Gamblers_Paradise

Remember to Like, Comment, & Follow for more in-depth analysis! Share with your friends!The greatest compliment one can give is a referralI've seen too many doom and gloom posts for Bitcoin, and there are macro and micro bullish patterns being layered with more bullish patterns as we get closer to the Havening.Bitcoin is in a descending parallel channel, but it is not a bearish distribution. The distribution is bullish due to the top of the channel being tested already 4 different times, and the bottom side of the channel has only been tested once. The more times a support or resistance level is tested, the weaker it becomes.Bitcoin has also created a macro inverse head and shoulders pattern, and each shoulder and the head of that inverse head and shoulders pattern is its own inverse head and shoulders pattern. The most bullish bottoming pattern in trading was just created 4 times to create the bullish support in the 60k - 73K range. This range includes the bullish double top that was made in 2021, plus now, this inverse head and shoulders pattern is made up of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in each of the shoulders and the head. We are now Even though we did not break out off the inverse head and shoulders pattern, we will continue to cool off indicators with another drop down to the 65K level, or potentially the 59.7k level. The only reason that we would drop down that far again after creating the bullish pattern we just made would be the fetish Bitcoin has with needing to hit the .618 Fib retracement level.The .618 Fib retracement level sits at 59.7k. The head of the inverse head and shoulders wicks down under the .55 fib retracement but never reaches the .618 fib retracement level. Since we are in a descending parallel channel, it would allow it to hit that .618 Fib retracement level now while staying within this parallel channel.Another bullish pattern bitcoin has made, is the macro bull flag. We had a major run-up, from 38.5k, where volume increase was consistent and noticeable, and we topped out at 73.5k (about +93% upward).Just by extrapolating the percentage move and estimating where the second pole moves from the bull flag would finish. More importantly, it would be important to know where the starting point for the next runup is. It would be starting from the 59.7k (.618 fib retracement level) and then extrapolating +93% upward would put us at about 115k (which also is the 1.618 Fib Extension Level).Another pattern I see that can occur is, as I said previously, we technically have not bounced off the .618 Fib Retracement level (59.7k), which is the bounce point Bitcoin has a fetish for to be able to start another bullish move upward. Currently, we sit in a position where we are 2 weeks away from the Bitcoin Halvening, which is the catalyst that starts the new Bitcoin Bull Market, where we make a parabolic move. There are at least 10 different bullish confluences of support within the range of 60k-73K, and the only bearish confluence is that the top side of the descending parallel channel we have has held any breakout above it from happening.The move that I am possibly watching for would be one that lands us just shy of the 100k milestone. The move would look possibly something like this, where the only way I could see this bullish confluence zone could become more BULLISH would be to make an eve & eve double bottom and create the second bottom with another inverse head and shoulders pattern. We would then break out to 73.5k peak and then around the same time as the halvening, we would look to break the peak and then use the .55 Fib Ext.Level and .5 FIb Ext Level to create a Bullish W-Breakout Pattern with making both bottoms re-test the previous peak of 73.5k. After re-testing both times, holding support above that previous peak, We would launch to the .618 Fib Ext Level, possibly re-test the top of the W breakout we just made, and then after, we would take a launch at the 1 Fib Ext. Level that sits at 93.8k.Major key points would be:-Drop to the .618 Fib Retracement level (59.7k)-Breakout bounce up to the .5 Fib Extension (76.1k) or the .55 Fib Extension (77.9k) of which breaks out 73.5k peak-Minor Correction from the .55 Fib Ext and the .5 Fib Ext level down to re-test the 73.5k peak to create a Bullish W breakout pattern-Breakout to either .618 Fib Ext (80.3k) or the 1 Fib Ext (93.5K)Let me know what you think in the comments below! Which pattern do you see playing out?1. Run-up to 115k2. Run-up to 94kAfter further analysis of the support and bounce we had from the $65,000 point, I have been able to identify another probable trajectory path that could be unfolding.This line would more than likely follow the move up to $94,000, then fiddle with the $100,000 milestone before moving forward.Based on current price action:Here is the update trend projection I am looking for based on the bottom indicator now breaking into the upside territory, while we have cooled off other strength indicators as shown in the top indicator. This is a bullish diversion and am looking for gradual continued upside action, into the halvening, and then a breakout to new all time highs after the halvening.Bitcoin has seen a drop in price due to the international unrest in the Middle East part of the world due to the former rumors and now action by Iran deciding to attack Israel. Along side with this fundamental analysis aligning with the price action, the technical analysis is still holding its formation. We have hit wick low double bottom at $60,800. We are still holding all candle bodies above the support line that has made our symmetrical triangle we have been consolidating in since early March 2024.Despite not having actually touched the .618 Fib Retracement level, that sits at $59,750, which is what BTC uses to complete a correction and start its next run-up. This move was known as a possibility due to Market Makers doing something to wash out over-leveraged positions and sure enough, now 6 days before the havening block is mined, we have liquidations coming in hard.

As you can see currently we have held our ascending channel again with another higher low. With the main channel its in (bold white lines) being as small as it is, its giving bitcoin the ability to fully cool off all indicators and oscillators while moving price action upwards still giving a bullish divergence. As you can see, there another long term trend line i have that we have been finding bottom with too that line stems back from the first candle of the last market cycle that took us from about $153 up to $19,750. Which if you ask me, holding a 7 year old trend line that primarly has been tested a support and also starting the last market cycle bull run. That's a confirmation of a strong bitcoin bull.Because i have been hearing more talk about this recently... For all those that think Bitcoin is going to drop down to 28k or even lower than that... 1. HYPOTHETICALLY SPEAKING, to complete a bear flag here (despite all the bullish indications i am about to give) an extrapolated move measured from the 69.9k top down to the wick low of 32.8k , this equates to a move of -51.50%. Which when extrapolated to the recent high of 45k and extended downward would leave us at 23.5k. But for this type of move downward to occur we would be looking at a black swan event that would be like Bitcoin mining being banned in the EU and in the US which would leave miners with very little options on where they can go to mine. But this kind of event could substantiate the extrapolated price movement.Any other catalysts that are plausible to make a "black swan-like" price movement event would be something that is so detrimental to bitcoin that it would be a "Going to $0" catalyst.So there is a very small chance if we have one of the few possible scenarios that is a catalyst that creates a market move such as it did from April 2021 though July 2021 when China made its multi-step move to Ban Bitcoin in every way it was able.. THAT COULD PUSH PRICES DOWN AT MAX ANOTHRR 51.5%.BUT THIS IS STILL HIGHLY UNLIKELY.We wont be going back to or below 28k because..2. There is no such technical pattern known as a Triple Bottom, such a pattern would be a double bottom breakout failure into a first re-test. If that re-test is a higher low, you can look for a higher low pattern upward from there. If the re-test in the range of exactly the double bottom (within a few hundered pts) then you would be looking at a very weak bull and has a high probability of dead cat bouncing off then bottom on that third time and then would soon after fail its breakout attempt and it would break. 3. We wont be going back under 28k and that i can say with 99.9% confidence that it wont happen. We would need much more than an exhausted bull to make it happen. We already started creating higher lows starting during out first bottom back in 2021. You can make a trend line actually that would start from the wick low @ 28.5k and then use a second wick low after @ 29.3k. COINCIDENTALLY ENOUGH that same trend line, that would be looking for a 3rd bounce to become a confirmed trend, are one in the same. This would be a third higher low at @ 32.8k wick low and candlebody close @ 35k (.5 fib ext.). A 4TH higher low came with a large single wick down @34.9k and the candlebody low was @37.1k. Even with this most recent drop that ended up breaking above the .55 fib ext level (@44.6k), we still have bottomed with another higher low. No large wick downs, and candles have been no lower than 37.5kSo, theres a quite obvious trend that is ascending for the lows creating higher lows and the bears have run out of attempts to push us lower. 3a. The third confirmed bottom having that wick down to 32.8k had the significance of that blown up due the bigger significance of the candlebody holding above the .5 fib ext. WHICH IS HUGE! Whenever price action has tested the .618 fib ext and been rejected, it always goes back to test mid-cycle support at the .5 fib ext. If we break below, close below then usually we have out next candle confirm the .5 fib ext as new resistance to continue lower. But when the .5 fib ext holds support especially candlebody support above, and we continue to make higher lows, and higher highs this trend would hold up to the re-test of the .618 fib ext again. Upon this macro retest of the .618 fib ext, 1 of 2 things happen, a. We blast through the .618 resitance (especially if the first macro attempt that we got rejected off DID BREAK this level just did not hold it) or b. We would get rejected a third macro time which would bring an almost certain probability that we would go back to re-test the .382 fib ext level to test support there. Of which this level usually correlates to the .618 fib retracement level.4. We have multiple major trend lines that have been supporting out higher low moves since our we started, and since our move up from 3800, up 69k, looking at the macro, the overall chart patterns made are symmetrical triangles, ascending triangles, and smaller ascending channels within larger ascending channels.All of which are within the main overall structure of a bullish ascending traingle that uses the .618 fib ext level as the flat top of resistance. So long as we keep the higher lows on a macro scale. 5. MANY of the Bitcoin On-Chain Data Metrics are showing that bitcoin is primed for a new move to the upside. There are also many chart indicators that have flipped back to bullish at the bottom.Eventually with all the bullish chart patterns that have been formed, in the middle of forming or are yet to be created, will be coming up to be broken betweem now and the end of 2022The entire move dowm from 69.9k has been completely manipulated by market makers and FUD from the SEC. But with all the smoke and mirrors, it takes a special eye to see these ikinds of things. But Bitcoin has created one huge bullish divergence into ascending triangle using the .618 fib ext level will be broken and held as support againAll in all, No, we wont be going back down to 20k or lower, No we wont be going back down to 28K to bounce a third time.I see it highly unlikely that we see price action break below 30k.I see it as unlikely that we are even to break below the .5 fib ext. @ 35k

فقط یک به‌روزرسانی سریع امروز از آنجایی که قیمت در حال حرکت است. همانطور که می‌بینید، ما در آخرین دوری که انجام دادیم، از مثلث متقارن شکستیم و پایین آمدیم تا یک پایین‌تر دیگر را ایجاد کنیم، که کانال روند صعودی را که از ابتدا در آن بوده‌ایم تایید می‌کند. در سال 2022. ما همچنین منطقه مقاومت بین 44.5k و 45.5k را داریم که در بالا ماندن نیز با مشکل مواجه بوده ایم. بنابراین، دید که چقدر مقاومت موجود را فراهم می کند که ما درست در آخرین تلاش آن را شکستیم. ما همچنین چرخه بازار را داریم، اندازه‌گیری گسترش فیبوناچی که سطح 55/0 فیب را در حدود 46350 دلار نشان می‌دهد. استراتژی روند موج بالاتر از مقاومت شکسته است و برای چرخش به سمت بالا در تایم فریم روزانه به سمت بالا خم شده است. با شکستن مثلث متقارن و سپس نگه داشتن بالای خطوط مقاومت همانطور که نشان داده شده است، این نشان دهنده قدرت صعودی همراه با اندیکاتورهای نشان داده شده است و برای ادامه دادن به مثلث صعودی که در حال حاضر نیز در آن قرار داریم. سفارش محدود: @$39.890 و 40,650 دلار (65:35 تقسیم) توقف ضرر: @ 38,500 دلار برای 45٪ و 37,400 دلار نقطه پایان باشد اقدام قیمتی که زیر سطح قیمت 37400 دلار ادامه می‌یابد، زیر پایین‌ترین خط روند پایین فیتیله‌ای بود که برای حفظ شکل‌گیری مثلث صعودی ممکن است. اهداف سود: اول - 44.330 دلار (20٪ از موقعیت کل) سناریوی 1: اگر به بستن رد نگاه می‌کنیم. موقعیت، زیرا وقتی دوباره به انتهای کانال روند حرکت می کنیم می توانیم پوزیشن طولانی دیگری را بازگشایی کنیم که از نظر بازه زمانی امکان پذیر است و همچنین ممکن است ما را در انتهای مثلث صعودی با احتمال بالا قرار دهید. سناریوی 2: اگر به دنبال تثبیت درست در زیر یا بالای منطقه مقاومت خود بین 44330 تا 46350 دلار باشیم. در اینجا می توان سود برداشت 20 درصدی را در نظر گرفت و سپس به تماشای عمل قیمت برای نشانه های شکست بالای مثلث صعودی ادامه داد. اگر در داخل منطقه مقاومت رد شدیم، باقیمانده سود را در سه ماهه بردارید (بنابراین با 80 درصد باقیمانده که 4×20 درصد سود بود) و آنها را در جایی که فکر می کنید درست است ببندید. اگر سناریوی 2 رخ دهد، و به نظر می‌رسد که از مثلث صعودی شکسته می‌شویم، آن‌گاه به دنبال هدف گرفتن سود می‌گردیم که در نمودار زیر نشان داده شده است: سود بگیرید: 48900 دلار و 50150 دلار (35:65 تقسیم) توقف ضرر == مجموعه توقف پایانی در 5% از اکشن قیمت بالا. اگر قرار باشد به کانال روند صعودی صعود کنیم، من بسته می شوم. به طور کامل از این موقعیت و در انتظار اقدام قیمت برای کاهش مجدد برای تست مجدد سطح 0.55 Fib Ext @ 46.350 دلار و حفظ پشتیبانی در آنجا. پس از آن من به دنبال این هستم که کانال روند صعودی را بشکنیم و به سمت فیب ext 0.618 در اطراف 64.5k@ برگردیم.

Exciting stuff happening with Bitcoin today! The Bulls have just woken up after a nice nap and absolutely RAMMED their horns RIGHT UP THE BEARS ARSE!! And the bulls have the bears on their heels! I would like to take a moment to express my condolences and prayers to those who have fled, those who are still in and those who have lost loved ones in Ukraine. I stand with Ukraine and uproar the resistance that Ukraine is making against the completely inexcusable actions of a premeditated, unprovoked, and unjustified invasion by a sadistic leader and has materialized through a series of flat out lies to his country's citizens; just to try and relive in the fallacy of the past. Stand Tall, Fly Straight, Ukraine is here to stay.I addressed that at first because the biggest reason besides bitcoins chart patterns having this pattern already setup to make this pattern happen, but there needed to be a fundamental reason not just a technical reason for this pattern to happen. The sanctions that have been taken against Russia and Belarus by almost all of the countries of NATO that were set in place to essentially demolish the Russian Economy and freeze any assets it had and the ability to trade through SWIFT caused the stock markets to make a dive that was beyond massive (for a stock market anyhow.. in Crypto, well we have these sized pullbacks, +20% and still maintain a bull market) <---- Just as we have in the crypto markets. The run on the banks and ATM cash machines that has happened in Russia and the Ukraine and the fact that both countries have legalized cryptocurrencies in the last 2 weeks has helped fuel the massive $7,000 green candle we have seen on the bitcoin chart today..Lets dive deeper though into the technicals. [u]ANALYSIS:[/u]This green, Luke Sywalker Boner, of a candle[u] HAS BROKEN A MULTI-RESISTANCE STRUCTURE!![/u]. Take a look here:As you can see that multi-resistance structure consisted of 4 different resistance points that were causing issues for bitcoin after breaking our completely manipulated 52% drop in price that stayed within a very thin falling channel (which ultimately is bullish). In a direct aspect look of things, you can see that this pump above this multi-resistance structure has formed a W-Bottom and W-Breakout. If we zoom out some we can see an even more relevant patter that is has been formed which is the KEY TO WHY THE BITCOIN BULL RUN NEVER ACTUALLY ENDED!!! All of the MoonBoy Mikes and Average Joes calling the bitcoin price drop as the start of the bear market.Here you see from our first bottom at wick low @ $28,640 that connects with the bottom that got the blast through resistance points to break us out of the first bottom @ $29,750. This potential trend line then was tested a third time and held it with candle body supports @ $35,220. This makes this line a confirmed trend line now. This also makes it an ascending trend line at that. The bottom at $35,220 also makes a MACRO HIGHER LOW!!!! READ THAT AGAIN... A MACRO HIGHER LOW... well now think about our tops so far.. we had a top at $64,850 and then we dropped, made bottom, and then we ran the price back up to $69,900 and then dropped and now have made a W-Bottom. Well lets see what other pattern resembles price action that has made 2 Higher Highs, and also has made a confirmed trend of Higher lows..... Oh yes that is an ASCENDING CHANNEL!! THIS IS AN EXTREMELY BULLISH CONFIRMATION THAT BITCOIN HAS MADE!! Now this channel is not a very steep channel in regards to its ascending angle, but that is all due to the price manipulation and also market makers hiding its structure as well for those not well versed in charts to see it. It is hidden by the fact that it DOES HAVE HIGHER HIGHS BEING MADE, but the SECOND HIGH DOES NOT CONTRIBUTE TO THE THE TREND LINE THAT MAKES THE TREND CHANNELAs you can see here..One last piece of BULLISH confirmation has come to play out with todays pump that confirmed a W-Bottom & W-Breakout that has made our local bottom. This local bottom has also been supported by 2 of the longest and oldest ascending trend lines of support that were that bottom of the overall bitcoin ascending trend channel that has been made since inception.What does this local W-Bottom & W--Breakout confirm?? IT CONFIRMS AN ADAM & W-FORMATION MACRO DOUBLE BOTTOM! The MACRO W-BREAKOUT THAT HAS BEEN FORMED SINCE OUR 64.8k TOP WILL BE CONFIRMED FOR EACH FIB EXT LEVEL THAT IS ABOVE US AS RESISTANCE RIGHT NOW THAT IS BROKEN AND HELD AS SUPPORT.The resistance that held down our $7,000 Pump Today was held by the Daily 100EMA and the .55 Fib Extension level. If you looked closely and noticed the difference on the charts, of where the daily 200EMA is in relation to the .55 FIb Ext level, there is a reason for that. They are two difference charts. The chart above and the chart below is that the chart above is for the Bitstamp Exchange (exchange specific chart that holds the most data) and then the one i am mostly posting form is the ALL Time History Bitcoin Index chart (goes back even further than Bitstamps chart with candles). But the reason why there is a difference in the price placement of the FIB Extension levels is due to lowest point made in the bear market of 2015.The low point of the Bitstamp chart came at $151 on 1/15/2015 shown below:And on the ALL Time History Bitcoin Index chart the bottom came in at $159 on 8/18/2015 shown below:The placement of each the second and third plot point of the Fib Extension are exactly the same. 2nd plot @ $19,815 and 3rd plot @ $3,215The significance and the more relevant one comes with which chart has the most data to evaluate from. Since the ALL Time history Bitcoin index chart has the most data. the placement of the FIB levels and the Exponential Moving Averages are the more accurate.[u]PRICE PREDICTION [/u]Seeing that the daily 200EMA is above the .55 FIb Ext level on the Index chart means that the strongest EMA of resistance is still above the .55 FIb ext, which means we will break that FIb level in order to test the Daily 200EMA, of which we will see a possible rejection but then the .55 FIb Ext level will hold as support because of the daily 13EMA, 21EMA, 55EMA, and the 100EMA all bringing up the rear and providing support at that fib level. Then off thebounce of the .55 FIb we will break the daily 200EMA, of which the next stop.. the .618 Fib Ext. Usually this would be a challenge but given that we broke the .618 Fib Ext on our second top, and the ONLY REASON we came back below it was due to a complete manipulation of the price, that would make our next price target either the .706 Fib ext level at 94k or quite possibly the .786 Fib Ext Level at 138k. We could possibly see either of these price levels at the .618 fib level by the beginning of April 2022, at the .706 fib level by late May 2022 and the .786 fib level by August of 2022.. OF which we would then see another pullback for bitcoin to cool off before its macro 5 wave (for you elliot wave theory idiots out there).. The parabolic blow off top run to the Full 1 Fib Ext level would look to start in Late October to Early November 2022, and then would run us up to the price level of around 386k by February 2023. THIS IS **IF** BITCOINS PRICE ACTION DECIDES TO GO ON AN ALL OUT TEAR THAT SMASHES THROUGH RESISTANCE LEVELS AS IT DID IN 2020 and 2021 going from the low of $3800 up to 69.9kAfter doing some simulations, based of previous price action moves and extrapolations of candlestick patterns made from the first leg of the bull flag super cycle made so far, we could possibly see something that looks like this:*** This simulated and extrapolated price action projection should not be taken as the only way the price action will go, future fundamental events & catalysts can and would deviate the price action from this extrapolated and simulated projection. Please understand that you should always be keeping an eye on the markets as they are very dynamic and always is an on-going and ever-changing situation. Please act in the nature that is best associated for your risk tolerance as an investor. Do not Trade what you cannot afford to lose to begin with. This projection is not financial advice and is only my opinion of the markets based on trend analysis and technical analysis patterns that I understand to mean specific things. Most people think I am crazy and call me crazy when I make price predictions such as these (but once it happens they usually are pretty quiet about me being crazy). For example, I saw weakness in the US stock market trend in early 2018 when we had the first pullback, then when Shocktober 2018 occured and we had a correction into bear market territory which created a double top for the year of 2018, I predicted a market crash to happen at the end of Q1 2020 based on the same trend analysis and technical analysis knowledge I use on the Bitcoin Chart. In October 2019 I had narrowed my prediction down to the crash happening on and was within 7 days of my exact date I chose for the crash to occur. I Predicted that the crash was going to start on Friday, February 28th 2020, but because this market crash turned into the COVID-19 CRASH, it started just 7 days earlier on February 21, 2020. Having that kind of skill in the charts to call a crash 25 months prior to it actually happening and then being within 1 weeks time of it actually happening. And the reason it happened before the prediction date was cause of a global pandemic that was going crazy... IS NOT JUST LUCK...Here is the long standing chart Ive had since 2018 on the DJI. If you were to zoom in on the 2020 crash top, if COVID was not to have crashed the price, it was going to go back up and try for a local double top there too, yet didn't have the opportunity to do so.[img][/img]We were unfortunately not able to hold the highs we broke as a support level after getting rejected off the 200 EMA daily after volume dropped off.We are still holding within our ascending triangle which is why this trade is not yet closed.Using the white trend line that we started at our bottom made @ 36K just before breaking the multi-structure resistance level, and then using the .55 Fib level which has been our resistance, you can see we have a clear ascending triangle formation. We also have another ascending triangle of a bit longer scale, if use the same resistance level of the .55 fib and then use the wick low white trend line that has been tested at our macro double bottom at 32k and then again at 34k you can see another ascending triangle.unfortunately we also do have a bearish side to look at as well. Using the white trend line coming down from 51k and then the same white trend line form wick lows that i just mentioned. We do have a symmetrical triangle. Symm. Trinagles are continuation patterns of either bullish or bearish moves depending on the previous move. Is this Symm. Trinagle the bearish continuation pattern before we create our second flag pole downward?If so we would be extrapolating a 2nd flag pole down of about 43% (measuring from our falling wedge breakdown top of 58k down to our 32k bottom)

Hey all Gamblers Paradise here with another crucial update on the Bitcoin Price Action. Just wanted to remind you to please like and comment on this post if you have found use for it in your trading analysis and be sure to also Like & Follow my Trading View account to get these updates as soon as they come out!The SMART TRADERS are SMASHING the LIKE, REP and FOLLOW buttons on Trading View because you want these updates and insights into what in the hell is going on with Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies.First off lets get into the charts. As I said last time, we break below the 53.8k price point with no volume and it was lower prices we would see.. And what happened? We had a daily candle close below the 53k price point and we proceeded to dump the very next candle down to 41.1k (just $2,100 above the lowest point i mentioned) Any of you that saw this coming, and got your limits down in the support range i had ranged between 39K and 46k.. CONGRATS! Ill make the current analysis quick since bitcoin is pumping and we need to get back into the charts.The other SMART TRADERS I converse with and I have agreed that this was a Wycoff Distribution Schematic Top breakdown from the 65K and 69k tops we made for the second time on a macro scale now while having two heavily bullish patterns fail and break down to the 41.1k price point. SILVER LINING, WE NEED BITCOIN TO BREAK ABOVE THE 58k PRICE POINT AND STAY ABOVE IT FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER OVERALL. IF WE CAN ACCOMPLISH THIS, THEN WE ARE STILL SEEING PRICE TARGETS BETWEEN 130K AND 140K THE START OF FEBRUARY 2022.CAN WE ACTUALLY ACCOMPLISH THIS?? ESPECIALLY WITH THE BREAKDOWN WE JUST HAD...Yes, this is quite possible actually, and it we could still even possibly see 100k by the end of December, just depends on when exactly we break the 58k point and continue to move higher. The small handful of other traders I consider to be Experts in Technical Analysis and hold a very reputable status in the Crypto Market, We all saw the Wycoff Distribution top coming. We all saw the failure of the two heavily bullish patters we had made as a last effort before the breakdown. We all see the symmetrical triangle that we have made after bottoming at 41.1k and this symm. triangle having its resistance touched MANY MORE times than the Support side. BUT THERE IS ONE HIDDEN PATTERN THAT I HAVE NOT SEEN ONE OTHER ANALYST SAY ONCE... SO ALLOW ME TO BE THE FIRST!This hidden pattern has been a very obvious chart move that embodies every last bit of screwing with the market psychology. And this time it is absolutely sick in the market psychology manipulation that it has caused a shift in. This is a pattern that bitcoin has made a few times in the last 7 years that CONFIRMS THE CORRECTION WE ARE IN IS OVER! It is one of the only chart patterns that exists that will do the exact opposite at first when its true intention is price action to the opposite of the first move. As you read in my last analysis, THIS IS THE POINT WHERE WE SNAP THE BEARS BACKSHere is what i mean..In the figure above^^ Date Rage of about December 2014 through December 2015In the figure above ^^ Date range of about December 2018 through September 2020 While in a bear market We see this pattern confirm that the correction is over, when We see the correction phase bottom the first time with an average of a 55% move to the downside. The we have a reaction rally that after it tops under the last ATH's downtrend resistance line. Followed by sideways price action, into what looks like another attempt to re-test the last ATH's downtrend resistance line. When the volume does not support the move upward to re-test the resistance trend line, we start a price action move to the downside that becomes whats called a lead in. The lead in has at least (3) lower high touch points that are very close to one another which confirms a downtrend resistance line. This would create a double top along with the reaction rally plus the sideways price action and now a confirmed downtrend line off this second top. We follow this confirmation a specific dump to the downside that also maintains roughly a 50%+ bullish momentum wick. This dump would also create a the correction phase or bear market double bottom in a larger macro perspective. Despite the dump having a larger overall size in March 2020 compared to back in 2015, the reason for the size difference relates to the COVID-19 Virus being announced as a national emergency by 50+ of the largest nations in the world.HIDDEN PATTERN FOUND:Both of the charts above show what is called a Bump and Run Reversal Pattern. A Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) is in face a BULLISH pattern despite it having a quite large breakdown and dump to lower prices. This dump is shown to be anywhere between 40% and 60% to the downside. And we have followed this dump with a long term bull market trend. First move after dumping 40%-60% to the downsize, from wick bottom is a macro-pump of about 220%Market Psychology/ Market Maker AnalysisRemember that Market Makers are looking to position their longs/buys while the price is moving down, and then position their covers/shorts/sells while the price is going up. All of which are placed at pre-determined points . This type of psyche out will happen when market makers are looking for additional volume that is not their own to continue further movement in a trend. But when the market psychology and sentiment is or already has become heavily biased to the side that we need volume to come in. They will remove almost all of their volume and place small sized DCA filler order blocks. An easy way to see this lack of volume or unevenness to the market is by looking at the total longs vrs total shorts charts. This is where we would see the market makers look to do the exact opposite of what the entire markets' expectation is looking in price action. A large psyche out move by the market makers, that is able to shift the market sentiment to where many of those traders that tried pricing in the market with early positions that were just sitting and waiting. And all these positions were based on assumptions and expectations community sentiment bias.Once the psyche out move is made, those who do not understand what i am saying right now will play right into the what the market makers want you to do and have now changed your bias and with numbers changing the bias will change the overall sentiment the market.Pattern Schematics: In the Bump and Run Reversal for the bulls, they cause a price dump by drying the buy/long side of the order book and that makes the sells/short have to start market selling to what buy orders are in the order book. Normally this is sparked by extreme fear in the Greed/Fear index and will be retail traders that had longs/buys in position already, and have now covered their position. Once the price has dropped enough, more will continue to panic sell into the lack of longs/buy orders there are in the order-book. Thus causing the Bump and Run Reversals very large dump candle. After breaking down what exactly market makers are looking for and doing. Lets look at the current and recent price action from 2021.Coming off the last Bump and Run Reversal in to a parabolic move to the upside to break the previous ATH of 19.8k. We then move into an over-extended trend by going all the way up to 42K, due to institutional investors jumping in and then the crypto craze to the traditional markets once again ensued. We should have taken our 55% correction that we did from there an then been able to re-test the previous ATH at 20k for support. But instead we had Elon Musk announce his move into Bitcoin at 31K and also Teslas purchase of bitcoin to hold on company reserve assets. This fueled a new buying craze, going from 34k to 64K, which would actually be considered a blowoff top. BUT we did not top in the fashion of a blow off top. Instead we rounded off and formed 3 low volume higher highs for the Wycoff Distribution top that we formed off the 64K top. And as I said and the charts show, we made a correction size move especially when you are to consider how with where bitcoin is at in the logarithmic regression curve, all of our macro chat action should becoming smaller in percentage and then larger in price moves. These moves would also become more elongated as time goes on as well.Given that we do not know what new bear markets total drop in % would be, it could very well be 55% now since we have had what is called a Mid-Cycle Correction Phase. Bitcoin has not had a Mid-Cycle Correction phase since the supercycle of 2013-2014 where after going parabolic it dropped about 82% in what would look like a very short bear market, until it started its next pump thus completing the bull market for that cycle.Currently, it is seen to be that we are in that same kind of Mid-Cycle Correction phase. And after recovering off our 29.5k bottom and then breaking our 64K ATH, we make yet another Wycoff Distribution top with tops at 65K and an current ATH of 69.9k. The reason we did not break the 70k level and go to the projected price target of about 72k-74k from what could be extrapolated off our previous move. We formed what looked like an extremely bearish scenario for bitcoin, having this MACRO double top that was made with a wycoff distribution schematic on each top. There was some bearish sentiment from this. These people are idiots when it came to the fact we were in a triple falling wedge formation with 70%-80% pumps to the upside and on top of it for the pattern to be a confirmed double top, the first ATH of 64k should have held as resistance, not allowing us to break it.These two bullish points are what held a lot of bullish sentiment still. SO the market makers had to get that sentiment shift from the majority of people and get volume going in the opposite direction to where the trend could continue to the upside since we did break the ATH of 64k.Now after explaining all of this highly complex and analytical crapola.... what the market makers have done, is disguise the second top that was a wycoff distribution top and breakdown, into a bullish Bump and Run Reversal pattern. This is obvious given that after making our net ATH at 69k after breaking the previous at 64K signifying more price action to the upside has a high probability, all we needed was Buy Volume. A Wycoff distribution breakdown into a bump and run reversal shook out so many weak hands that its crazy. The bullish momentum wick off the 41.1k bottom shows the bullish momentum and sentiment to the price action even across then entire 28k drop we've made. And as SMART TRADERS, we look at any and all logical and rational outcomes that are supported by data. If he price goes up, we had a plan of action setup to where we're making money. If the price goes down, we had a plan of action setup and we're STILL making money! We don't trade with an emotion and only have a bias when its being supported with confirmations within the chart that support that outcome.As of an hour later while im concluding writing this, the current price action shows we have broken the symmetrical triangle we have formed to the upside, and appears we are holding support above this as well at 50.5k. As long as we do not by any means break to back into or below the symmetrical triangle, we are looking at an extrapolated breakout move to the upside which would bring us up to the 53.4k price point in the micro perspective. In the macro perspective, we hold an even higher probability of making the 220% pump starting at wick low from the bullish bump and run reversal bottom. This gives a first macro price target of 130k - 140k by the beginning of February 2022.[img][/img]Ultimately we could not hold any of the bullish continuation patterns on the way down and found ourselves at double bottom. And now have created an Adam and Eve Double Bottom with the Eve being a W bottom and now looking for the confirmation of a W-Brekaout

سلام به همه، اینجا قماربازان بهشتی با یک به‌روزرسانی حیاتی دیگر در مورد Bitcoin قیمت هستیم. فقط می‌خواستم به شما یادآوری کنم اگر از این پست در تحلیل معاملات خود استفاده کرده‌اید، لطفاً آن را لایک کرده و نظر دهید و حتماً حساب تریدینگ ویو من را هم لایک و فالو کنید تا این به‌روزرسانی‌ها را به محض انتشار دریافت کنید! خب، Bitcoin به کدام سمت می‌رود؟ بالا؟ پایین؟ کی می‌داند؟ به عنوان یک معامله‌گر باهوش، شما به این نمودارها نگاه می‌کنید و برای حرکت قیمت به سمت بالا یک برنامه عملیاتی دارید؛ برای حرکت قیمت به سمت پایین هم یک برنامه عملیاتی دارید. چرا؟ چون به عنوان یک معامله‌گر باهوش می‌دانید که باید ریسک به ریوارد را ارزیابی کنید و موقعیت‌های خود را بر اساس آن تعیین کنید. متوجه منظور من می‌شوید... به عنوان یک معامله‌گر باهوش، ما به نتایج منطقی و عقلانی که توسط data پشتیبانی می‌شوند، نگاه می‌کنیم، بنابراین اگر قیمت بالا برود، ما پول در می‌آوریم. اگر قیمت پایین برود، باز هم پول در می‌آوریم! ما با احساسات معامله نمی‌کنیم و فقط زمانی تعصب داریم که با تأییدیه‌هایی در نمودار پشتیبانی شود که از آن نتیجه حمایت کند. اگر به شما بگویم که Bitcoin مهم‌ترین کندل‌های تاریخ خود را در ۳ روز گذشته داشته است، چه؟ اگر به شما بگویم که تأییدیه‌ای در نمودارها وجود دارد که نشان می‌دهد Bitcoin در هفته‌های آینده حداقل به ۹۲ هزار دلار می‌رسد، چه؟ اگر به شما بگویم که این شکست آخرین حرکت قبل از این است که یک حرکت سهمی‌وار دیگر به سمت بالا داشته باشیم، همانطور که در اوایل سال ۲۰۲۱ داشتیم، چه؟ اگر به شما بگویم که ممکن است به سمت سطح پایین‌تری در حدود ۳۹ هزار دلار برویم، زیرا بازارسازها می‌خواهند آن را به اجبار پایین‌تر ببرند، چه؟ به شما می‌گویم که هر کدام از این‌ها می‌تواند در روزهای آینده اتفاق بیفتد. نگاهی به آنچه در حال حاضر در نمودار می‌گذرد بیندازید! اولین نکته این است که روز شنبه پمپ خود را به بالای الگوی گوه نزولی داشتیم. روز یکشنبه از خط روند مقاومت برای قسمت بالای گوه عبور کردیم. من روز یکشنبه در مورد آن پست نگذاشتم، زیرا با توجه به اینکه آخر هفته بود و پمپ‌های آخر هفته در کریپتو هرگز یک حرکت قطعی نیستند، زیرا شرکت‌های نهادی در آخر هفته معامله نمی‌کنند، زیرا بازارهای سنتی در این روزها بسته هستند. دوشنبه روز تصمیم‌گیری بود که آیا شاهد یک فریب آخر هفته‌ای دیگر در کریپتو بود و احتمالاً به داخل گوه نزولی بازگردانده می‌شویم یا بدتر از آن، از زیر گوه نزولی که به تازگی از آن خارج شده بودیم، شکسته می‌شویم. به همین دلیل است که کندل دوشنبه قرمز بود. کندل دوشنبه همچنین یک عامل تایید بسیار بزرگ در تحلیل bitcoin بود که در حال حاضر برتری صعودی دارد، زیرا اکنون بالای یک الگوی ادامه صعودی نگه داشته‌ایم. چه به گوه های نزولی نگاه کنید، که در تحلیل قبلی خود به آن اشاره کردم، جایی که در سومین گوه نزولی خود هستیم و هر بار، تا به حال در نیمه دوم سال ۲۰۲۱، از بالای الگوی گوه نزولی شکسته ایم، به طور متوسط ​​۷۷ درصد به سمت بالا پمپ کرده ایم. اولین بار کمی بیش از ۸۰٪ پمپ از ۲۹.۵ هزار دلار به ۵۳.۸ هزار دلار بود. بار دوم یک پمپ ۷۴ درصدی از ۳۹.۶ هزار دلار به ۶۹.۳ هزار دلار بود. بار سوم، با توجه به قانون کاهش بازده، انتظار می رود پمپ سوم ۳-۶٪ کاهش یابد، که پمپی در حدود ۶۶-۶۹٪ به سمت بالا پیش بینی می کند. این ما را مستقیماً در نقطه قیمت ۹۲ هزار دلار قرار می دهد و دوباره با یک خط روند مقاومت روبرو می شویم. Bitcoin همچنین تقریباً آماده انجام کاری است که من دوست دارم آن را "شکستن کمر خرس‌ها" بنامم. این روند که من با استفاده از نشانگر سفارشی که در پایین قرار داده‌ام، پیدا کردم، از خط آبی روشن ناشی می‌شود. می‌بینید که چگونه این خط آبی با قیمت حرکت می‌کند. این سطح قیمت را نشان می‌دهد و سپس دو قسمت دیگر مربوط به حجمی است که از آن سطح قیمت پشتیبانی می‌کند. شبیه به شاخص VPVR است، اما فقط برای سطوح افقی پشتیبانی نیست. و بیشتر با حرکت قیمت در زمان واقعی حرکت می کند. برای اینکه به شما نشان دهم منظورم از شکستن کمر خرس ها چیست: این مربوط به سال‌های ۲۰۱۹ و ۲۰۲۰ است، جایی که در ۳۱۰۰ دلار به پایین‌ترین سطح رسیدیم و سپس تا ۱۴ هزار دلار صعود کردیم و سپس دوباره به یک برخورد و اجرای معکوس صعودی بازگشتیم و سپس دوباره بهبود یافتیم. می بینید که چگونه خط آبی در نشانگر بسیار شبیه به نمودار بالا به نظر می رسد؟ ببینید وقتی نمودار را کمی می لغزانیم چه اتفاقی می افتد. تا زمانی که بتوانیم بالای روند را ببینیم. ببینید چگونه آن خط آبی با افزایش سطح قیمت شروع به حرکت به سمت پایین می کند. هر بار که مقاومت کلان شکسته می شود، و می بینید که این خط آبی در نشانگر به سمت پایین حرکت می کند، به این معنی است که یک مقاومت کلان دیگر شکسته شده است. در نهایت باعث می شود که این خط با حرکت سهمی قیمت، صاف شود. همچنین می توانید دقیقاً ببینید که حجم کجا از صخره پایین می آید و همه نهنگ ها و بازارسازها پمپ را متوقف کرده اند، و سپس بعد از آن کاهش در حجم همه FOMO است. سپس زمانی که قیمت پس از یک ران سهمی اصلاح می شود. خط آبی با حجم پشتیبانی از حرکت رو به پایین خود اصلاح می شود تا زمانی که حجم کاهش یابد. [image[نمای نزدیک از خط آبی فعلی:[iimage]به نظر می رسد که ما آماده هستیم تا از بالای خط آبی عبور کنیم و شاهد انفجار قیمت به سمت بالا باشیم و همه چیز با شکستن کمر خرس ها شروع می شود. اگر از حجم مورد نیاز برای انجام این کار پشتیبانی نکنیم، می تواند اهداف قیمت پایین تری برای bitcoin دوباره وجود داشته باشد، منطقه ۳۹ هزار دلاری پایین ترین چیزی است که می ببینیم با منطقه پشتیبانی بین ۴۶ تا ۴۸ هزار دلار.

در معاملات همیشه بهشت ​​قماربازان است و به همین دلیل است که مطلع می ماندیم و یک برنامه بازی با استراتژی هایی برای قیمت در هر جهت داشته باشیم. برای شکست به سمت بالا، و سپس همچنین اگر ما شکستیم که اگر به زیر 54K-55k بشکنیم، به دنبال حرکت های بیشتری به سمت نزول بود. ما شاهد شکست بودیم. پس از توقف شکست ما در 59.9k ---> عمدتاً به این دلیل است که همه بیش از حد خوش بین هستند و طولانی تر از شورت هستند. که همه به یک نزولی شدید تبدیل شده اند چشم انداز. من حتی افرادی را دیده ام که نشان می دهند که Bitcoin به $0 می رسد و مواردی را از سایت Bitcoin درگذشت. اما همه اینها را کنار بگذارید و به نکات فنی نگاه کنید. اگر قرار بود شکستی زیر 56k اتفاق بیفتد و فقط یک فتیله پایین نبود و بالاتر از پشتیبانی بازیابی شد، پس پشتیبانی بعدی که از بیشتر افراد شنیدم بین 48K تا 50k بود. به طور کلی، واضح است که قیمت از 69 هزار دلار به شدت در حال کاهش است. و با تلاشی که دیروز انجام شد، تعدادی از MoonBoy و Fomo Joe را از مخفی شدن خارج کرد. پس چه شد؟ سازندگان بازار فقط رویاهای MoonBoy و Fomo Joe را در هم شکستند که قیمت به پایین جعبه پشتیبانی بازگردد، قیمت در حال بهبود بود و سپس آنها را با اجبار فروش وحشتناک حدود 3500 دلار از قیمت بازار مجازات کردند. به این فکر کنید که چقدر دلار برای کاهش این مقدار قیمت در بازار لازم است. اینجا شایستگی این است که bitcoin می تواند صعود خود را دوباره از سطح قیمت 54 هزار شروع کند. و درک روانشناسی بازار برای دیدگاه بازارسازان. من به چندین تایم فریم نگاه کردم و تغییرات بسیار کوچکی در خطوط روند انجام دادم و تصویر واضح تری را نشان دادم. پس از تغییرات اندکی که با data جدید و اقدام قیمت ایجاد کردم، می توانیم چیزی شبیه به این را از اکتبر 2021 ببینیمBitcoin نمودار 1 بعدی شاخص ما 3 گوه سقوط جداگانه داریم که به همراه خط روند 11 ساله که هنوز به عنوان پشتیبان نگه می داریم، تشکیل شده است. سقوط گوه ها الگوهای ادامه صعودی هستند و احتمال شکستن به سمت پایین بسیار پایین است. Bitcoin نمودار 1 بعدی شاخص: وقتی به این در مقایسه با برخی از اقدامات قیمت قبلی نگاه می کنیم، می توانیم ببینیم که درصد برگشت نسبت به گذشته، تقریباً حتی چند امتیاز می دهیم یا می گیریم. این نشان می‌دهد که اگر می‌خواهیم پایینی ایجاد کنیم، باید آن را بین 52.5 تا 54 هزار انجام دهیم. نگه داشتن شمع ها در بالای خط روند 11 ساله از نقطه نظر فنی بسیار بهتر است.Bitcoin نمودار 1 بعدی شاخص: نگاهی به بازه های زمانی هر برگشت و همچنین پایینی که از قبل در 29.5k ایجاد کردیم. ما همچنین در حال حاضر در محدوده ای هستیم که انتظار جهش را داریم. ما یک سازند گوه سقوط سه گانه داریم که در پایین، در نیمه راه بازیابی ساخته شده است و سپس بالاتر از ATH قبلی شروع می شود و به بالای الگوی کندل استیک قبلی برگشته است. داشتن چندین گوه در حال سقوط در بالا نیز از جنبه صعودی تحلیل بسیار قوی است، نشانگر سفارشی من در پایین همچنان یک موج خمیده به سمت بالا را نشان می‌دهد، حتی با وجود تخلیه دیروز، و اگر به آخرین شکستی که در آن ایجاد کردیم نگاه کنید. ما می‌توانیم ببینیم که مطابق با آخرین حرکت قیمت، به هدف قیمت کلی 92 هزار تومان نگاه می‌کنیم که تایید شکست‌آلود باشد. ساخته شده است. تا کنون، با توجه به سطح حمایتی که با بدنه شمع بالاتر از خط روند 11 ساله حفظ شده است، و اینکه ما چندین گوه سقوط را یا از خط روند پایین (حمایت) یا با استفاده از خط روند بالا (مقاومت قبلی) این گوه‌های در حال سقوط رعایت می‌کنیم. به عنوان پشتیبانی حتی با وجود دامپی که دیروز داشتیم، این روند همچنان به عنوان یک شکل گیری بسیار صعودی باقی می ماند. که شکست اولیه را آغاز کرد (به رنگ سبز). اگر شمع های زیر را بشکنیم و روزانه زیر این نقاط حمایتی که دارای برچسب هستند، ببندیم... آنگاه به دنبال تغییر تعصب خود بود. تا آن زمان، اگر هنوز در موقعیتی نیستید، منتظر باشید تا تأیید شکست دیوانه شود و سپس به قرار دادن موقعیت ها نگاه کنید. اگر هنوز در موقعیتی مانند من هستید، می توانید DCA را بیشتر در موقعیت خود نگاه کنید و آن نقطه ورودی را پایین بیاورید، اما مقداری توقف ضرر را در حدود 51k حفظ کنید. ما احتمالاً می‌توانیم تعدادی فتیله را تا 52.5 هزار ببینیم، اما هنوز دیده نشده است. اگر قبلاً Bias خود را تغییر داده‌اید، لطفاً به بالا برگردید و دوباره بخوانید :)

بهشت قماربازان دوباره اینجاست با یک به‌روزرسانی مهم Bitcoin تحلیل تکنیکال برای شما معامله‌گران ارز دیجیتال! خیلی خوبه امروز. این روز یک انتظار طولانی 4 هفته‌ای بوده. در طول 4 هفته گذشته، ما سه بازه زمانی اصلی - روزانه، 4 ساعته و 1 ساعته - را زیر نظر داشتیم. بازه زمانی 1 ساعته در زیر، برجسته‌ترین الگو است که ما مشتاقانه از 20 اکتبر تاکنون تماشا کرده‌ایم. این الگو احتمالاً میخ آخر تابوت امیدهای صعودی ما برای بقیه دوره صعودی است. این الگوی توزیع وایکوف شماره 2 است. همانطور که می‌بینید، شباهت زیادی به آن الگو در بازه‌های زمانی 1 ساعته و 4 ساعته داریم. نه تنها این یک ضربه مهلک برای عبور دوباره از اکستنشن فیبوناچی 0.618 بدون یک اصلاح جدی بود، بلکه احتمالات نشان می‌دهد که برای آزمایش مجدد سطح 25 هزار دلار به عقب برمی‌گردیم. این اولین بار برای bitcoin بود که یک روند صعودی سهمی‌وار را با یک اوج انفجاری به پایان نرساند و در عوض آن را با یک سقف دوقلوی کلان با دو شماتیک توزیع وایکوف به پایان برساند. من آن را «سقف دوقلوی مرگ با توزیع دوگانه» می‌نامم. (برای همه کسانی که جناس را دوست دارند). اما بیایید آن اخم را برعکس کنیم! خبر خوبی برای شما دارم! حدود 2-3 ساعت پیش، شاهد شکسته شدن اولین خط روند مقاومت نزولی در بازه زمانی 1 ساعته بودیم! این اتفاق همچنین در یک نقطه حیاتی روی نمودار رخ می‌دهد، جایی که اگر زیر سطح قیمت 55 هزار دلار می‌رفتیم، شاهد و تایید شکست برای اتمام مجدد شماتیک توزیع شماره 2 بودیم. در عوض... این بار ما یک کف دوقلوی A&E در محدوده حمایتی خاصی تشکیل داده‌ایم که بیش از یک ماه است که ترسیم کرده‌ام و از اوج توزیع قبلی که به عنوان حمایت داشتیم استفاده می‌کند! ما کف دوقلو را گرفتیم و قبلاً یک خط روند مقاومت را در محدوده 58 هزار دلار شکسته‌ایم و اکنون به دنبال شکستن نقطه قیمت 60 هزار دلار هستیم. اگر بتوانیم یک بدنه کندل روزانه را بالاتر از سطح قیمت 60 هزار دلار ببندیم، این تأیید می‌کند که الگوی توزیع نفی شده است و ما الگو را به یک شماتیک انباشت وایکوف شماره 1 معکوس کرده‌ایم و به دنبال اتمام فاز D و فاز E تا 96 هزار تا 98 هزار دلار بود. شکل زیر شماتیک انباشت وایکوف است که ما به دنبال اجرای آن با فاز D و فاز E هستیم. شماتیک انباشت وایکوف شماره 1 بازه زمانی 4 ساعته نیز همین را نشان می‌دهد، فقط منسجم‌تر است که نشان‌دهنده قدرت در الگوی شکست بازه زمانی 1 ساعته است: اما نمودار روزانه قدرت واقعی را در الگوی ما نشان می‌دهد: نمودار روزانه نشان می‌دهد که ما در امتداد خط روند مقاومت منحنی سبز 11 ساله (بستن بدنه‌های کندل) حمایت داریم که bitcoin بارها و بارها برای به اوج رساندن روندهای صعودی در بستن بدنه‌های کندل به آن احترام گذاشته است. خط روند مقاومت منحنی قرمز 11 ساله را قطع کردیم و باید دوباره از آن عبور کنیم و خط روند نزولی کانال نزولی (تأیید نشده) را نیز بشکنیم، همچنین به دنبال شکستن مجدد بالای جعبه‌ای بود که ترسیم شده است. همه در سطح قیمت 60 هزار دلار. فکر می‌کنم خوب است که حرکت اندازه‌گیری شده برای این شکست، 62 هزار تا 64 هزار دلار بود که فاصله کافی برای پاک کردن مقاومت 60 هزار دلار و بستن کندل روزانه بالاتر از سطح قیمت 60 هزار دلار بود. در اینجا استراتژی که من در اینجا استفاده می‌کنم آمده است: در حال حاضر یک معامله پرخطر اما پربازده باز کرده‌ام که پیشنهاد نمی‌کنم آن را انجام دهید مگر اینکه بدانید چه کار می‌کنید. من یک Long @57.6k درست زمانی که اولین خط روند نزولی را در داخل گوه/کانال نزولی خود شکستیم باز کردم. برای هر کس دیگری: اگر امروز 60 هزار دلار را با بسته شدن کندل روزانه در بالای آن بشکنیم. گزینه 1) پس از شکست 60 هزار دلار، موقعیت لانگ باز کنید. هدف قیمت 62.5 هزار تا 64 هزار دلار است. موقعیت لانگ را در محدوده هدف قیمت ببندید. موقعیت‌های لانگ لیمیت جدید را در محدوده 60.5 هزار و 62.5 هزار دلار قرار دهید و هنگامی که اکشن قیمت به عقب برمی‌گردد تا در حدود سطح 60 هزار دلار دوباره آزمایش کند، سفارش‌های جدید شما پر می‌شوند. سپس هدف قیمت جدید از آنجا 73 هزار تا 74 هزار دلار بود. گزینه 2) پس از شکست 60 هزار دلار و مشاهده اینکه روند در حال اتمام حرکت اندازه‌گیری شده خود تا حدود 62.5 هزار تا 64 هزار دلار است، موقعیت‌های لانگ خود را در محدوده 60.5 هزار تا 62.5 هزار دلار قرار دهید. منتظر بمانید تا سفارش‌های شما پس از آزمایش مجدد در حدود 60 هزار دلار پر شوند. یک نکته برای این گزینه‌ها؛ اگر به 64 هزار دلار در حرکت اندازه‌گیری شده برویم، آنگاه می‌خواهید به 62 هزار دلار به عنوان آزمایش مجدد نگاه کنید. اگر نقطه 62.5 هزار دلار حرکت اندازه‌گیری شده است، آنگاه به دنبال آزمایش مجدد آن در حدود 60 هزار دلار باشید. بازی روانشناسی بازار maker که در این مورد در دسترس بود این است که 60 هزار دلار را بشکنیم، سپس احتمالاً به عنوان یک فریب به زیر آن برگردیم و پس از آزمایش 60 هزار دلار به عنوان حمایت بلافاصله. سپس ما به دنبال یک حرکت رو به بالا به 63.5 هزار دلار و سپس به پایین به 62.5 هزار دلار بود (زیرا مردم انتظار دارند 64 هزار و 62 هزار دلار به عنوان نقاط عطف حمایت و مقاومت باشند). و سپس پس از آزمایش سریع منطقه 62.5 هزار دلار، ما به دنبال شکست رو به بالا از ATH در 69.9 هزار دلار بود و به دنبال یک سقف در حدود 74 هزار دلار قبل از آزمایش مجدد سطح 70 هزار دلار به عنوان حمایت در بالای ATH قبلی بود. اگر به هر دلیلی نتوانیم بالاتر برویم و یک کندل روزانه را بالاتر از 60 هزار دلار ببندیم، منتظر در حاشیه بمانید تا تنظیم مناسب ریسک:پاداش بعدی انجام شود، اگر تصمیم گرفتید من را در معامله بسیار پرخطر همراهی کنید، استاپ لاس شما در 55.5 هزار و 54.8 هزار دلار است.