Technical analysis by LUCIFER_EARNING_CLUB about Symbol PAXG on 11/7/2025

Gold continues to respect Smart Money Concepts (SMC) structure with clear reactions from both supply and demand zones. 🔻 Price tapped the supply zone near 4050, showing multiple CHoCH and BOS confirmations. 🟢 Now, I expect a possible short-term drop toward the buy area / demand zone (3950–3960). From that zone, we’ll look for bullish confirmation to rejoin the overall upward trend. Liquidity has already been collected from previous highs — the next move depends on reaction at the demand zone. 📊 Plan: Wait for structure confirmation before entering; let the market show direction, not guess it. 👉 What’s your view? Will buyers defend the 3950 zone again or break lower this time?Gold is currently reacting from a strong supply area after multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHOCH) patterns. Here’s my outlook based on structure: 🔴 Price rejected from the upper zone, showing short-term bearish pressure. 🟠 I’m watching the yellow demand zone (around 3980–3950) for potential accumulation. 📈 From there, market could build liquidity and continue higher toward the next bullish leg. The plan: 1️⃣ Wait for a drop into the demand zone. 2️⃣ Look for bullish confirmation (BOS or CHOCH on lower timeframe). 3️⃣ Target upside continuation after accumulation. 📊 Structure still favors buyers, but only after this possible pullback completes. 👉 What do you think — will Gold respect the demand zone or break lower first?LIKE AND DROP A COMMENT TO SHOW YOUR SUPPORTBoth setups working perfectly ✅ Our first Buy signal reached its target 🎯 Now the Sell setup has been activated and is in play. Market following structure exactly as planned.📚 Gold Full SMC Breakdown with BOS, CHoCH, Trendline, Supply & Demand Gold is currently moving in a clear Smart Money Concept (SMC) structure, respecting both supply and demand zones, while showing consistent BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals. Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇 --- 🔹 1. Structure Context Gold created higher highs and higher lows after reacting from a strong demand zone near 3900. This showed that buyers (smart money) had accumulated positions in that area. However, once price reached the supply zone (4050–4060), it failed to create new highs — signaling exhaustion and possible reversal. --- 🔹 2. Sell-Side Trade Activation At the 4050–4060 supply zone, a CHoCH appeared on lower timeframes — the first signal of potential bearish shift. After that, a clear BOS confirmed that structure had broken, meaning sellers gained control. This aligned with: The trendline break, showing momentum change. Liquidity sweep above previous highs (smart money took out retail stop-losses before dropping). Bearish BOS that validated the new downtrend. Hence, a sell trade was activated from the supply area with targets toward lower demand levels. --- 🔹 3. Current Price Action Price is now moving in a corrective leg, following BOS → CHoCH sequences to the downside. Each pullback forms minor liquidity and mitigation blocks, showing how institutional flow reacts. The market is in a premium area (high price range), so smart money prefers to sell from here until price returns to discount zones. --- 🔹 4. Buy-Side Area (Demand Zone) The next buying opportunity lies near 3950–3960, a previously respected demand zone and discounted area of the range. This zone is important because: It aligns with previous BOS retracement levels. It’s where liquidity is resting below recent lows. Smart money tends to re-enter buys here to continue the larger bullish leg. At that point, you’ll wait for a CHoCH + BOS pattern to confirm that buyers are active again. --- 🔹 5. Buy-Side Target Once the demand zone holds and confirmation appears: The buy-side target will be 4050–4075, where the last supply and liquidity lie. If momentum stays strong, price can even push beyond 4075 into new premium areas. This move represents smart money re-accumulation at discount → expansion back to premium. --- 🧠 Educational Summary CHoCH = Early sign of possible reversal. BOS = Confirms structure break (directional bias). Supply/Demand zones = Institutional reaction points (premium/discount). Trendline = Helps visualize structure shifts but always secondary to BOS/CHoCH. Liquidity = Targets where price is drawn before reversing. So in your current setup: The sell side trade is active from the supply zone (smart money taking profits). The buy side is forming, waiting for price to hit the demand zone where accumulation starts again.