Technical analysis by Ryan_Lewis1 about Symbol PAXG: Buy recommendation (16 hour ago)

Central bank gold purchases form a "price bottom": The People's Bank of China has continuously increased its gold holdings for 12 consecutive months, with the latest reserve amount approaching 2,305 tons, and the cost of gold purchases falling within the range of 3,900 - 4,000 US dollars; global central banks' net gold purchases in the first three quarters of 2025 exceeded 800 tons, and 3,950 US dollars became the "supporting bottom" for central banks. Once it falls below this level, there is a high probability of triggering an increase in buying. Geopolitical risks are regularly supporting the demand for safe-haven assets: The prolonged conflict in Ukraine and the escalating unrest in the Middle East have formed a multi-polar conflict network, highlighting the strategic allocation value of gold as an "ultimate defense asset". Historical data shows that during periods of ongoing geopolitical conflicts, although the volatility of gold increases, the correction range is limited, often serving as a safe haven for funds. The broad direction of the Fed's loose policy has not changed: Although the probability of a December interest rate cut has dropped to 55%, and there are cautious voices within the Fed, the long-term loose logic remains unchanged - the government shutdown in the United States may lead to a 1.5% GDP decline in the fourth quarter, and under the pressure of weak economic conditions, the interest rate cut cycle in 2026 will continue. In a low-interest-rate environment, the attractiveness of gold as a non-interest-bearing asset continues to increase. Today's gold trading strategy buy：4165-4175 tp:4185-4200 sl:4155