Technical analysis by Shavyfxhub about Symbol BTC: Buy recommendation (7/11/2025)

Shavyfxhub

Bitcoin and the Potential Move to $136,000 based on my price action +sma+ema advanced strategy. Current Market Context Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near all-time highs, recently surpassing $117,000-118000 The market is characterized by strong institutional inflows, robust ETF demand, and bullish technical momentum. Is a Move to $136,000 Possible? Analyst and Model Forecasts Bitwise Asset Management and several market analysts see a 30% rally possible in July, which could push Bitcoin to the $136,000 level. This projection is based on: Historical post-crisis rallies (average 31% gains after macro/geopolitical shocks). Institutions buying more BTC than miners can supply. Global rate cuts increasing liquidity and risk appetite. Quantitative models and technical forecasters also predict a range between $136,000 and $143,000 as a potential 2025 high, with some models extending targets to $151,000 and beyond. Other major banks and analysts (e.g., Standard Chartered, Bernstein, Fundstrat) maintain even higher year-end targets ($150,000–$200,000), but $136,000 is seen as a key intermediate technical and psychological level. Technical Analysis Bullish momentum is confirmed across short, medium, and long-term timeframes. Key resistance levels to watch: $120,000 (psychological), $130,000 (round number), and $136,000 (target zone highlighted by several analysts). Sustained trading above $112,000–$118,000 would support a move toward $130,000–$136,000, especially if ETF inflows and institutional demand remain strong. Drivers Supporting the $136K Scenario ETF and Institutional Inflows: Demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries remains robust. Macro Tailwinds: Expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening dollar are fueling risk-on sentiment. Supply Dynamics: The recent Bitcoin halving has reduced miner supply, amplifying the impact of new demand. Technical Breakouts: Bull flag and breakout patterns suggest further upside, with $136,000 cited as a technical extension target. Risks and Considerations Volatility: Bitcoin remains highly volatile; sharp pullbacks are possible even in a strong uptrend. Regulatory and Macro Risks: Changes in regulatory stance or a major shift in macro conditions could impact the trajectory. Profit-Taking: Approaching major round numbers like $130,000 or $136,000 could trigger profit-taking and temporary corrections. Summary Table: Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets Source/Model2025 Target Range$136K Move Outlook Bitwise, Polymarket$136,000 (July 2025)High probability if current trends persist Coinfomania AI ModelUp to $143,440$136K within model range Investing Haven$80,840–$151,150$136K within bullish scenario Changelly, CoinDCX$100,000–$150,000$136K is a key resistance Standard Chartered$120,000–$200,000$136K as a stepping stone Conclusion A move to $136,000 for Bitcoin is considered plausible in 2025 by my market structure advanced strategy , This scenario is supported by strong institutional demand, favorable macro conditions, and bullish technical patterns. However, volatility and macro/regulatory risks remain, so price action should be monitored closely as BTC approaches key resistance levels at 120k and 136k level #bitcoin #btc