The_Traders_House

DOTUSDT.P looks almost ideal for a short scenario. The only downside is that we've seen two false breakouts already, although, on the flip side, this confirms the strength of the level. Overall, we have a local level with no obstacles to the downside since 10.10.25 — a day that essentially "cleared" the chart. Right now, a solid pre-breakout base is forming directly above the level. There is no buy reaction to the test, which signals seller strength. If volatility remains low, this could turn out to be an easy and technical short. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Liquidity grab (false move against the trend) Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest No reaction after a false break Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.Breakout Logic: 1. Global & Local Trend Alignment Trading with the trend is always the path of least resistance. Aligning local price action with the global trend provides us with a significant statistical edge. 2. Price Void / Low Liquidity Zone A situation where there are no historical support or resistance levels beyond the breakout point. This means there are no visible obstacles to stop the asset from moving sharply in the breakout direction. 3. Liquidity Grab (False move against the trend) A trap. An attempt to pull the asset in the opposite direction that fails completely—sellers suppress buyers, pushing the price back to the level. This confirms the strength of the sellers (or lack of buyers). 4. Volatility Contraction on Approach A sign of a "strong hand." A major player doesn't create chaotic spikes by spamming market orders. Instead, they move confidently, systematically absorbing counter-orders as price approaches the level. Low volatility = preparation and control. High volatility = noise, low liquidity, or probing for limits. 5. Immediate Retest Price doesn't hit the exact same spot by accident. If we see repeated tests of the same price point within a short period (under 7 days), it signals a "close retest." This increases the probability of a breakout. 6. No Reaction after a False Break Indicates the defender is exhausted. Typically, a level defender leaves traces by bouncing the price away. If, after a test or false break, the price refuses to pull back and stays "glued" to the level, it shows the defender is too weak to push it away. 7. Closing Near the Level A strong signal for a breakout. It shows that the aggressor not only dragged the price to the level but kept it there to demonstrate dominance. It implies readiness to break through. 8. Closing Near the Bar's Extreme Similar to the point above. When a daily bar closes at its absolute low or high (no wick), it indicates clear intent. The momentum is strong, and the move is likely to continue into the next day.However, always remember: trading is about probabilities, not 100% certainty. Therefore, all these signals can be invalidated if a force appears in the market capable of going against them. Trade the facts, but manage your risks.

Since my first forecast regarding the BTCUSDT.P decline 2 months ago, the asset has dropped by 27%. As of today, my global outlook on the market remains bearish. The first significant target is 78,200.2. Once reached, it will be necessary to assess the character of the price movement there. While we move toward this target, the entire market will also likely head down. This creates excellent opportunities to profit, as the market is moving rather than standing still. Subscribe to not miss updates.

ETCUSDT.P is dropping alongside Bitcoin. Currently, the price has hit a strong level and started "grinding" it. While this is typically a messy signal, there is structure within this chop, as a clear local level has formed at 13.425, offering a potential short setup. Although the asset has already covered a significant range today, I am keeping it on watch. If the price continues to consolidate tightly without pulling away, or if we see a weak correction followed by a smooth re-approach, I will await my entry trigger. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Prolonged consolidation No reaction after a false break Factors that contradict this scenario: Exhaustive move (approaching from afar) Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.Not on the first try, but the target has been reached.

XMRUSDT.P is respecting the 353.53 level very well. Yesterday we saw two bounces, with the correction getting smaller each time. Throughout today, we've seen consolidation above the level with a gradual drift lower. This is a good signal: it suggests the seller is confidently and calmly moving the price in their direction, absorbing the buyers' limit orders along the way. If this type of price action continues right up to the level — that’s ideal. If volatility spikes, it spoils the picture a bit, and we’ll have to watch how the price behaves after the volatility settles. Key factors for this scenario: Volatility contraction on approach Momentum stall at the level Immediate retest Repeated precise tests of the level Consolidation with price compression Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Heavy congestion zone ahead Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.

SOONUSDT.P is currently in a decline following a pump. I wouldn’t call it a correction — it’s more likely a typical dump that usually follows sharp upward moves. There’s a clearly confirmed support level and several hours of consolidation forming just above it. This indicates that long positions are being exited, as each local high is lower than the previous one. Expecting a short continuation in the near term. Key factors for this scenario: Asset decoupled from the market (relative strength/weakness vs. BTC) Liquidity grab (false move against the trend) Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest No reaction after a false break Closing near the bar's extreme Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.The asset remains in consolidation after an unsuccessful attempt to move upward — another signal favoring a short scenario. Continuing to monitor the asset.The analysis is still valid. I continue to wait

If we exclude random pumps and dumps, the market is currently suspended in uncertainty. BTCUSDT.P neither breaks below the 100,678.0 support level nor bounces back from it — it simply grinds sideways. A clear local level has formed at 98,888.0, from which BTC has bounced twice in the past two days. Now, the price is gradually moving toward it again, indicating a short-biased sentiment. This lack of clarity in BTC’s behavior keeps the entire crypto market frozen. The only movements come from baseless pumps and dumps, emerging and ending at random points. However, I believe clarity is approaching — BTC cannot stay in this tension forever. It will either break upward or fall lower. My analysis suggests the next move will be down, and that’s when we’ll see the real market move. For now — we wait. ___ System first: Every non-systematic profit is bad. Every non-systematic loss is bad. Every systematic profit is good. Every systematic loss is part of the work. Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.Actively monitoring the price behavior around the 98,888.8 level.

BTCUSDT.P is currently “grinding” around the key 107,500 level, which, in my view, is critical for the market. Whatever happens around this level will determine the next directional move not only for BTC but for most assets as well. Yes, the crypto market generally follows Bitcoin, but this time the setup looks locally significant — the level is strong. On the chart, we can see that the price has repeatedly tested it from both sides — above and below — meaning this range is where some participants will lose heavily while others will profit. Such situations usually trigger strong market movements. I’m waiting for resolution. I remain focused on short scenarios. If I manage to act before the market moves, I’ll publish today’s watchlist. However, on days like this, it’s not always possible — the number of active assets usually increases, and the priority shifts toward trade preparation, while public analysis takes a back seat. Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.BTC hasn’t moved up or down — it continues to “grind” around the level, which I had considered as one of the possible scenarios. Currently, I see BTC moving quite aggressively back toward the 107,505.0 support level, with most assets following its direction. I continue to monitor the situation and still expect a short-biased market.My broader market outlook is playing out — BTC continues to face downside pressure and isn’t allowed to hold higher levels for long. At the moment, the key reference is the 105,457.4 support level. The approach was sharp, with significant movement in a short time. I’m watching closely to ensure there’s no excessive correction — only then a short setup for today remains valid. If the correction turns out stronger, it’s likely the market won’t show any major moves today.

KSMUSDT.P remains in consolidation, clearly confirming the level — no false breakouts or sweeps, just consistent touches and short pullbacks. The asset has held this structure for nearly two weeks and will eventually break out. In my view, the likely scenario is a short below 10.115. Today, the asset has already tested the level once and is gradually approaching it again. Maintaining low volatility during this approach will be important. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Volatility contraction on approach Prolonged consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.Result: 4.52 to 1 My minimum target is 5 to 1. When 3 to 1 is reached, I move the stop to breakeven. Final result: 0R.

ATOMUSDT.P confirmed a local level today — a clear hit occurred a few hours ago, followed by a gradual approach. This behavior indicates weakening buyer pressure. As always, the key factors are low volatility and an entry point that aligns with the trading system. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.5 to 1!

Today, BTCUSDT.P dropped by around 17%. It may fall further, or it may not — but one thing I know for sure: market panic has always been my most profitable time. When fear dominates and the entire market is crashing, that’s when the best opportunities appear. If you panic — you’re far from professionalism. If you enter, take your profit, and calmly move on — that’s a sign of skill. In trading, professionalism isn’t optional; without it, you won’t survive — and sometimes that’s quite literal. So, in times like these — when some made quick profits, others took heavy losses, and only a few truly gained — I’ll share a thought that changed my mindset years ago. After losing a significant amount, I realized that was the true cost of the trading education I once wanted to buy. Trade with minimal risk and invest the rest in your learning — it’s always the right investment. And just to be clear — I don’t sell courses, and this message isn’t for profit. It’s genuine advice. Have a great day.