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good evening my peoples, --- it was exactly 22 days ago when i gave you that 4130 level. lot of bears ignored my post, and got squeezed out today for a significant loss. i pour this aapl juice out for you, my dearest bear frens. --- as of today, i'm starting to entertain the possibility of es seeing yet again, Another expansion. sounds kinda wild i know, but that's what happens when everyone tries to short the market. the guys who run this game just keep running it up ---> whilst taking all the hard earned bear money. >once the last bear falls, >they know it because they see it, >and when they see it , >they drop the market. --- 4130 Could be the top, don't discount it. it is a significant algorithmic resistance which was programmed to get hit over a month ago. here's the key though, if you've read this far: watch how the market pulls back from 4130. 🗝does it come down in 3 waves? if so, expect higher prices. 🗝does it come down in 5 waves? if so, you caught the top. --- og target = $4130 expansion target = $4225.25 ---
g'morning --- been watching the overall market flow recently, and tech looks pretty beat down compared to the rest of the market. >everyone's also very short and scared >perfect timing for a bit of a short squeeze. >i'm predicting a little push up into december, to roughly $12,450 on nq1! . --- bullish invalidation on this setup = $11231.
good evening, quick update to one of the two bear cases i posted over the weekend. (post pinned at the bottom of this thread). --- es1! has been tapping at the local golden zone quite a few times as of lately, each poke results in a weaker dip which continues to get absorbed (accumulation). there's no notable bearish divergence present for now, in fact, we printed a hidden bullish divergence near the end of today - which validates in my mind that we're going to go higher. --- >watching 3910 as a local bottom into wednesday, >which is a heavy area of demand + a window of algorithmic confluence. >upside target from there sits at the original 4130 level, >with a slight chance to expand to 4190 if things get heated into the end of this year ( aka , short squeeze). --- ps. it's also possible that we've topped, but i personally have reason to believe that we haven't (for now). --- posts which led to this one 👇
gm --- i've been trying to figure out a way to finish the count at 13\14k, but the structure just simply will not let me. so i'm proposing an expanded w5 to finish the count between 11~7k. that might seem low to some people, but when you zoom out - it's just a little ripple in the ocean. --- the final capitulation phase in crypto generally see's the hash-rate crash through the ground, the weaker btc miners go insolvent, and most of the major players who were not prepared for this \ we over-leveraged, simply just fall off the grid. it can be easily avoided, by not being in the market at this time. --- ps. i could be wrong about the bear case - so refer to the bull case if you're on the other side👇 --- and if you've made it this far, feast your eyes on this ♥ 🔺
gm --- recently shared a bull case on ether, but i'm not seeing what i need to see to confirm it . --- for every bull case, there is an equivalent bear case - so it's important to entertain, even if it doesn't pan out. --- bitcoin hashrate is starting to slip in these last few days, a sign of the final capitulation. i have talked about the hash-rate extensively, and how we have to see it come back down to equilibrium before a true bottom is created. watch btc miners if true, as this would be the final stress test on them. --- >only the strongest will survive in this market >let the strongest be you. --- eth downside target = $500~$600
Dang, i really didn't wanna share this - but i feel it could be important. --- there's a serious bear case to be made here, one which is literally other-worldly. --- a picture's worth a thousand words, so perhaps i'll let you decide. --- ps. this is not my primary, just a backup - in case something really weird happens in the days ahead.
good evening, --- remember in my last oil post when i called the top? there was some really salty humans in the comment section who were most likely bag holders from the absolute peak of the bull run. this is an update for them. --- last post: --- i feel like oil has entered into a quatervois here, which is basically "crossroad" in french. currently seeing two potential trajectories: 1. -oil runs up to 100ish through an expanded flat (green targets most probable, grey are weak, and red is unlikely, but always possible). -after which, a swift downturn to my $57 target from the original post. 2. -oil simply see's a dead-cat bounce, creates another hidden bearish divergence, and rolls over yet again - continuing it's bearish trajectory to my original target. --- all paths lead down there, potentially even deeper - but the question as always is: which path's it gonna take? ps. no offense to all the people who talk smack on my posts, you're always welcome if you have a proper argument. just keep in mind, "fundamentals, is not a proper argument".
This is the second bear case, and it just so happens to be my primary scenario on the US Stock market . Just wanted to get the simple counts out of the way, before sharing this one. --- Using the expanding diagonal fractal for the first wave from ath, it's possible the spx500 is only in "wave a" on this local move up (of a larger a-b-c) this is currently the scenario i'm personally leaning towards. let me explain why: -lines up with my dxy projection. -insider buys, are about to flip insider sells. -retail short interest is at record high levels. -retail is usually wrong. -so how do we get retail out, while still dropping the market? 1 word. chop. ------ If the market chops for another 3-6+ months, every last bear standing will get absolutely rekt. And only after-which, once the short interest disappears, and the last put expires worthless- will the markets see the final cataclysmic collapse. --------- Stay safe, and don't go into a trade without a plan. 🔺 Ps. i recently called the expanding diagonal fractal out, and it ended up front running my target, which was kinda unexpected. I understand why it did as of now, and it was an important lesson for the future. check out that post via: 🔺
Good evening, This post is part of a series of requests i recently received. The request was: "What is your bearish projection on the US stonk market". --- Talked about this one recently via: --- My estimated top for the Spx500 = $4080~$4742. High probability target = $4164.50. --- My estimated bottom on this one is roughly between $3550~2576.50 High probability target = $3233.25 🔺
Good evening, This post is part of a series of requests i recently received. The request was: "What is your bearish projection on the US stonk market". --- The russel2000, if I'm not mistaken - has thousands of small-cap stocks within it, here's my bearish projection for it. --- My estimated top for the russel2000 = $1876 ~ $2392 High probability target = $2036 --- My estimated bottom on this one is roughly between $1527 ~ $1163 High probability target = $1324 🔺