Technical analysis by CryptoNuclear about Symbol AR: Buy recommendation (10/15/2025)

ARWEAVE (AR/USDT) is now standing on the edge of its most critical support zone between $4.4–$3.7 (highlighted in yellow). This zone has acted as a major historical demand area since 2023 — the last stronghold where institutional accumulation often takes place. But this time, the market has shown something different: A deep wick below $3.7 indicates a massive liquidity grab, suggesting that the market might have flushed out weak long positions and stop orders before deciding its next major move. --- Technical Structure & Pattern Macro trend: Still in a structural downtrend since early 2024 (lower highs and lower lows). Key support zone: $4.4–$3.7 remains a major reaction area that has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure. The long wick below support suggests a potential fake breakdown or bear trap, especially if price reclaims $4.4–$6.0 in the next few candles. Failure to hold above $3.7 would confirm a bearish continuation pattern and shift market sentiment further downward. --- Bullish Scenario 📈 Accumulation Reversal Setup If price successfully holds above $4.4–$3.7 and manages to close above $6.075, it could mark the beginning of a mid-term reversal. This setup is often accompanied by strong volume spikes, bullish engulfing candles, and a new higher low formation above the support. 🎯 Upside Targets: Target 1: $8.395 — first major resistance and reaction zone. Target 2: $10.882 — key breakout confirmation level. Long-term targets: $26.989 and $47.674, if the macro reversal strengthens into a new bullish cycle. This could become the foundation of a re-accumulation phase, similar to previous cycle bottoms. --- Bearish Scenario 📉 Final Breakdown and Capitulation Risk If the price closes a 5D candle below $3.7 and fails to reclaim the zone, it would confirm that the yellow block has turned into a new resistance area. This would signal a final distribution phase before potential capitulation. 🎯 Downside Targets: Target 1: $3.0 — next psychological and structural support. Target 2: $2.4 — historical low based on previous liquidity sweep. A confirmed breakdown below this zone could trigger capitulation, flushing out remaining long positions before the next accumulation cycle begins. --- Conclusion ARWEAVE is currently at a make-or-break zone ($4.4–$3.7) that will define its medium-term direction. If buyers defend this level, the market could form a strong base for a major reversal. However, if the support gives way, AR might revisit $3.0–$2.4 before finding a true bottom. This zone represents a high-stakes battle between bulls and bears — and the next few candles will decide whether we’re witnessing the birth of a new uptrend, or the continuation of the final downtrend leg. --- #ARWEAVE #ARUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportZone #LiquidityGrab #MarketStructure #AltcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #DecisionZone #SwingTrade