to the bottom of the previous Cycle. ** The peculiar pattern ** First of all, see the parallel trend-lines on this 1D chart. Those are of Higher Lows and Higher Highs. In 2018/19, Bitcoin had 4 perfect touches on the Higher Highs on its way to the final flush sequence of the Bear Cycle. Then had two contacts on the Higher Lows trend-line. The same pattern had the exact same amount of contacts made (4) on the Higher Highs and so far 1 on the Higher Lows. ** The CCI and RSI bottom sequences ** On top of that, the 1D CCI (black line) and RSI (light blue line) have formed sequences similar to the December 2018 bottom. This was the first contact on the Higher Lows trend-line of our pattern. Can a second and final contact be in hand here? Very possible especially if the price gets rejected on the 1D MA50 (one fake-out) as in 2018/ early 2019. ** The Bearish Cross ** Last but not least, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) broke today below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). Last time that happened was on December 30 2018, exactly after the first rebound on that Cycle's bottom. With all those indicators aligned perfectly to show that in comparison to 2018, BTC is currently past the Bottom, could it be the case that one last Higher Lows contact confirms this overlooked pattern? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BITCOIN DOMINANCE giving us the right rally signal This is an offer overlooked metric. The symbol BTC .D which represents the percentage of Market Cap BTC Dominance can be a reliable indicator for Bitcoin's ( BTCUSD ) long-term moves on a Cycle scale. As this chart on the 1D time-frame shows, during the previous Bitcoin Cycle (pane below displayed in orange), the rally coincided with the BTC .D breaking above its 1W MA100 (red trend-line). On June 12 BTC .D approached it but fell sharply again below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), finding Support on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Right now the price is attempting another rebound, compared to late 2018 we can be anywhere within October - early December 2018, meaning that such volatility may be indicative of one last bottom before entering the new Bull Cycle. Regardless of that, crypto investors with patience in their mind can wait for the right opportunity to buy when the Bitcoin Dominance closes a week above the 1W MA100. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MATICUSDT Emphatic rejection on the 1D MA50 for a bearish contin *** *** For this particular analysis on MATIC we are using the MATICUSDT symbol on the Phemex exchange. *** *** The idea is on the 1D time-frame where MATIC got a solid rejection on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on the June 25 1D candle and is pulling back towards the 0.32300 Support. The rejection also took place on the December 27 2021 (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line. The trend has been bearish long-term within a Channel Down pattern. Even though the price action since June 18 resembles that post February 24 that did marginally break above the 1D MA50, unless we break above the Channel Down and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it is more likely to see a new selling wave to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension . On the long-term, only a 1D candle closing above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) can restore the bullish trend with 2.0 - 2.10 as the initial target. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BITCOIN Scenarios for recovery based on previous Cycle bottoms Following the high interest that my most recent analysis on Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ) and its Cycles comparison attracted, I decided to make one in the same tone on possible rebound scenarios based on the previous Cycle bottoms. Before I begin, I want to make clear that this work is based on the assumption that the current bottom was priced two weeks ago or at least that it will be formed soon as long as the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) holds. This analysis is on the 1W (weekly) time-frame and I've divided it into four charts, each having a 'bars pattern' fractal of the first rally following a bottom, applied on the current price action. Apart from the obvious Cycle bottom fractals of Nov 14 2011 - Jan 02 2012 (black bars), Jan 12 2015 - Nov 02 2015 (red bars) and Dec 10 2018 - June 24 2019 (green bars), I've also included the recovery from the COVID crash of March 16 2020 - August 17 2020 (grey bars). Obviously the aggressive and highly volatile nature of the first BTC Cycle (black) projects a sharp recovery of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) by August, which under the current macro conditions seems unrealistic. Same goes for the March-Aug 2020 fractal (grey), which also has it by the end of August. The 2015 fractal (red) has this target hit by early April 2023 and is the most pessimistic of all, while the remaining Dec-June 2019 (green) offers a more moderate projection by expecting a 1W MA50 contact by November 2022. It is interesting to mention though that March-Aug 2020 is the only one that shows rejection and consolidation under the 1W MA50 for 2.5 months before a break higher a scenario that would be realistic too as the 1W MA50 is the initial Resistance of Cycles as they transition from Bear to Bull markets. Below is an illustration of all fractals on top of each other: As mentioned above, all these are mere projections based on past data. What matters most now is seeing the 1W MA300 hold and make all weekly candles that follow, close above it in order to maintain buying accumulation. Failure to do so, can make the price test the 13000 level as illustrated on a previous Fibonacci analysis. So based on the original bottom assumption, which fractal do you feel offers the most realistic projection of a recovery? Or you think the bottom is way past the 1W MA300? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KAVAUSD Approaching the 1D MA50. Attention. Kava (KAVAUSD) has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone since the August 30 2021 High. The recent short-term rally in the form of a Channel Up is close to a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test. A candle closing above it should be a bullish break-out call towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The pattern however so far resembles the sequence of January 24 - February 06. The RSI sequences prior are also identical. That pattern got rejected on the 1D MA50 and after trading sideways below it, it finally targeted the 1D MA200 when it broke. The strategy here should be to buy on the pull-back or if the 1D MA50 breaks (candle closing above) first. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HIVEUSD Rejected on the Resistance despite the huge rise. Hive ( HIVEUSD ) has been trading within a Channel Down ever since its November 26 2021 market top. Despite the impressive rise of the past two days, it not only remains within the Channel but also is getting rejected on today's candle on the Resistance formed of the June 07 High. The last time we saw a similar rejection pattern was on April 02 and that rejection started the sharp correction that led to the May 12 low. See how both patterns share the same characteristics of Support and Resistance Zones on double contacts before breaking. Even the RSI sequences are identical. As a result, until the Resistance breaks, the trend remains bearish within the Channel Down. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is falling since early June, so on a 1 month horizon we may see it trading on the Resistance level and finally break, assuming the Support holds. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TONUSDT Lower Highs break-out but Resistance come to play Toncoin (TONUSDT) made a convincing bullish break-out yesterday above the Lower Highs trend-line that has been keeping the price action below since the April 21 dump. Today it is attempting a 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). After the break-out that turned the trend bullish at least on the short-term, the Resistance levels formed of the previous Lower Highs are now coming to play. Our strategy is to buy every 1D candle close break-out and target just below the next Resistance. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ZILUSD Giant Cup & Handle to start the new Bull Cycle We rarely see analyses of Zilliqa (ZILUSD) on the 1W time-frame but with a simple look at the chart we can see the huge Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern that has been formed since the start of the previous Cycle. The Resistance is perfect and since the May 2021 High, the pattern is forming the Handle. The 0.5 Fibonacci level is holding and the price should start forming the Support that will turn the trend sideways into the next bullish break-out that should start the new Bull Cycle. Optimal long-term buying levels here. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STXUSD First time above the 1D MA50 since April! Stacks ( STCUSD ) hit today and broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 18 2022. The coin has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 18 High. The long-term trend remains bearish as despite today's impressive 1D candle, the price remains both below the previous Resistance level and the Lower Highs trend-line (top) of the Channel Down. Both in candles and in 1D MACD terms, today's formation resembles the 1D MA50 test of March 10. This candle not onl broke above the 1D MA50 but also marginally above its prior Resistance Zone and the 1D MA100 (green) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) periods (which at the time converged and transitioned into the bearish trend ), but still got rejected at the top of the Channel Down. As a result, we can only take a short-term buy here towards the Resistance and top of the Channel but not a long-term one. In order to buy comfortably on a medium-term horizon, the price needs to break and close above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). In that case the target will be the 1D MA200. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KCSUDT Sideways into a potential MA100 bullish break-out The KuCoin Token (KCSUDT) has been trading above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line0 since June 23 in a sideways consolidation. The 1D MACD has just formed a Bullish Cross and the last time this set of conditions emerged on KCS was during May 16-19, when the coin was again consolidating with the 4H MA50 supporting. What happened after that sideways trade was a test and subsequent break-out of the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). That delivered a rebound to the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) in 4 days. At the moment the 4H MA100 is at 11.440 and declining fast and the 4H MA200 at 13.920. There is a Lower Highs trend-line involved however, acting as a Resistance so our strategy is to buy when the 4H MA100 breaks but only target the Lower Highs trend-line instead of the 4H MA200 and then re-evaluate on a 1D level. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------